IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jrpoli/v63y2019ic4.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Seasonal patterns and calendar anomalies in the commodity market for natural resources

Author

Listed:
  • Qadan, Mahmoud
  • Aharon, David Y.
  • Eichel, Ron

Abstract

This study investigates whether a wide range of 25 anomalies documented in the finance literature with regard to equities exist in nine natural resources that include precious metals and energy commodities (gold, silver, palladium, platinum, copper, zinc and energy-based resources: oil, heating oil, and natural gas). Using daily, weekly and monthly data for 1986 to 2018, we find evidence of the existence of many of these anomalies in the commodity market. The results, in many cases, are particularly significant after the earlier periods of the 2000s, during the financialization of commodities era when many international portfolio and hedge fund managers, as well as retail investors, increased their exposure to commodities. Our results are robust for different estimation procedures and subsamples.

Suggested Citation

  • Qadan, Mahmoud & Aharon, David Y. & Eichel, Ron, 2019. "Seasonal patterns and calendar anomalies in the commodity market for natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 1-1.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:63:y:2019:i:c:4
    DOI: 10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101435
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301420719300133
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.resourpol.2019.101435?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kopacz, Michał & Sobczyk, Eugeniusz J. & Galica, Dominik, 2018. "The impact of variability and correlation of selected geological parameters on the economic assessment of bituminous coal deposits with use of non-parametric bootstrap and copula-based Monte Carlo sim," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 171-183.
    2. Graham, John R. & Harvey, Campbell R., 2001. "The theory and practice of corporate finance: evidence from the field," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(2-3), pages 187-243, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chhabra, Damini & Gupta, Mohit, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in commodity markets for natural resources: Evidence from India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. Potrykus Marcin & Augustynowicz Urszula, 2024. "The “autumn effect” in the gold market—does it contradict the Adaptive Market Hypothesis?," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 60(3), pages 157-172.
    3. Algieri, Bernardina & Lawuobahsumo, Kokulo & Leccadito, Arturo, 2024. "Calendar Effects on Returns, Volatility and Higher Moments: Evidence from Crypto Markets," LIDAM Discussion Papers LFIN 2024001, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
    4. Cordero, Arkangel M., 2023. "Community and aftershock: New venture founding in the wake of deadly natural disasters," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 38(2).
    5. Li, Wenhui & Zhu, Qi & Wen, Fenghua & Nor, Normaziah Mohd, 2022. "The evolution of day-of-the-week and the implications in crude oil market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    6. Qadan, Mahmoud & Aharon, David Y. & Eichel, Ron, 2022. "Seasonal and Calendar Effects and the Price Efficiency of Cryptocurrencies," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    7. Nekhili, Ramzi & Sultan, Jahangir & Mensi, Walid, 2021. "Co-movements among precious metals and implications for portfolio management: A multivariate wavelet-based dynamic analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Frank D. Hodge & Roger D. Martin & Jamie H. Pratt, 2006. "Audit Qualifications of Income†Decreasing Accounting Choices," Contemporary Accounting Research, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 23(2), pages 369-394, June.
    2. Fogel, Kathy & Jandik, Tomas & McCumber, William R., 2018. "CFO social capital and private debt," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 28-52.
    3. YV Reddy, 2012. "Summary of the discussion," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Financial sector regulation for growth, equity and stability, volume 62, pages 39-40, Bank for International Settlements.
    4. ManYing Kang & Marcel Ausloos, 2017. "An Inverse Problem Study: Credit Risk Ratings as a Determinant of Corporate Governance and Capital Structure in Emerging Markets: Evidence from Chinese Listed Companies," Economies, MDPI, vol. 5(4), pages 1-23, November.
    5. Ulrike Malmendier & Vincenzo Pezone & Hui Zheng, 2023. "Managerial Duties and Managerial Biases," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(6), pages 3174-3201, June.
    6. Zabolotnyy, Serihiy & Wasilewski, Mirosław, 2018. "Operating and financial leverage as risk measures in agricultural companies," Problems of Agricultural Economics / Zagadnienia Ekonomiki Rolnej 276377, Institute of Agricultural and Food Economics - National Research Institute (IAFE-NRI).
    7. Ayyagari, Meghana & Demirguc-Kunt, Asli & Maksimovic, Vojislav, 2014. "Does local financial development matter for firm lifecycle in India ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7008, The World Bank.
    8. Jennifer Blouin & Harry Huizinga & Luc Laeven & Gaëtan Nicodème, 2013. "Thin capitalization rules and multinational firm capital structure," Working Papers 1323, Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation.
    9. Luca Riccetti & Alberto Russo & Mauro Gallegati, 2015. "An agent based decentralized matching macroeconomic model," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 10(2), pages 305-332, October.
    10. Koh, SzeKee & Durand, Robert B. & Watson, Iain, 2011. "Seize the moment: Opportunism in Australian capital markets," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 19(4), pages 374-389, September.
    11. Andres, Christian & Cumming, Douglas & Karabiber, Timur & Schweizer, Denis, 2014. "Do markets anticipate capital structure decisions? — Feedback effects in equity liquidity," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 133-156.
    12. Ullah, Barkat, 2021. "Does innovation explain the performance gap between privatized and private firms?," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    13. Qian Wang & Duowen Wu & Lina Yan, 2021. "Effect of positive tone in MD&A disclosure on capital structure adjustment speed: evidence from China," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(4), pages 5809-5845, December.
    14. Anoshkina, Ekaterina S. (Аношкина, Екатерина) & Markovskaya, Elizaveta I. (Марковская, Елизавета), 2018. "Empirical Analysis of Capital Structure Determinants of Russian Oil and Gas Companies [Анализ Структуры Капитала Российских Компаний Нефтегазового Сектора]," Ekonomicheskaya Politika / Economic Policy, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration, vol. 5, pages 80-109, October.
    15. Ahammad, Mohammad Faisal & Tarba, Shlomo Yedidia & Liu, Yipeng & Glaister, Keith W., 2016. "Knowledge transfer and cross-border acquisition performance: The impact of cultural distance and employee retention," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 66-75.
    16. Guedes, José & Santos, Pedro, 2016. "Valuing an offshore oil exploration and production project through real options analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 377-386.
    17. H. Henry Cao & Bing Han & David Hirshleifer & Harold H. Zhang, 2011. "Fear of the Unknown: Familiarity and Economic Decisions," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 15(1), pages 173-206.
    18. J. Sarmiento-Sabogal & M. Sadeghi, 2015. "Estimating the cost of equity for private firms using accounting fundamentals," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(3), pages 288-301, January.
    19. Wenlian Gao & Feifei Zhu & Kai Chen, 2023. "The role of bank lenders in firm leverage adjustments," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 46(1), pages 63-97, February.
    20. Surenderrao Komera & P. J. Jijo Lukose, 2016. "Heterogeneity and Asymmetry in Speed of Leverage Adjustment: The Indian Experience," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 19(03), pages 1-26, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Calendar anomalies; Commodities; Gold; Silver; Platinum; Palladium; Copper; Precious metals; Seasonal patterns; Oil; Heating oil; Natural gas;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L61 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - Metals and Metal Products; Cement; Glass; Ceramics
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • Q02 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - - Commodity Market

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jrpoli:v:63:y:2019:i:c:4. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30467 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.