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Gender, race/ethnicity and prediction: Risk in behavioral assessment

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  • Threadcraft-Walker, Whitney
  • Threadcraft, Melody Mitchell
  • Henderson, Howard
  • Rembert, David

Abstract

•Study examined predictive validity of Wisconsin Instrument.•Through logistic regression, race and location found to be significant predictors of probation failure.•Demonstrated Wisconsin tool's distribution of predictive error by race using 2X2 contingency tables.•Race and location found to be significant predictors of probation failure.•Distribution of error should be considered when assessing predictive validity of a risk instrument.

Suggested Citation

  • Threadcraft-Walker, Whitney & Threadcraft, Melody Mitchell & Henderson, Howard & Rembert, David, 2018. "Gender, race/ethnicity and prediction: Risk in behavioral assessment," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 12-19.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jcjust:v:54:y:2018:i:c:p:12-19
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2017.11.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mayzer, Roni & Gray, M. Kevin & Maxwell, Sheila Royo, 2004. "Probation absconders: A unique risk group?," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 137-150.
    2. Stephen Demuth & Darrell Steffensmeier, 2004. "Ethnicity Effects on Sentence Outcomes in Large Urban Courts: Comparisons Among White, Black, and Hispanic Defendants," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 85(4), pages 994-1011, December.
    3. Morgan, Kathryn D., 1994. "Factors associated with probation outcome," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 341-353.
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