IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v77y2022ics030142072200157x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does economic, political, and financial risk cause volatility in natural resources? Comparative study of China and Brazil

Author

Listed:
  • Lei, Wei
  • Yang, Jiaxin

Abstract

The wide range of natural resource usage in economic, political and financial plans requires a complete assessment in economies like China and Brazil in order to design long-term strategies for economic stability and progress that contribute to global wealth. To serve this purpose, this study analyzes the impact of risk on volatility in natural resources in case of Brazil and China. The purpose is to make a comparative analysis of the two major economies such as Brazil and China. To serve this purpose, we employ Frequency Domain Causality (FDC) test, which can check the causal nexus between variables at three different runs. Our findings suggest that political risk index, economic and financial risks granger cause natural resource volatility at all three runs in Brazil. In case of China, economic and financial risk granger cause natural resource volatility at all three runs. However, political risk index causes natural resource volatility only in medium run to long run. In short run, PRI does not cause natural resource volatility. To sum up, this study concludes that economic, financial and political risks are considered leading challenges with significant implications for natural resource rents in Brazil and China. This study proposes that Brazil and China need to provide the foundation for sustainable development and poverty eradication by managing natural resources responsibly.

Suggested Citation

  • Lei, Wei & Yang, Jiaxin, 2022. "Does economic, political, and financial risk cause volatility in natural resources? Comparative study of China and Brazil," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:77:y:2022:i:c:s030142072200157x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102709
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S030142072200157X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2022.102709?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yazan Qashou & Ahmed Samour & Mohammed Abumunshar, 2022. "Does the Real Estate Market and Renewable Energy Induce Carbon Dioxide Emissions? Novel Evidence from Turkey," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-13, January.
    2. Shahzad, Umer & Sarwar, Suleman & Farooq, Muhammad Umar & Qin, Fengming, 2020. "USAID, official development assistance and counter terrorism efforts: Pre and post 9/11 analysis for South Asia," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    3. Juncal Cunado & Rangan Gupta & Chi Keung Marco Lau & Xin Sheng, 2020. "Time-Varying Impact of Geopolitical Risks on Oil Prices," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(6), pages 692-706, August.
    4. Dietz, Simon & Neumayer, Eric & De Soysa, Indra, 2007. "Corruption, the resource curse and genuine saving," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(1), pages 33-53, February.
    5. Halvor Mehlum & Karl Moene & Ragnar Torvik, 2006. "Institutions and the Resource Curse," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 116(508), pages 1-20, January.
    6. Brock Blomberg & Gregory Hess & J. Hunter Jackson, 2009. "Terrorism And The Returns To Oil," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 409-432, November.
    7. Umar, Muhammad & Ji, Xiangfeng & Mirza, Nawazish & Rahat, Birjees, 2021. "The impact of resource curse on banking efficiency: Evidence from twelve oil producing countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    8. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Zakaria, Muhammad & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar, 2018. "The energy consumption and economic growth nexus in top ten energy-consuming countries: Fresh evidence from using the quantile-on-quantile approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 282-301.
    9. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Selmi, Refk & Hammoudeh, Shawkat & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "What are the categories of geopolitical risks that could drive oil prices higher? Acts or threats?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    10. Antonakakis, Nikolaos & Gupta, Rangan & Kollias, Christos & Papadamou, Stephanos, 2017. "Geopolitical risks and the oil-stock nexus over 1899–2016," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 165-173.
    11. Nicholas Bloom, 2009. "The Impact of Uncertainty Shocks," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 77(3), pages 623-685, May.
    12. Ahmed Samour & M. Mine Baskaya & Turgut Tursoy, 2022. "The Impact of Financial Development and FDI on Renewable Energy in the UAE: A Path towards Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-14, January.
    13. Canh, Nguyen Phuc & Schinckus, Christophe & Thanh, Su Dinh, 2020. "The natural resources rents: Is economic complexity a solution for resource curse?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    14. Shahzad, Umer & Schneider, Nicolas & Ben Jebli, Mehdi, 2021. "How coal and geothermal energies interact with industrial development and carbon emissions? An autoregressive distributed lags approach to the Philippines," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    15. Wensheng Kang & Ronald A. Ratti, 2015. "Oil shocks, policy uncertainty and stock returns in China," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 23(4), pages 657-676, October.
