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When failure is an option: Fragile liquidity in over-the-counter markets

Author

Listed:
  • Hendershott, Terrence
  • Li, Dan
  • Livdan, Dmitry
  • Schürhoff, Norman

Abstract

Markets can give false impressions of liquidity and stability if failed attempts to trade are ignored. For collateralized loan obligations, we quantify this bias by estimating the total cost of immediacy (TCI) which incorporates failure rates and failure costs. TCI is substantially higher than the observed cost, 0.3–3.8% versus 0.04–0.12% across credit-quality tranches because trade failures are frequent, failure costs are large, and failure costs and rates are correlated. TCI is almost double the realized gains from trade for low-rated tranches. Overall, auction-based over-the-counter markets become illiquid and fragile, especially during stressful periods for low-rated assets.

Suggested Citation

  • Hendershott, Terrence & Li, Dan & Livdan, Dmitry & Schürhoff, Norman, 2024. "When failure is an option: Fragile liquidity in over-the-counter markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jfinec:v:157:y:2024:i:c:s0304405x24000825
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfineco.2024.103859
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    Keywords

    Liquidity; Fragility; Cost of immediacy; Securities auctions; Over-the-counter markets; Structured products; Collateralized loan obligations;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage

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