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The first step on the housing ladder: A natural experiment in Hong Kong

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  • Ho, Lok Sang
  • Wong, Gary Wai-chung

Abstract

The article presents and illuminates evidence, based on recent Hong Kong experience, indicating the existence of a "housing ladder effect" when housing prices increase or decrease. An increase of housing equity at the bottom of the ladder tends to translate into a trading up activity that will both increase housing market turnover and buoy up the entire housing market. Based on a natural experiment through the introduction of a public housing privatization scheme, this article demonstrates the importance of the first step on the housing ladder using a logit model.

Suggested Citation

  • Ho, Lok Sang & Wong, Gary Wai-chung, 2009. "The first step on the housing ladder: A natural experiment in Hong Kong," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 59-67, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jhouse:v:18:y:2009:i:1:p:59-67
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Lok Sang Ho & Gary Wai‐Chung Wong, 2006. "Privatization Of Public Housing: Did It Cause The 1998 Recession In Hong Kong?," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 24(2), pages 262-273, April.
    2. François Ortalo-Magné & Sven Rady, 2006. "Housing Market Dynamics: On the Contribution of Income Shocks and Credit Constraints ," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 73(2), pages 459-485.
    3. Jeremy C. Stein, 1995. "Prices and Trading Volume in the Housing Market: A Model with Down-Payment Effects," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 110(2), pages 379-406.
    4. Deo Bardhan, Ashok & Datta, Rajarshi & Edelstein, Robert H. & Sau Kim, Lum, 2003. "A tale of two sectors: Upward mobility and the private housing market in Singapore," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 83-105, June.
    5. Lok Sang Ho & Gary Wong, 2008. "Nexus Between Housing And The Macro Economy: The Hong Kong Case," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 13(2), pages 223-239, May.
    6. Lok Ho & Yue Ma & Donald Haurin, 2008. "Domino Effects Within a Housing Market: The Transmission of House Price Changes Across Quality Tiers," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 37(4), pages 299-316, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Funke, Michael & Paetz, Michael, 2010. "What can an open-economy DSGE model tell us about Hong Kong's housing market?," BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2010, Bank of Finland Institute for Emerging Economies (BOFIT).
    2. Funke, Michael & Paetz, Michael, 2013. "Housing prices and the business cycle: An empirical application to Hong Kong," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 62-76.
    3. Ming Li & Guojun Zhang & Yunliang Chen & Chunshan Zhou, 2019. "Evaluation of Residential Housing Prices on the Internet: Data Pitfalls," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-15, February.
    4. Gary Wai Chung Wong & Lok Sang Ho, 2017. "Policy-Driven Housing Cycle: The Hong Kong Case of Supply Intervention," International Real Estate Review, Global Social Science Institute, vol. 20(3), pages 375-396.
    5. Michael Funke & Michael Paetz, 2010. "What can an open-economy DSGE model tell us about Hong Kong’s housing market?," Quantitative Macroeconomics Working Papers 21011, Hamburg University, Department of Economics.
    6. Wadu Mesthrige Jayantha & Lebunu Hewage Udara Willhelm Abeydeera, 2019. "Housing Consumption of the “Soon-to-Retire” in Hong Kong: A Cross-Sectional Regression Analysis," Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 6(1), pages 76-84.
    7. repec:zbw:bofitp:2010_019 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Hassink, Wolter & Zweerink, Jochem, 2021. "Housing careers and the Great Recession," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).

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