    16. Halvor Mehlum & Karl Moene & Ragnar Torvik, 2006. "Cursed by Resources or Institutions?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(8), pages 1117-1131, August.
    17. Mustafa Kamal & Muhammad Usman & Atif Jahanger & Daniel Balsalobre-Lorente, 2021. "Revisiting the Role of Fiscal Policy, Financial Development, and Foreign Direct Investment in Reducing Environmental Pollution during Globalization Mode: Evidence from Linear and Nonlinear Panel Data ," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-25, October.
    18. Li, Zongyun & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Rubbaniy, Ghulame & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Understanding the dynamics of resource curse in G7 countries: The role of natural resource rents and the three facets of financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    19. Nuno Carlos Leitão & Daniel Balsalobre-Lorente & José María Cantos-Cantos, 2021. "The Impact of Renewable Energy and Economic Complexity on Carbon Emissions in BRICS Countries under the EKC Scheme," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-15, August.
    20. Ampofo, Gideon Kwaku Minua & Cheng, Jinhua & Asante, Daniel Akwasi & Bosah, Philip, 2020. "Total natural resource rents, trade openness and economic growth in the top mineral-rich countries: New evidence from nonlinear and asymmetric analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    21. Umer Shahzad & Muhammad Ramzan & Muhammad Ibrahim Shah & Buhari DoÄŸan & Ahdi Noomen Ajmi, 2022. "Analyzing the Nexus Between Geopolitical Risk, Policy Uncertainty, and Tourist Arrivals: Evidence From the United States," Evaluation Review, , vol. 46(3), pages 266-295, June.
    22. Sim, Nicholas & Zhou, Hongtao, 2015. "Oil prices, US stock return, and the dependence between their quantiles," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 1-8.
    23. Wei, Hua & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Ahmad, Ferhana & Zhang, Yuchen, 2020. "Resource cursed or resource blessed? The role of investment and energy prices in G7 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    24. Lescaroux, François, 2009. "On the excess co-movement of commodity prices--A note about the role of fundamental factors in short-run dynamics," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(10), pages 3906-3913, October.
    25. Su, Chi-Wei & Khan, Khalid & Tao, Ran & Umar, Muhammad, 2020. "A review of resource curse burden on inflation in Venezuela," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    26. Ji, Xiangfeng & Chen, Xueqi & Mirza, Nawazish & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Sustainable energy goals and investment premium: Evidence from renewable and conventional equity mutual funds in the Euro zone," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    27. Balsalobre-Lorente, Daniel & Ibáñez-Luzón, Lucia & Usman, Muhammad & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2022. "The environmental Kuznets curve, based on the economic complexity, and the pollution haven hypothesis in PIIGS countries," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 1441-1455.
    28. Noguera-Santaella, José, 2016. "Geopolitics and the oil price," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 301-309.
    29. Shahid ALI & Maryam BIBI & Fazli RABBI, 2014. "A New Economic Dimension to the Environmental Kuznets Curve: Estimation of Environmental Efficiency in Case of Pakistan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(1), pages 68-79, January.
    30. Hao, Linna & Ahmad, Shabbir & Chang, Hsu-Ling & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Knowledge spill-over and institutional quality role in controlling Dutch disease: A case of BRICS countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    31. Chaker Aloui & Hela Ben Hamida, 2021. "Oil-stock Nexus in an Oil-rich Country: Does Geopolitical Risk Matter in Terms of Investment Horizons?," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 468-488, May.
    32. Shahid ALI & Maryam BIBI & Fazli RABBI, 2014. "A New Economic Dimension to the Environmental Kuznets Curve: Estimation of Environmental Efficiency in Case of Pakistan," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(1), pages 68-79.
    33. Chen, Zhonglu & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Is investor sentiment stronger than VIX and uncertainty indices in predicting energy volatility?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    34. Kassouri, Yacouba & Altıntaş, Halil & Bilgili, Faik, 2020. "An investigation of the financial resource curse hypothesis in oil-exporting countries: The threshold effect of democratic accountability," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    35. Hattendorff, Christian, 2014. "Natural resources, demand for external finance and financial development," Discussion Papers 2014/33, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
    36. Yang, Jinxuan & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Tan, Zhixiong & Umar, Muhammad & Koondhar, Mansoor Ahmed, 2021. "The competing role of natural gas and oil as fossil fuel and the non-linear dynamics of resource curse in Russia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. He, Kang & Gan, Yue & Wu, Hong, 2024. "Natural resources, decentralized system, financial inclusion and sustainable development: Evidence from top emerging economies with resources abundance," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Xu, Xiaofang & Yu, Wanqing & Zhao, Xingju & Xu, Wei, 2023. "Reassessing the linkage between natural resources and economic growth in China: Delving into the impacts of national resource taxes, renewable energy, financial advancements, and provincial fiscal exp," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
