IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/pacfin/v64y2020ics0927538x20305795.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Testing the mood seasonality hypothesis: Evidence from down under

Author

Listed:
  • Lee, Deok-Hyeon
  • Min, Byoung-Kyu
  • Xiao, Yuchao

Abstract

We examine whether seasonal variations in investor mood are associated with return seasonalities in U.S. and Australian equity markets. We first replicate the main results of Hirshleifer et al. (2020) for the U.S. market that stock returns' relative performance during past high or low mood periods tends to recur in periods with congruent mood but reverse in periods with noncongruent mood. We next test the mood seasonality hypothesis in Australia (Southern hemisphere), where the calendar timing of seasons is opposite to that experienced in the United States (Northern hemisphere). This enables us to identify whether the seasonally varying investor mood effect on returns is independent of the actual calendar month. In the Australian market we also find the congruent-mood recurrence and noncongruent-mood reversal effects under our hypothesized high and low mood months, and this effect is particularly strong for the full cross-section of individual assets.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Deok-Hyeon & Min, Byoung-Kyu & Xiao, Yuchao, 2020. "Testing the mood seasonality hypothesis: Evidence from down under," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:64:y:2020:i:c:s0927538x20305795
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2020.101440
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0927538X20305795
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.pacfin.2020.101440?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2006. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1645-1680, August.
    2. Hirshleifer, David & Jiang, Danling & DiGiovanni, Yuting Meng, 2020. "Mood beta and seasonalities in stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 272-295.
    3. Kelley Bergsma & Danling Jiang, 2016. "Cultural New Year Holidays and Stock Returns around the World," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 45(1), pages 3-35, March.
    4. Heston, Steven L. & Sadka, Ronnie, 2008. "Seasonality in the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(2), pages 418-445, February.
    5. Newey, Whitney & West, Kenneth, 2014. "A simple, positive semi-definite, heteroscedasticity and autocorrelation consistent covariance matrix," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 33(1), pages 125-132.
    6. Kamstra, Mark J. & Kramer, Lisa A. & Levi, Maurice D. & Wermers, Russ, 2017. "Seasonal Asset Allocation: Evidence from Mutual Fund Flows," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 71-109, February.
    7. Josef Lakonishok, Seymour Smidt, 1988. "Are Seasonal Anomalies Real? A Ninety-Year Perspective," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(4), pages 403-425.
    8. Matti Keloharju & Juhani T. Linnainmaa & Peter Nyberg, 2016. "Return Seasonalities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 71(4), pages 1557-1590, August.
    9. French, Kenneth R., 1980. "Stock returns and the weekend effect," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 8(1), pages 55-69, March.
    10. Sinclair Davidson & Robert Faff, 1999. "Some additional Australian evidence on the day-of-the-week effect," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 6(4), pages 247-249.
    11. Birru, Justin, 2018. "Day of the week and the cross-section of returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(1), pages 182-214.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Guo, Shuxin & Yuan, Yue & Ma, Feng, 2022. "Cross-sectional seasonalities and seasonal reversals: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    2. Atilgan, Yigit & Demirtas, K. Ozgur & Gunaydin, A. Doruk & Kirli, Imra, 2023. "Mood seasonality around the globe," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yuan Li, 2022. "Mood Beta, Sentiment and Stock Returns in China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440221, February.
    2. Hirshleifer, David & Jiang, Danling & DiGiovanni, Yuting Meng, 2020. "Mood beta and seasonalities in stock returns," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(1), pages 272-295.
    3. Atilgan, Yigit & Demirtas, K. Ozgur & Gunaydin, A. Doruk & Kirli, Imra, 2023. "Mood seasonality around the globe," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    4. Chiah, Mardy & Zhong, Angel, 2021. "Tuesday Blues and the day-of-the-week effect in stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Guo, Shuxin & Yuan, Yue & Ma, Feng, 2022. "Cross-sectional seasonalities and seasonal reversals: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    6. Keloharju, Matti & Linnainmaa, Juhani T. & Nyberg, Peter, 2021. "Are return seasonalities due to risk or mispricing?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 139(1), pages 138-161.
    7. Zaremba, Adam, 2019. "Cross-sectional seasonalities in international government bond returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 80-94.
    8. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, December.
    9. Wagner, Moritz & Lee, John Byong-Tek & Margaritis, Dimitris, 2022. "Mutual fund flows and seasonalities in stock returns," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    10. Chiah, Mardy & Long, Huaigang & Zaremba, Adam & Umar, Zaghum, 2023. "Trade competitiveness and the aggregate returns in global stock markets," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    11. Wen, Fenghua & Liu, Zhen & Cao, jiahui & Zhang, Yun & Yin, Zhujia, 2022. "Mood seasonality: Evidence from the Chinese A-share market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    12. Qadan, Mahmoud & Aharon, David Y. & Cohen, Gil, 2020. "Everybody likes shopping, including the US capital market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 551(C).
    13. Meng, Chen & Du, Qingjie & Shu, Haibing, 2024. "Return seasonalities in the Chinese stock market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    14. Edmans, Alex & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Garel, Alexandre & Indriawan, Ivan, 2022. "Music sentiment and stock returns around the world," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 234-254.
    15. Autore, Don M. & Jiang, Danling, 2019. "The preholiday corporate announcement effect," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 61-82.
    16. Zhang, Cherry Y. & Jacobsen, Ben, 2021. "The Halloween indicator, “Sell in May and Go Away”: Everywhere and all the time," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    17. Long, Huaigang & Zaremba, Adam & Demir, Ender & Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Vasenin, Mikhail, 2020. "Seasonality in the Cross-Section of Cryptocurrency Returns," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    18. Lean, Hooi Hooi & Smyth, Russell & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2007. "Revisiting calendar anomalies in Asian stock markets using a stochastic dominance approach," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 125-141, April.
    19. Mercik, Aleksander & Cupriak, Daniel & Zaremba, Adam, 2023. "Factor seasonalities: International and further evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    20. Jansen, Maarten & Swinkels, Laurens & Zhou, Weili, 2021. "Anomalies in the China A-share market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Return seasonality; Investor mood; Anomalies; Return predictability;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:64:y:2020:i:c:s0927538x20305795. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/pacfin .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.