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Manufacturing growth and local employment multipliers in China

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  • Wang, Ting
  • Chanda, Areendam

Abstract

We study the impact of employment growth in manufacturing on job creation in the non-tradable sector for prefecture-level cities in China. Using the 2000 and 2010 Censuses of Population, we apply the shift-share approach to isolate the exogenous change of employment growth in manufacturing. For every hundred new manufacturing jobs, we find that 34 additional jobs are created in the non-tradable sector. We also show that the effect is heterogeneous along a number of dimensions. More specifically, one new job in high-technology manufacturing creates more jobs in the non-tradable sector while low-technology manufacturing employment growth has no significant multiplier effect. Among the non-tradable industries, the multiplier is the largest for wholesale, retail, and catering. Finally, the effect is also geographically heterogeneous, with the multiplier being greater for inland regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Wang, Ting & Chanda, Areendam, 2018. "Manufacturing growth and local employment multipliers in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 515-543.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jcecon:v:46:y:2018:i:2:p:515-543
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jce.2017.10.002
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    Cited by:

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    2. Feng, Shuaizhang & Lu, Jingliang & Shen, Leilei, 2024. "Hukou Matters: The heterogeneous local labor market effects of export expansions in China," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(1), pages 321-340.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Structural transformation; Local labor markets; Regional spillovers; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O14 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
    • N95 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - Asia including Middle East

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