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Are measures of air-misses a useful guide to air transport safety policy?

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  • Button, Kenneth
  • Drexler, Jonathan

Abstract

Finding a proxy for analyzing and developing policy responses to rare events is often challenging. In the case of commercial airline accidents, these are small in number, especially within most national jurisdiction. This makes it difficult to use standard, objective probability techniques for assessing the impacts of various safety policies or for developing monetary measures for their inclusion in cost-benefit analysis studies. What is often used in place of the actual or predicted accident rate is a measure of ‘air’ (or ‘near’) misses that reflects the number of times a technically determined safety parameter is violated. The paper looks at whether this is a useful measure in terms of the quality of the data available, and whether it acts as a reasonable proxy when used in air transportation safety analysis and policy-making.

Suggested Citation

  • Button, Kenneth & Drexler, Jonathan, 2006. "Are measures of air-misses a useful guide to air transport safety policy?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 12(4), pages 168-174.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:12:y:2006:i:4:p:168-174
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2006.01.003
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Button, Kenneth & Clarke, Audrey & Palubinskas, Ginta & Stough, Roger & Thibault, Marc, 2004. "Conforming with ICAO safety oversight standards," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 249-255.
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    5. Rossiter, Adriana & Dresner, Martin, 2004. "The impact of the September 11th security fee and passenger wait time on traffic diversion and highway fatalities," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 225-230.
    6. George A. Akerlof, 1970. "The Market for "Lemons": Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 84(3), pages 488-500.
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    Cited by:

    1. Pacheco, Ricardo Rodrigues & Fernandes, Elton & Domingos, Eduardo Marques, 2014. "Airport airside safety index," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 86-92.
    2. Zhipeng Zhou & Chaozhi Li & Chuanmin Mi & Lingfei Qian, 2019. "Exploring the Potential Use of Near-Miss Information to Improve Construction Safety Performance," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-21, February.

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