IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v88y2024ics0301420723011431.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Fintech advancements for financial resilience: Analysing exchange rates and digital currencies during oil and financial risk

Author

Listed:
  • Afshan, Sahar
  • Leong, Ken Yien
  • Najmi, Arsalan
  • Razi, Ummara
  • Lelchumanan, Bawani
  • Cheong, Calvin Wing Hoh

Abstract

Given the rising technological revolution, the necessity to analyse the intricate interplay among Fintech, digital currencies, and exchange rates gains prominence, driven by the imperative of economic and financial sustainability. This urgency is accentuated by the need to navigate growing economic challenges and heightened financial strength requirements, particularly in the context of escalating oil price volatility, which amplifies financial market risks. In response, the current study examines the dynamic interactions between Fintech, digital currencies, exchange rates, oil price volatility, and financial risk spanning from 2011 to 2023, employing the most appropriate techniques are the Morlet Wavelet and time-frequency decomposition techniques, which enable this comprehensive study to investigate short-term and long-term associations between these variables. The findings of the study on the weekly data suggested that Fintech has a positive coherence with digital currency and exchange rate, which increases its potential to reshape the traditional financial market. Whereas the fintech relationship with oil price volatility and financial risk is negative, implying that fintech innovations and advancements have stabilised the effect of these risks. Digital currency and exchange rates have a phase relationship which affects international trade, cross-border remittances, and overall economic stability. In contrast, the nexus between digital currency and oil price volatility and financial risk is negative. The study also endorsed the mediating role of oil price volatility and financial risk for the interconnection between fintech digital currency and exchange rate. Owing to the rapid pace of fintech and currency restructuring, the current assessment aids in projecting forthcoming trends, prompting the adjustment of regulatory frameworks to align with the evolving market dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Afshan, Sahar & Leong, Ken Yien & Najmi, Arsalan & Razi, Ummara & Lelchumanan, Bawani & Cheong, Calvin Wing Hoh, 2024. "Fintech advancements for financial resilience: Analysing exchange rates and digital currencies during oil and financial risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:88:y:2024:i:c:s0301420723011431
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.104432
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420723011431
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2023.104432?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Le, TN-Lan & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Time and frequency domain connectedness and spill-over among fintech, green bonds and cryptocurrencies in the age of the fourth industrial revolution," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    2. Bush, Georgia & López Noria, Gabriela, 2021. "Uncertainty and exchange rate volatility: Evidence from Mexico," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 704-722.
    3. Sun, Yunpeng & Gao, Pengpeng & Raza, Syed Ali & Shah, Nida & Sharif, Arshian, 2023. "The asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on the world food prices: Fresh evidence from quantile-on-quantile regression approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 270(C).
    4. Obryan Poyser, 2017. "Exploring the determinants of Bitcoin's price: an application of Bayesian Structural Time Series," Papers 1706.01437, arXiv.org.
    5. Malik, Farooq & Umar, Zaghum, 2019. "Dynamic connectedness of oil price shocks and exchange rates," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    6. Allen, Franklin & Gu, Xian & Jagtiani, Julapa, 2022. "Fintech, Cryptocurrencies, and CBDC: Financial Structural Transformation in China," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    7. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Lucey, Brian M. & Karim, Sitara & Ghafoor, Abdul, 2022. "Do financial volatilities mitigate the risk of cryptocurrency indexes?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    8. Elsayed, Ahmed H. & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco, 2022. "Risk transmissions between bitcoin and traditional financial assets during the COVID-19 era: The role of global uncertainties," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    9. Wen, Danyan & Wang, Gang-Jin & Ma, Chaoqun & Wang, Yudong, 2019. "Risk spillovers between oil and stock markets: A VAR for VaR analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 524-535.
    10. Fan, Yanqin & Gençay, Ramazan, 2010. "Unit Root Tests With Wavelets," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 26(5), pages 1305-1331, October.
    11. S. Brock Blomberg & Ethan S. Harris, 1995. "The commodity-consumer price connection: fact or fable?," Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, vol. 1(Oct), pages 21-38.
    12. Ozili, Peterson K, 2023. "Determinants of interest in eNaira and financial inclusion information in Nigeria: role of Fintech, cryptocurrency and central bank digital currency," MPRA Paper 115990, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Raza, Syed Ali & Ahmed, Maiyra & Aloui, Chaker, 2022. "On the asymmetrical connectedness between cryptocurrencies and foreign exchange markets: Evidence from the nonparametric quantile on quantile approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    14. Lee, In & Shin, Yong Jae, 2018. "Fintech: Ecosystem, business models, investment decisions, and challenges," Business Horizons, Elsevier, vol. 61(1), pages 35-46.
    15. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Ghosh, Sudeshna & Doğan, Buhari, 2023. "Dynamic effect of Bitcoin, fintech and artificial intelligence stocks on eco-friendly assets, Islamic stocks and conventional financial markets: Another look using quantile-based approaches," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    16. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Aloui, Chaker & Jammazi, Rania, 2020. "On the interplay between US sectoral CDS, stock and VIX indices: Fresh insights from wavelet approaches," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 33(C).
