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The emergence of the new economic order: Growth in the G7 and the G20

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  • Jorgenson, Dale W.
  • Vu, Khuong Minh

Abstract

The massive reconfiguration of the world economy over the next decade will lead to a New Economic Order by 2020. China will displace the U.S. as the world's leading economy and India will overtake Japan. This will shift the balance of the G20 from the leading industrialized economies of the G7 to the emerging economies, especially China and India. The rise of the Asian model of economic growth will underscore the importance of globalization and will shift the balance of the theory of economic growth from innovation to investment in human and nonhuman capital. The transformation of official statistical systems to reflect these changes is already underway around the world.

Suggested Citation

  • Jorgenson, Dale W. & Vu, Khuong Minh, 2013. "The emergence of the new economic order: Growth in the G7 and the G20," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 389-399.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jpolmo:v:35:y:2013:i:3:p:389-399
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jpolmod.2013.03.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Dale W. Jorgenson, 2012. "The World KLEMS Initiative," International Productivity Monitor, Centre for the Study of Living Standards, vol. 24, pages 5-19, Fall.
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    Cited by:

    1. Khanindra Ch. Das & Nilanjan Banik, 2015. "Outbound Foreign Direct Investment from China and India," China Report, , vol. 51(3), pages 204-229, August.
    2. Harry X. WU & David T. LIANG, 2017. "Accounting for the Role of Information and Communication Technology in China's Productivity Growth," Discussion papers 17111, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    3. Sedika, Wesam M. & Emamb, Waleed, 2019. "The impact of ICT capital and use on economic growth," 2nd Europe – Middle East – North African Regional ITS Conference, Aswan 2019: Leveraging Technologies For Growth 201738, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
    4. Ilya B. Voskoboynikov, 2021. "Accounting for growth in the USSR and Russia, 1950–2012," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 870-894, July.
    5. Jorgenson, Dale W. & Vu, Khuong M., 2016. "The ICT revolution, world economic growth, and policy issues," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 383-397.
    6. Jorgenson, Dale W. & Ho, Mun S. & Samuels, Jon D., 2016. "The impact of information technology on postwar US economic growth," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 398-411.
    7. Frost, Jon & van Stralen, René, 2018. "Macroprudential policy and income inequality," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 278-290.
    8. Erumban, Abdul A. & Das, Deb Kusum, 2016. "Information and communication technology and economic growth in India," Telecommunications Policy, Elsevier, vol. 40(5), pages 412-431.
    9. Jorgenson, Dale W. & Vu, Khuong M., 2016. "The outlook for emerging economies," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 670-682.
    10. Rada, Codrina & von Arnim, Rudiger, 2014. "India's structural transformation and role in the world economy," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 1-23.
    11. Das, Gouranga Gopal, 2015. "Why some countries are slow in acquiring new technologies? A model of trade-led diffusion and absorption," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 65-91.
    12. Davut Emrah Ayan & Laurel L. Haak & Donna K. Ginther, 2023. "How many people in the world do research and development?," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 14(2), pages 270-287, May.
    13. Jorgenson, Dale W. & Vu, Khuong M., 2015. "Australia and the growth of the world economy: 24th Colin Clark Memorial Lecture," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 90-100.
    14. Dale W. Jorgenson & Mun S. Ho & Jon D. Samuels, 2017. "Educational Attainment and the Revival of US Economic Growth," NBER Chapters, in: Education, Skills, and Technical Change: Implications for Future US GDP Growth, pages 23-60, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Growth; Investment; World economy; Emerging economies; Official statistics;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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