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The effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy announcements in the euro area: An event and econometric study

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  • Ambler, Steve
  • Rumler, Fabio

Abstract

We use daily data on government bond yields and market-based inflation expectations to measure the announcement effects of unconventional monetary policy announcements in the euro area, focusing on their impact on ex-ante real interest rates. We find evidence of statistically significant effects of several announcements on real interest rates at maturities of two, five and ten years that operate partly through nominal interest rates and partly by raising inflation expectations. Announcements that exceeded market expectations significantly reduced nominal and real interest rates while announcements that disappointed expectations had the opposite effect.

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  • Ambler, Steve & Rumler, Fabio, 2019. "The effectiveness of unconventional monetary policy announcements in the euro area: An event and econometric study," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 48-61.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:94:y:2019:i:c:p:48-61
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2019.02.007
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Unconventional monetary policy; Announcement effects; Market-based inflation expectations; Real yields;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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