    17. Yu, Yang & Guo, SongLin & Chang, XiaoChen, 2022. "Oil prices volatility and economic performance during COVID-19 and financial crises of 2007–2008," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    18. Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo & Dervis Kirikkaleli & Husam Rjoub, 2022. "Time–Frequency Analysis Between Economic Risk And Financial Risk In The Mint Nations: What Causes What?," Annals of Financial Economics (AFE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(02), pages 1-21, June.
    19. Razzaq, Asif & Sharif, Arshian & Ozturk, Ilhan & Afshan, Sahar, 2023. "Dynamic and threshold effects of energy transition and environmental governance on green growth in COP26 framework," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    20. Richard Agyabeng Donkor & Lord Mensah & Emmanuel Sarpong-Kumankoma, 2022. "Oil price volatility and US dollar exchange rate volatility of some oil-dependent economies," The Journal of International Trade & Economic Development, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(4), pages 581-597, May.
    21. Giulio Cornelli & Jon Frost & Leonardo Gambacorta & Raghavendra Rau & Robert Wardrop & Tania Ziegler, 2020. "Fintech and big tech credit: a new database," BIS Working Papers 887, Bank for International Settlements.
    22. Saffet Akdag & Ömer İskenderoglu & Andrew Adewale Alola, 2020. "The volatility spillover effects among risk appetite indexes: insight from the VIX and the rise," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 49-65, April.
    23. Lo, Gaye-Del & Marcelin, Isaac & Bassène, Théophile & Sène, Babacar, 2022. "The Russo-Ukrainian war and financial markets: the role of dependence on Russian commodities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    24. Raza, Syed Ali & Shah, Nida & Guesmi, Khaled & Msolli, Badreddine, 2022. "How does COVID-19 influence dynamic spillover connectedness between cryptocurrencies? Evidence from non-parametric causality-in-quantiles techniques," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    25. Anoop S Kumar & Taufeeq Ajaz, 2019. "Co-movement in crypto-currency markets: evidences from wavelet analysis," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 5(1), pages 1-17, December.
    26. Ozili, Peterson K, 2023. "Determinants of interest in eNaira and financial inclusion information in Nigeria: role of Fintech, cryptocurrency and central bank digital currency," MPRA Paper 116405, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    27. White, Reilly & Marinakis, Yorgos & Islam, Nazrul & Walsh, Steven, 2020. "Is Bitcoin a currency, a technology-based product, or something else?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    28. Yuandong, Su & Khaskheli, Asadullah & Raza, Syed Ali & Yousufi, Sara Qamar, 2022. "How COVID-19 influences prices of oil and precious metals: Comparison between data extracted from online searching trends and actual events," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    29. Ali, Fahad & Bouri, Elie & Naifar, Nader & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & AlAhmad, Mohammad, 2022. "An examination of whether gold-backed Islamic cryptocurrencies are safe havens for international Islamic equity markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    30. repec:idn:journl:v:21:y:2018:i:2:p:1-14 is not listed on IDEAS
    31. Wang, Yuyan & Wu, Qinghua & Razi, Ummara, 2023. "Drivers and mitigants of resources consumption in China: Discovering the role of digital finance and environmental regulations," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    32. Chaudhry, Sajid M. & Ahmed, Rizwan & Huynh, Toan Luu Duc & Benjasak, Chonlakan, 2022. "Tail risk and systemic risk of finance and technology (FinTech) firms," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    33. Diebold, Francis X. & Yilmaz, Kamil, 2012. "Better to give than to receive: Predictive directional measurement of volatility spillovers," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 57-66.
    34. Huang, Guan-Ying & Gau, Yin-Feng & Wu, Zhen-Xing, 2022. "Price discovery in fiat currency and cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PA).
    35. Li, Xiafei & Li, Bo & Wei, Guiwu & Bai, Lan & Wei, Yu & Liang, Chao, 2021. "Return connectedness among commodity and financial assets during the COVID-19 pandemic: Evidence from China and the US," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    36. Sharif, Arshian & Aloui, Chaker & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2020. "COVID-19 pandemic, oil prices, stock market, geopolitical risk and policy uncertainty nexus in the US economy: Fresh evidence from the wavelet-based approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    37. Wang, Yizhi & Wei, Yu & Lucey, Brian M. & Su, Yang, 2023. "Return spillover analysis across central bank digital currency attention and cryptocurrency markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    38. Umaid A. Sheikh & Muzaffar Asad & Zahid Ahmed & Umer Mukhtar & David McMillan, 2020. "Asymmetrical relationship between oil prices, gold prices, exchange rate, and stock prices during global financial crisis 2008: Evidence from Pakistan," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(1), pages 1757802-175, January.
    39. Karim, Sitara & Naz, Farah & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Vigne, Samuel A., 2022. "Is FinTech providing effective solutions to Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) in ASEAN countries?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 335-344.
