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You cannot gamble on others: Dissociable systems for strategic uncertainty and risk in the brain

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  • Ekins, W. Gavin
  • Caceda, Ricardo
  • Capra, C. Monica
  • Berns, Gregory S.

Abstract

This paper tests whether strategic uncertainty employs circuits in the brain that encode risk and utility, or circuits that are involved in Theory of Mind (ToM). We compare participants’ decisions in a stag-hunt game with an equivalent choice between Bernoulli lotteries where the probabilities are equal to the mixed Nash equilibrium of the stag hunt game. Behavioral data suggests that most participants are more willing to choose the payoff-dominant option in a stag-hunt game than the equivalent lottery. Neuroimaging shows that activations in the regions of the brain commonly associated with ToM are correlated with a participant's propensity to choose payoff dominant. This suggests that individuals who mentalize the other person are more likely to be cooperative than those who do not.

Suggested Citation

  • Ekins, W. Gavin & Caceda, Ricardo & Capra, C. Monica & Berns, Gregory S., 2013. "You cannot gamble on others: Dissociable systems for strategic uncertainty and risk in the brain," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 222-233.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jeborg:v:94:y:2013:i:c:p:222-233
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jebo.2013.07.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Brocas, Isabelle & Carrillo, Juan & Kendall, Ryan, 2017. "Stress induces contextual blindness in lotteries and coordination games," CEPR Discussion Papers 12254, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    2. Brice Corgnet & Mark Desantis & David Porter, 2018. "What Makes a Good Trader? On the Role of Intuition and Reflection on Trader Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 73(3), pages 1113-1137, June.
    3. Robin Chark & Soo Chew, 2015. "A neuroimaging study of preference for strategic uncertainty," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 50(3), pages 209-227, June.
    4. Butler, Stephen A. & Ghosh, Dipankar, 2015. "Individual differences in managerial accounting judgments and decision making," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 33-45.

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