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Investigating the change of causality in emerging property markets during the financial tsunami

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  • Hui, Eddie C.M.
  • Chen, Jia

Abstract

In this paper, we employ the multivariate CUSUM (cumulative sum) test for covariance structure as well as the renormalized partial directed coherence (PDC) method to capture the structural causality change of real estate stock indices of five emerging Asian countries and regions (i.e., Thailand, Malaysia, South Korea, PR China, and Taiwan). Meanwhile, we develop a method to make the comparison of renormalized PDC more intuitive and a set of criteria to measure the result. One of our findings indicates that the regional influence of the Chinese real estate stock market on the causality structure of the five markets has arisen under the effect of the financial tsunami.

Suggested Citation

  • Hui, Eddie C.M. & Chen, Jia, 2012. "Investigating the change of causality in emerging property markets during the financial tsunami," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(15), pages 3951-3962.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:391:y:2012:i:15:p:3951-3962
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2012.03.007
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    Cited by:

    1. Baumöhl, Eduard & Kočenda, Evžen & Lyócsa, Štefan & Výrost, Tomáš, 2018. "Networks of volatility spillovers among stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 490(C), pages 1555-1574.
    2. Hui, Eddie C.M. & Chen, Jia & Chan, Ka Kwan Kevin, 2016. "Are international securitized property markets converging or diverging?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 446(C), pages 1-10.
    3. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2008. "Is the 2007 US Sub-prime Financial Crisis So Different? An International Historical Comparison," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(2), pages 339-344, May.
    4. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Is the 2007 US Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different?: An International Historical Comparison," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(3), pages 291-299.
    5. Eddie C. M. Hui & Ka Kwan Kevin Chan, 2018. "Is there really any Contagion among Major Equity and Securitized Real Estate Markets? Analysis from a New Perspective," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 567-586, May.
    6. Hui, Eddie C.M. & Chan, Ka Kwan Kevin, 2021. "New test of contagion with application on the Brexit referendum," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 564(C).
    7. Hui, Eddie Chi-man & Chan, Ka Kwan Kevin, 2014. "The global financial crisis: Is there any contagion between real estate and equity markets?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 216-225.
    8. Yuexiang Jiang & Luyuan Zheng & Jiazhen Wang, 2021. "Research on external financial risk measurement of China real estate," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(4), pages 5472-5484, October.
    9. Hui, Eddie C.M. & Chan, Ka Kwan Kevin, 2019. "Alternative trading strategies to beat “buy-and-hold”," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    10. Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "Cointegration and causal linkages in fertilizer markets across different regimes," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 181-189.
    11. Lahmiri, Salim & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Bekiros, Stelios, 2017. "Clustering of short and long-term co-movements in international financial and commodity markets in wavelet domain," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 947-955.

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