    40. Taufeeque Ahmad Siddiqui & Haseen Ahmed & Mohammad Naushad & Uzma Khan, 2023. "The Relationship between Oil Prices and Exchange Rate: A Systematic Literature Review," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(3), pages 566-578, May.
    41. repec:eme:mfppss:mf-08-2021-0355 is not listed on IDEAS
    42. Moinak Maiti & Parthajit Kayal, 2022. "Asymmetric Information Flow between Exchange Rate, Oil, and Gold: New Evidence from Transfer Entropy Approach," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-14, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang Ying & Igor A. Mayburov & Yulia V. Leontyeva, 2024. "Assessing the Bankruptcy Risks of China's Emerging Port Industries: Modeling and Early Warning," Journal of Applied Economic Research, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, vol. 23(3), pages 776-800.
    2. Fan, Min & Lu, Zhixi & Zhou, Yun & Wang, Jian, 2024. "Threshold and spillovers effects of fintech on China's energy dependence on fossil fuel," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    3. He, Bo & Jie, Wen & He, Haihong & Alsubih, Majed & Arnone, Gioia & Makhmudov, Samariddin, 2024. "From resources to resilience: How green innovation, fintech and natural resources shape sustainability in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    4. Yu, Dan & Wang, Shenghu & Yi, Yuting & Ren, Yu, 2024. "The role of fintech, natural resources and trade policy uncertainty towards SDGs in China: New insights from nonlinear approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wang, Yizhi & Lucey, Brian M. & Vigne, Samuel A. & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "The Effects of Central Bank Digital Currencies News on Financial Markets," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
    2. Dong, Xueqin & Huang, Lilong, 2024. "Exploring ripple effect of oil price, fintech, and financial stress on clean energy stocks: A global perspective," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    3. Pacelli, Vincenzo & Miglietta, Federica & Foglia, Matteo, 2022. "The extreme risk connectedness of the new financial system: European evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    4. Liu, Jianjian & Wang, Shuhan & Xiang, Lijin & Ma, Shiqun & Xiao, Zumian, 2024. "Unveiling hidden connections: Spillover among BRICS' cryptocurrency-implied exchange rate discounts and US financial markets," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Dunbar, Kwamie, 2023. "CBDC uncertainty: Financial market implications," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    6. Yousaf, Imran & Youssef, Manel & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Tail connectedness between artificial intelligence tokens, artificial intelligence ETFs, and traditional asset classes," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    7. Zhou, Yang & Xie, Chi & Wang, Gang-Jin & Gong, Jue & Li, Zhao-Chen & Zhu, You, 2024. "Who dominate the information flowing between innovative and traditional financial assets? A multiscale entropy-based approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PB), pages 329-358.
    8. Wei, Yu & Wang, Yizhi & Vigne, Samuel A. & Ma, Zhenyu, 2023. "Alarming contagion effects: The dangerous ripple effect of extreme price spillovers across crude oil, carbon emission allowance, and agriculture futures markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    9. Zhang, Hua & Chen, Jinyu & Shao, Liuguo, 2021. "Dynamic spillovers between energy and stock markets and their implications in the context of COVID-19," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    10. Yousaf, Imran & Jareño, Francisco & Tolentino, Marta, 2023. "Connectedness between Defi assets and equity markets during COVID-19: A sector analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    11. Ohikhuare, Obaika M., 2023. "How geopolitical risk drives spillover interconnectedness between crude oil and exchange rate markets: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    12. Mensi, Walid & Al Rababa'a, Abdel Razzaq & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Asymmetric spillover and network connectedness between crude oil, gold, and Chinese sector stock markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    13. Umar, Zaghum & Jareño, Francisco & Escribano, Ana, 2021. "Oil price shocks and the return and volatility spillover between industrial and precious metals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    14. Szafranek, Karol & Rubaszek, Michał & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2024. "The role of uncertainty and sentiment for intraday volatility connectedness between oil and financial markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    15. Pandey, Dharen Kumar & Hassan, M.Kabir & Kumari, Vineeta & Zaied, Younes Ben & Rai, Varun Kumar, 2024. "Mapping the landscape of FinTech in banking and finance: A bibliometric review," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    16. Chen, Jianyu & Zhang, Jianshun, 2023. "Crude oil price shocks, volatility spillovers, and global systemic financial risk transmission mechanisms: Evidence from the stock and foreign exchange markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    17. Bas, Tugba & Malki, Issam & Sivaprasad, Sheeja, 2024. "Connectedness between central bank digital currency index, financial stability and digital assets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    18. Bouri, Elie & Lei, Xiaojie & Xu, Yahua & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "Connectedness in implied higher-order moments of precious metals and energy markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PB).
    19. Anwer, Zaheer & Khan, Ashraf & Kabir Hassan, M. & Rashid, Mamunur, 2022. "Does the regional proximity lead to exchange rate spillover?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    20. Cui, Jinxin & Goh, Mark & Li, Binlin & Zou, Huiwen, 2021. "Dynamic dependence and risk connectedness among oil and stock markets: New evidence from time-frequency domain perspectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:88:y:2024:i:c:s0301420723011431. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.