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Weak convergence of non-stationary multivariate marked processes with applications to martingale testing

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  • Escanciano, J. Carlos

Abstract

This paper establishes the weak convergence of a class of marked empirical processes of possibly non-stationary and/or non-ergodic multivariate time series sequences under martingale conditions. The assumptions involved are similar to those in Brown's martingale central limit theorem. In particular, no mixing conditions are imposed. As an application, we propose a test statistic for the martingale hypothesis and we derive its asymptotic null distribution. Finally, a Monte Carlo study shows that the asymptotic results provide good approximations for small and moderate sample sizes. An application to the S&P 500 is also considered.

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  • Escanciano, J. Carlos, 2007. "Weak convergence of non-stationary multivariate marked processes with applications to martingale testing," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 98(7), pages 1321-1336, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:98:y:2007:i:7:p:1321-1336
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Deo, Rohit S., 2000. "Spectral tests of the martingale hypothesis under conditional heteroscedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 99(2), pages 291-315, December.
    2. Escanciano, J. Carlos & Velasco, Carlos, 2006. "Generalized spectral tests for the martingale difference hypothesis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 134(1), pages 151-185, September.
    3. Park, Joon Y & Phillips, Peter C B, 2001. "Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(1), pages 117-161, January.
    4. Bierens, Herman J., 1982. "Consistent model specification tests," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 20(1), pages 105-134, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Qiying & Wu, Dongsheng & Zhu, Ke, 2018. "Model checks for nonlinear cointegrating regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 207(2), pages 261-284.
    2. Juan Carlos Escanciano & Zaichao Du, 2015. "Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for Tail Risk," CAEPR Working Papers 2015-001, Center for Applied Economics and Policy Research, Department of Economics, Indiana University Bloomington.
    3. Ferger, Dietmar, 2009. "Argmax-stable marked empirical processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(9), pages 1203-1206, May.
    4. Zaichao Du, 2016. "Nonparametric bootstrap tests for independence of generalized errors," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 19(1), pages 55-83, February.
    5. Yoichi Nishiyama, 2009. "Goodness‐of‐fit test for a nonlinear time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 30(6), pages 674-681, November.
    6. Xuexin WANG, 2021. "Generalized Spectral Tests for High Dimensional Multivariate Martingale Difference Hypotheses," Working Papers 2021-11-06, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    7. Zaichao Du & Juan Carlos Escanciano, 2017. "Backtesting Expected Shortfall: Accounting for Tail Risk," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(4), pages 940-958, April.
    8. Peter C. B. Phillips & Sainan Jin, 2014. "Testing the Martingale Hypothesis," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(4), pages 537-554, October.
    9. Zaichao Du & Juan Carlos Escanciano, 2015. "A Nonparametric Distribution-Free Test for Serial Independence of Errors," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(6-10), pages 1011-1034, December.
    10. Du, Zaichao, 2014. "Testing for serial independence of panel errors," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 248-261.
    11. Alejandra Cabaña & Enrique M. Cabaña & Marco Scavino, 2012. "Weak Convergence of Marked Empirical Processes for Focused Inference on AR(p) vs AR(p + 1) Stationary Time Series," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 14(3), pages 793-810, September.
    12. Juan Carlos Escanciano & Chuan Goh, 2010. "Specification Analysis of Structural Quantile Regression Models," Working Papers tecipa-415, University of Toronto, Department of Economics.

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