    3. Ferreira, João J. & Gomes, Sofia & Lopes, João M. & Zhang, Justin Z., 2023. "Ticking time bombs: The MENA and SSA regions' geopolitical risks," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    4. Meng, Lingyan & Li, Jinshi, 2024. "Natural resources volatility and geopolitical risk: A novel perspective of oil and mineral rents using quantile-quantile regression for China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Teng, Yin-Pei, 2023. "Natural resources extraction and sustainable development: Linear and non-linear resources curse hypothesis perspective for high income countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    2. Luan, Yunpeng & Ye, Shili & Li, Yanmei & Jia, Lu & Yue, Xiao-Guang, 2022. "Revisiting natural resources volatility via TGARCH and EGARCH," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    3. Pan, Changchun & Sun, Tiezhu & Mirza, Nawazish & Huang, Yuzhe, 2022. "The pricing of low emission transitions: Evidence from stock returns of natural resource firms in the GCC," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    4. Li, Tianyu & Yue, Xiao-Guang & Waheed, Humayun & Yıldırım, Bilal, 2023. "Can energy efficiency and natural resources foster economic growth? Evidence from BRICS countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    5. Huawei, Tian, 2022. "Does gross domestic product, inflation, total investment, and exchanges rate matter in natural resources commodity prices volatility," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    6. Wang, Xiang & Yin, Jian & Yang, Yao & Muda, Iskandar & Abduvaxitovna, Shamansurova Zilola & AlWadi, Belal Mahmoud & Castillo-Picon, Jorge & Abdul-Samad, Zulkiflee, 2023. "Relationship between the resource curse, Forest management and sustainable development and the importance of R&D Projects," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    7. Zhou, Haonan & Li, Dongxin & Mustafa, Faisal & Altuntaş, Mehmet, 2022. "Natural resources volatility and South Asian economies: Evaluating the role of COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    8. Cui, Moyang & Wong, Wing-Keung & Wisetsri, Worakamol & Mabrouk, Fatma & Muda, Iskandar & Li, Zeyun & Hassan, Marria, 2023. "Do oil, gold and metallic price volatilities prove gold as a safe haven during COVID-19 pandemic? Novel evidence from COVID-19 data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Zhang, Yichi & Wang, Qiao & Tian, Tian & Yang, Yuan, 2022. "Volatility in natural resources, economic performance, and public administration quality: Evidence from COVID-19," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    10. Selmi, Refk & Bouoiyour, Jamal & Miftah, Amal, 2020. "Oil price jumps and the uncertainty of oil supplies in a geopolitical perspective: The role of OPEC’s spare capacity," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 18-35.
    11. Liu, Guangqiang & Zeng, Qing & Lei, Juan, 2022. "Dynamic risks from climate policy uncertainty: A case study for the natural gas market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    12. Deng, Wei & Akram, Rabia & Mirza, Nawazish, 2022. "Economic performance and natural resources: Evaluating the role of economic risk," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    13. Dogan, Eyup & Majeed, Muhammad Tariq & Luni, Tania, 2021. "Analyzing the impacts of geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty on natural resources rents," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    14. Khan, Zeeshan & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Badeeb, Ramez Abubakr & Zhang, Changyong, 2023. "Aggregate and disaggregate impact of natural resources on economic performance: Role of green growth and human capital," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    15. Alssadek, Marwan & Benhin, James, 2023. "Natural resource curse: A literature survey and comparative assessment of regional groupings of oil-rich countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    16. Zhang, Ziwei & Zhang, Chao, 2023. "Revisiting the importance of forest rents, oil rents, green growth in economic performance of China: Employing time series methods," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    17. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Tang, Huayun & Li, Ding, 2022. "The roles of oil shocks and geopolitical uncertainties on China’s green bond returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 494-505.
    18. Li, Zongyun & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Rubbaniy, Ghulame & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Understanding the dynamics of resource curse in G7 countries: The role of natural resource rents and the three facets of financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    19. Choi, Sun-Yong, 2022. "Evidence from a multiple and partial wavelet analysis on the impact of geopolitical concerns on stock markets in North-East Asian countries," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    20. Sun, Yanpeng & Chang, Hsuling & Vasbieva, Dinara G. & Andlib, Zubaria, 2022. "Economic performance, investment in energy resources, foreign trade, and natural resources volatility nexus: Evidence from China's provincial data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:77:y:2022:i:c:s030142072200157x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.