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Temporal variations of long-term correlations in seismic activity fluctuations

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  • Alvarez-Ramirez, J.
  • Echeverria, J.C.
  • Rodriguez, E.

Abstract

The scaling behavior of the 1998–2009 seismicity in Guerrero, southern Mexico, was studied by means of the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA). We found that inter-seismic periods are correlated with a transition in the scaling behavior at about 200 seismic events. Correlations are relatively weak for small time scales. However, for large time scales, correlations are associated with a 1/f fractional process, indicating that the seismicity pattern emerges from a self-organized critical state. Temporal variations of the scaling exponent along years computed from the DFA indicate the presence of a quasi-biennial cycle in the seismicity correlations. This cyclic behavior was apparently triggered by the large 2001–2002 slow slip event in the Guerrero seismic gap. Besides, the significant seismic events (Mw>5) originate, on the average, at deeper regions in each cycle.

Suggested Citation

  • Alvarez-Ramirez, J. & Echeverria, J.C. & Rodriguez, E., 2012. "Temporal variations of long-term correlations in seismic activity fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(6), pages 2261-2267.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:391:y:2012:i:6:p:2261-2267
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2011.12.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Chen, Chien-chih & Lee, Ya-Ting & Chang, Young-Fo, 2008. "A relationship between Hurst exponents of slip and waiting time data of earthquakes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(18), pages 4643-4648.
    2. Anthony R. Lowry, 2006. "Resonant slow fault slip in subduction zones forced by climatic load stress," Nature, Nature, vol. 442(7104), pages 802-805, August.
    3. Guzmán-Vargas, L. & Ramírez-Rojas, A. & Hernández-Pérez, R. & Angulo-Brown, F., 2009. "Correlations and variability in electrical signals related to earthquake activity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 388(19), pages 4218-4228.
    4. Telesca, Luciano & Lovallo, Michele & Lapenna, Vincenzo & Macchiato, Maria, 2007. "Long-range correlations in two-dimensional spatio-temporal seismic fluctuations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 377(1), pages 279-284.
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    1. Echeverria, J.C. & Rodriguez, E. & Aguilar-Cornejo, M. & Alvarez-Ramirez, J., 2016. "Linear combination of power-law functions for detecting multiscaling using detrended fluctuation analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 460(C), pages 283-293.

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