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Firm quality or market sentiment: What matters more for IPO investors?

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  • Neupane, Suman
  • Paudyal, Krishna
  • Thapa, Chandra

Abstract

This paper investigates the investment decisions of IPO investors when equipped with information on both the quality of the firm and the market sentiment. Unique regulatory provisions allow IPO investors in India to have access to the independent assessment of firm quality and information on the participation of other investors, including institutional investors. At the same time, an active grey market reveals market sentiment before the application for subscription is closed. The results, which are robust to alternative model specifications, suggest that the institutional investors’ decision is guided almost exclusively by firm quality while the retail investors’ decision to participate in IPOs is strongly influenced by market sentiment, even in a highly transparent market where both sets of information are freely available.

Suggested Citation

  • Neupane, Suman & Paudyal, Krishna & Thapa, Chandra, 2014. "Firm quality or market sentiment: What matters more for IPO investors?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 207-218.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:44:y:2014:i:c:p:207-218
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.04.010
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    Cited by:

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    2. Neupane, Suman & Marshall, Andrew & Paudyal, Krishna & Thapa, Chandra, 2017. "Do investors flip less in bookbuilding than in auction IPOs?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 253-268.
    3. Neupane, Suman & Rhee, S. Ghon & Vithanage, Kulunu & Veeraraghavan, Madhu, 2017. "Trade-based manipulation: Beyond the prosecuted cases," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 115-130.
    4. Guo, Haifeng & Wang, Ying & Wang, Bo & Ge, Yuanjing, 2022. "Does prospectus AE affect IPO underpricing? A content analysis of the Chinese stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 1-12.
    5. Ikeda, Naoshi, 2023. "Optimism, divergence of investors’ opinions, and the long-run underperformance of IPOs," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    6. Hyoung-Goo Kang & Kyounghun Bae & Jung Ah Shin & Seongmin Jeon, 2021. "Will data on internet queries predict the performance in the marketplace: an empirical study on online searches and IPO stock returns," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 101-124, March.
    7. Neupane, Suman & Thapa, Chandra & Vithanage, Kulunu, 2023. "Context‐specific experience and institutional investors’ performance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    8. Liu, Lewis & Neupane, Suman & Zhang, Lei, 2022. "Firm location effect on underwriting, subscription, and underpricing: Evidence from IPOs in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    9. L V Ramana, 2019. "Perspective on Underpricing of IPOs in Emerging Economies," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 18(1_suppl), pages 87-101, April.
    10. Chenjun Fang & Ning Zhu, 2019. "Name complexity, cognitive fluency, and asset prices," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(1), pages 168-196, January.
    11. Tsai-Yin Lin & Jerry Yu & Chia-Yi Lin, 2021. "IPO’s Long-Run Performance: Hot Market versus Earnings Management," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-16, March.
    12. Hoque, Hafiz & Mu, Shaolong, 2023. "Information spillover in Chinese hybrid IPO auctions," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Initial public offerings; Transparency; IPO grade; Grey market; Retail investors; Institutional investors; Indian IPOs;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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