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Kernel-based goodness-of-fit tests for copulas with fixed smoothing parameters

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  • Scaillet, Olivier

Abstract

We study a test statistic based on the integrated squared difference between a kernel estimator of the copula density and a kernel smoothed estimator of the parametric copula density. We show for fixed smoothing parameters that the test is consistent and that the asymptotic properties are driven by a U-statistic of order 4 with degeneracy of order 1. For practical implementation we suggest to compute the critical values through a semiparametric bootstrap. Monte Carlo results show that the bootstrap procedure performs well in small samples. In particular, size and power are less sensitive to smoothing parameter choice than they are under the asymptotic approximation obtained for a vanishing bandwidth.

Suggested Citation

  • Scaillet, Olivier, 2007. "Kernel-based goodness-of-fit tests for copulas with fixed smoothing parameters," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 98(3), pages 533-543, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jmvana:v:98:y:2007:i:3:p:533-543
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    2. Ding, Wei & Song, Peter X.-K., 2016. "EM algorithm in Gaussian copula with missing data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 1-11.
    3. Zhang, Shulin & Okhrin, Ostap & Zhou, Qian M. & Song, Peter X.-K., 2016. "Goodness-of-fit test for specification of semiparametric copula dependence models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 215-233.
    4. Jean-David Fermanian, 2012. "An overview of the goodness-of-fit test problem for copulas," Papers 1211.4416, arXiv.org.
    5. Braekers, Roel & Van Keilegom, Ingrid, 2009. "Flexible modeling based on copulas in nonparametric median regression," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(6), pages 1270-1281, July.
    6. Zongwu Cai & Xian Wang, 2014. "Selection of Mixed Copula Model via Penalized Likelihood," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(506), pages 788-801, June.
    7. Bentoumi Rachid & Mesfioui Mhamed & Alvo Mayer, 2019. "Dependence measure for length-biased survival data using copulas," Dependence Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 348-364, January.
    8. Gong Chen & Hartmut Fricke & Ostap Okhrin & Judith Rosenow, 2022. "Importance of Weather Conditions in a Flight Corridor," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-27, March.
    9. Jean-David Fermanian & Dragan Radulovic & Marten Wegkamp, 2013. "A Asymptotic Total Variation Test for Copulas," Working Papers 2013-25, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
    10. Kelly, Robert & McCarthy, Yvonne & McQuinn, Kieran, 2012. "Impairment and negative equity in the Irish mortgage market," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 256-268.
    11. Wenceslao González-Manteiga & Rosa Crujeiras, 2013. "Rejoinder on: An updated review of Goodness-of-Fit tests for regression models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(3), pages 442-447, September.
    12. Shi, Peng, 2012. "Multivariate longitudinal modeling of insurance company expenses," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 204-215.
    13. Marcelo Fernandes & Eduardo Mendes & Olivier Scaillet, 2015. "Testing for symmetry and conditional symmetry using asymmetric kernels," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 67(4), pages 649-671, August.
    14. Genest, Christian & Rémillard, Bruno & Beaudoin, David, 2009. "Goodness-of-fit tests for copulas: A review and a power study," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 199-213, April.
    15. Rémillard, Bruno & Scaillet, Olivier, 2009. "Testing for equality between two copulas," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(3), pages 377-386, March.
    16. Wanling Huang & Artem Prokhorov, 2014. "A Goodness-of-fit Test for Copulas," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(7), pages 751-771, October.
    17. Fantazzini, Dean, 2011. "Analysis of multidimensional probability distributions with copula functions. III," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 24(4), pages 100-130.
    18. Lu, Xiaohui & Zheng, Xu, 2020. "A goodness-of-fit test for copulas based on martingale transformation," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 215(1), pages 84-117.
    19. Gery Geenens & Arthur Charpentier & Davy Paindaveine, 2014. "Probit Transformation for Nonparametric Kernel Estimation of the Copula Density," Working Papers ECARES ECARES 2014-23, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    20. Shulin Zhang & Qian M. Zhou & Huazhen Lin, 2021. "Goodness-of-fit test of copula functions for semi-parametric univariate time series models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 62(4), pages 1697-1721, August.
    21. Sebastian Kiwitt & Natalie Neumeyer, 2013. "A note on testing independence by a copula-based order selection approach," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 22(1), pages 62-82, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Nonparametric Copula density Goodness-of-fit test U-statistic;

    JEL classification:

    • C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
    • D18 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Protection
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G22 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Insurance; Insurance Companies; Actuarial Studies

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