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Are firm growth paths random? A reply to “Firm growth and the illusion of randomness”

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  • Coad, Alex
  • Frankish, Julian S.
  • Roberts, Richard G.
  • Storey, David J

Abstract

We respond to Derbyshire and Garnsey's article "Firm growth and the illusion of randomness", adding theoretical and methological clarifications as well as some new empirical evidence.

Suggested Citation

  • Coad, Alex & Frankish, Julian S. & Roberts, Richard G. & Storey, David J, 2015. "Are firm growth paths random? A reply to “Firm growth and the illusion of randomness”," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 5-8.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jobuve:v:3:y:2015:i:c:p:5-8
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbvi.2014.11.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Julian S. Frankish & Richard G. Roberts & Alex Coad & Taylor C. Spears & David J. Storey, 2013. "Do entrepreneurs really learn? Or do they just tell us that they do?," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 22(1), pages 73-106, February.
    2. Giulio Bottazzi & Angelo Secchi, 2006. "Gibrat's Law and diversification," Industrial and Corporate Change, Oxford University Press and the Associazione ICC, vol. 15(5), pages 847-875, October.
    3. Sutton, John, 2002. "The variance of firm growth rates: the ‘scaling’ puzzle," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 312(3), pages 577-590.
    4. Derbyshire, James & Garnsey, Elizabeth, 2014. "Firm growth and the illusion of randomness," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 1, pages 8-11.
    5. Alex Coad, 2009. "The Growth of Firms," Books, Edward Elgar Publishing, number 13424.
    6. Jovanovic, Boyan, 1982. "Selection and the Evolution of Industry," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(3), pages 649-670, May.
    7. Louis K. C. Chan & Jason Karceski & Josef Lakonishok, 2003. "The Level and Persistence of Growth Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(2), pages 643-684, April.
    8. Coad, Alex & Frankish, Julian & Roberts, Richard G. & Storey, David J., 2013. "Growth paths and survival chances: An application of Gambler's Ruin theory," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 615-632.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Derbyshire, James & Garnsey, Elizabeth, 2015. "Are firm growth paths random? A further response regarding Gambler's Ruin Theory," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 3(C), pages 9-11.
    2. Bort, James & Totterman, Henrik, 2023. "The growth aspirations of underdog entrepreneurs," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    3. Alex Coad & Sven-Olov Daunfeldt & Daniel Halvarsson, 2022. "Amundsen versus Scott: are growth paths related to firm performance?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 593-610, August.
    4. Alex Coad & Stjepan Srhoj, 2020. "Catching Gazelles with a Lasso: Big data techniques for the prediction of high-growth firms," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 541-565, October.
    5. Giulio Bottazzi & Taewon Kang & Federico Tamagni, 2023. "Persistence in firm growth: inference from conditional quantile transition matrices," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 745-770, August.
    6. Ari Hyytinen & Petri Rouvinen & Mika Pajarinen & Joosua Virtanen, 2023. "Ex Ante Predictability of Rapid Growth: A Design Science Approach," Entrepreneurship Theory and Practice, , vol. 47(6), pages 2465-2493, November.
    7. Schneck, Stefan & Werner, Arndt & Wolter, Hans-Jürgen, 2021. "A replication study on growth paths of young firms: Evidence from German administrative data," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 16(C).
    8. Habermann, Harald, 2017. "Business takeovers and firm growth: Empirical evidence from a German panel," Working Papers 01/17, Institut für Mittelstandsforschung (IfM) Bonn.
    9. Michael Anyadike-Danes & Mark Hart, 2018. "All grown up? The fate after 15 years of a quarter of a million UK firms born in 1998," Journal of Evolutionary Economics, Springer, vol. 28(1), pages 45-76, January.
    10. Alex Coad, 2022. "Lumps, Bumps and Jumps in the Firm Growth Process," Foundations and Trends(R) in Entrepreneurship, now publishers, vol. 18(4), pages 212-267, April.
    11. Alex Coad & Julian S. Frankish & Richard G. Roberts & David J. Storey, 2016. "Predicting new venture survival and growth: Does the fog lift?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 217-241, June.
    12. Delmar, Frédéric & Wallin, Jonas & Nofal, Ahmed Maged, 2022. "Modeling new-firm growth and survival with panel data using event magnitude regression," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 37(5).
    13. Wennberg, Karl & Anderson, Brian S., 2020. "Editorial: Enhancing the exploration and communication of quantitative entrepreneurship research," Journal of Business Venturing, Elsevier, vol. 35(3).

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