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EU eastern enlargement and foreign investment: Implications from a neoclassical growth model

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  • Garmel, Kateryna
  • Maliar, Lilia
  • Maliar, Serguei

Abstract

In this paper, we study how eastward enlargement of the EU may affect the economies of old and new EU members and non-accession countries in the context of a multi-country neoclassical growth model where foreign investment is subject to border costs. We assume that at the moment of the EU enlargement border costs between the old and new EU member states are eliminated but remain unchanged between the old EU member states and the non-accession countries. In a calibrated version of the model, the short-run effects of the EU enlargement proved to be relatively small for all the economies considered. The long-run effects are however significant: in the accession countries, investors from the old EU member states become permanent owners of about 3/4 of capital, while in the non-accession countries, they are forced out of business by local producers. Journal of Comparative Economics 36 (2) (2008) 307-325.

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  • Garmel, Kateryna & Maliar, Lilia & Maliar, Serguei, 2008. "EU eastern enlargement and foreign investment: Implications from a neoclassical growth model," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 307-325, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jcecon:v:36:y:2008:i:2:p:307-325
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    2. Lilia Maliar & Serguei Maliar & John B. Taylor & Inna Tsener, 2020. "A tractable framework for analyzing a class of nonstationary Markov models," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 11(4), pages 1289-1323, November.
    3. Christian Bellak & Rajneesh Narula, 2008. "EU enlargement and consequences for FDI assisted industrial development," Economics Discussion Papers em-dp2008-69, Department of Economics, University of Reading.
    4. Srðan Marinkoviæ & Zenaida Šabotiæ & Dragiæ Bankoviæ, 2018. "EU enlargement: Does economics of regional integration matter?," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 36(2), pages 881-904.
    5. Serguei Maliar & John Taylor & Lilia Maliar, 2016. "The Impact of Alternative Transitions to Normalized Monetary Policy," 2016 Meeting Papers 794, Society for Economic Dynamics.

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