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Sudden stops and financial frictions: Evidence from industry-level data

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  • Cowan, Kevin
  • Raddatz, Claudio

Abstract

The nature of the microeconomic frictions that transform sudden stops into output collapses is not only of academic interest, but also crucial for the correct design of policy responses intended to prevent and address these episodes. This paper uses industry-level data in a sample of 45 developed and emerging countries and a difference-in-difference methodology to provide evidence of the role of financial frictions for the consequences of sudden stops. The results show that, consistently with financial frictions being important, industries that are more dependent on external finance decline significantly more during a sudden stop, especially in less financially developed countries. The paper also provides novel results on the role of comparative advantages during sudden stops and evidence on the usefulness of popular ex-ante and ex-post policy responses aimed to attenuate the consequences of these shocks.

Suggested Citation

  • Cowan, Kevin & Raddatz, Claudio, 2013. "Sudden stops and financial frictions: Evidence from industry-level data," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 99-128.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:32:y:2013:i:c:p:99-128
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2012.03.009
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    3. Madeira, Carlos, 2024. "The impact of macroprudential policies on industrial growth," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    4. Mustafa Caglayan & Ozge Kandemir Kocaaslan & Kostas Mouratidis, 2017. "Financial Depth and the Asymmetric Impact of Monetary Policy," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 79(6), pages 1195-1218, December.
    5. Joshua Aizenman & Vladyslav Sushko, 2011. "Capital Flow Types, External Financing Needs, and Industrial Growth: 99 countries, 1991-2007," NBER Working Papers 17228, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Kónya, István & Váry, Miklós, 2024. "Which sectors go on when there is a sudden stop? An empirical analysis," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    7. Feng Guo & Jie Li & Ming Li, 2021. "The sudden stops of debt‐led capital inflows, credit crunch, and exchange rate regimes," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 956-977, May.
    8. Mustafa Caglayan & Ozge Kandemir Kocaaslan & Kostas Mouratidis, 2013. "The Role of Financial Depth on the Asymmetric Impact of Monetary Policy," Working Papers 2013007, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
    9. Mirzaei, Ali & Al-Khouri, Ritab Salem Farhan, 2016. "The resilience of oil-rich economies to the global financial crisis: Evidence from Kuwaiti financial and real sectors," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 93-108.
    10. Nguyen, Ha & Qian, Rong, 2014. "Demand collapse or credit crunch to firms? Evidence from the World Bank's financial crisis survey in Eastern Europe," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 125-144.
    11. Gabriela Contreras & Francisco Pinto, 2014. "Vulnerability to Changes in External Financing Due to Global Factors," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 734, Central Bank of Chile.
    12. Maria Siranova & Menbere Workie Tiruneh & Brian Konig, 2024. "From abnormal FDI to a normal driver of sudden stop episodes," Working Papers 2024.02, International Network for Economic Research - INFER.
    13. Hansen, Erwin & Wagner, Rodrigo, 2022. "The reinvestment by multinationals as a capital flow: Crises, imbalances, and the cash-based current account," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    14. Ralph De Haas & Neeltje Van Horen, 2013. "Running for the Exit? International Bank Lending During a Financial Crisis," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 26(1), pages 244-285.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Sudden stops; Financial frictions;

    JEL classification:

    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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