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Mutual fund managers' timing abilities

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  • Liao, Li
  • Zhang, Xueyong
  • Zhang, Yeqing

Abstract

This paper examines Chinese mutual fund managers' abilities to time market, market volatility, and market-wide liquidity. Using a sample of Chinese mutual funds, we employ both cross-sectional and bootstrap analyses and find strong evidence that, during 2001–2011, Chinese mutual fund managers demonstrated the ability to time market returns, volatility, and market liquidity. We also find top timers outperform bottom timers by 6–7% annually in out-of-sample tests, manifesting the practical meaning of timing ability. We then conduct robustness checks of our findings and the results are the same.

Suggested Citation

  • Liao, Li & Zhang, Xueyong & Zhang, Yeqing, 2017. "Mutual fund managers' timing abilities," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 80-96.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:pacfin:v:44:y:2017:i:c:p:80-96
    DOI: 10.1016/j.pacfin.2017.06.003
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    Cited by:

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    3. Leonardo Badea & Daniel Ştefan Armeanu & Iulian Panait & Ştefan Cristian Gherghina, 2019. "A Markov Regime Switching Approach towards Assessing Resilience of Romanian Collective Investment Undertakings," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-24, March.
    4. Zheng, Yao & Osmer, Eric & Bai, Yidan, 2021. "Timing market confidence in the Chinese domestic security market," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 298-311.
    5. Jiang, Jinglin & Liao, Li & Wang, Zhengwei & Xiang, Hongyu, 2020. "Financial literacy and retail investors' financial welfare: Evidence from mutual fund investment outcomes in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    6. Zhang, Tianjiao & Shen, Zhe & Sun, Qian, 2022. "Product market advertising and stock price crash risk," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    7. Wattanatorn, Woraphon & Padungsaksawasdi, Chaiyuth, 2021. "Cokurtosis and the Ability of Mutual Fund Managers," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    8. Sha, Yezhou & Gao, Ran, 2019. "Which is the best: A comparison of asset pricing factor models in Chinese mutual fund industry," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 8-16.
    9. Wang, Yang & Ashton, John K. & Jaafar, Aziz, 2019. "Does mutual fund investment influence accounting fraud?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 142-158.
    10. Minna Saunila & Juhani Ukko & Tero Rantala & Mina Nasiri & Hannu Rantanen, 2020. "Preceding operational capabilities as antecedents for productivity and innovation performance," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 90(4), pages 537-561, May.
    11. Jun-Hao Li & Chun-Fan You & Chin-Sheng Huang, 2020. "Do Mutual Fund Managers Time Market Sentiment?," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 11(5), pages 527-537, October.
    12. Niu, Geng & Zhou, Yang & Gan, Hongwu, 2020. "Financial literacy and retirement preparation in China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Market timing; Liquidity timing; Volatility timing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other
    • G29 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Other

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