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The impact of divorce precedents on the Japanese divorce rate

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  • Sakata, Kei
  • McKenzie, C.R.

Abstract

This paper undertakes a time series analysis of the Japanese divorce rate using annual data over the period 1964–2006. One of the key innovations of the paper is to use court decisions on divorce disputes to construct an index that seeks to measure how the probability of success in a divorce suit has changed over time. The computed index suggests that if it is the culpable party lodging the divorce suit, the probability of the suit being successful has clearly increased over time. The probability of winning a divorce suit appears to be an important factor in explaining the long-run rise in the Japanese divorce rate. The divorce rate also appears to be counter-cyclical.

Suggested Citation

  • Sakata, Kei & McKenzie, C.R., 2009. "The impact of divorce precedents on the Japanese divorce rate," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 2917-2926.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:79:y:2009:i:9:p:2917-2926
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.10.002
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Sakata, K. & McKenzie, C.R., 2011. "Social security and divorce in Japan," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 81(7), pages 1507-1517.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Divorce; Japan; Precedent; Time series analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D1 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior
    • K10 - Law and Economics - - Basic Areas of Law - - - General (Constitutional Law)
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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