IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jaitra/v115y2024ics0969699723001655.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Assessing impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on global air transportation: From the view of mass flight trajectories

Author

Listed:
  • Chu, Chen
  • Zhang, Hengcai
  • Zhang, Jiayin
  • Cong, Lin
  • Lu, Feng

Abstract

Air transportation has been severely affected by the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The closure of involved Russian and Ukrainian airspace made a great number of flights suffer from a dramatic transportation cost increase. Accurately estimating the conflict's impact can help us better comprehend the susceptibility of international airlines and optimize flying routes for global airlines. In this study, we quantitatively analyzed the impact the conflict has brought on global air transportation. The detour of airlines and the variation of flights caused by the conflict were assessed from the view of mass flight trajectories. A flight cost increment index is proposed to reveal the extra costs of involved countries. The impacts on each involved country are further analyzed and the airlines influenced the most are identified. The results show that the flight cost of 6.23% of global international flights significantly increased by 13.32% due to the conflict. Furthermore, as one of the few researches that analyze the impact of regional events on global air transportation, the result of the study reveals the vulnerability of international airlines and provides instruction for flying route optimization.

Suggested Citation

  • Chu, Chen & Zhang, Hengcai & Zhang, Jiayin & Cong, Lin & Lu, Feng, 2024. "Assessing impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on global air transportation: From the view of mass flight trajectories," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:115:y:2024:i:c:s0969699723001655
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102522
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0969699723001655
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2023.102522?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Frédéric Dobruszkes & Didier Peeters, 2019. "The magnitude of detours faced by commercial flights: A global assessment," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/293811, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Frédéric Dobruszkes, 2019. "Why do planes not fly the shortest routes? A review," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/293810, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    3. Carreras-Maide, Jaume & Lordan, Oriol & Sallan, Jose M., 2020. "Cost savings from trajectory deviations in the European air space," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    4. Wadud, Zia, 2015. "Imperfect reversibility of air transport demand: Effects of air fare, fuel prices and price transmission," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 16-26.
    5. Farshid Azadian, 2020. "Assessing the effect of urban socioeconomic factors and the financial crisis of 2008 on domestic air cargo traffic in Florida," Transportation, Springer, vol. 47(1), pages 223-241, February.
    6. Murça, Mayara Condé Rocha & Guterres, Marcelo Xavier & de Oliveira, McWillian & Tarelho Szenczuk, João Basílio & Souza, Wallace Silva Sant'anna, 2020. "Characterizing the Brazilian airspace structure and air traffic performance via trajectory data analytics," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    7. Frédéric Dobruszkes & Didier Peeters, 2019. "The magnitude of detours faced by commercial flights: A global assessment," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/289039, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    8. Frédéric Dobruszkes, 2019. "Why do planes not fly the shortest routes? A review," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/289038, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    9. Lemetti, Anastasia & Hardell, Henrik & Polishchuk, Tatiana, 2023. "Arrival flight efficiency in pre- and post-Covid-19 pandemics," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Frédéric Dobruszkes & Didier Peeters, 2019. "The magnitude of detours faced by commercial flights: A global assessment," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/293811, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Kağan Albayrak, Muhammed Bilge & Özcan, İsmail Çağrı & Can, Raif & Dobruszkes, Frédéric, 2020. "The determinants of air passenger traffic at Turkish airports," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    3. Dobruszkes, Frédéric & Peeters, Didier, 2019. "The magnitude of detours faced by commercial flights: A global assessment," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-1.
    4. Dobruszkes, Frédéric & Mattioli, Giulio & Mathieu, Laurette, 2022. "Banning super short-haul flights: Environmental evidence or political turbulence?," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    5. Raúl Hernández-Martín & Hugo Padrón-Ávila, 2021. "The Carbon Footprint of Airport Ground Access as Part of an Outbound Holiday Trip," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-19, August.
    6. Dobruszkes, Frédéric, 2021. "A global business? Mapping the densest passenger airline routes," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).
    7. Joshan, Saeid & Maertens, Sven, 2020. "Low cost carriers in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region: Emergence and barriers to development," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    8. Sismanidou, Athina & Tarradellas, Joan & Suau-Sanchez, Pere & O'Connor, Kevin, 2024. "Breaking barriers: An assessment of the feasibility of long-haul electric flights," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    9. Plakandaras, Vasilios & Papadimitriou, Theophilos & Gogas, Periklis, 2019. "Forecasting transportation demand for the U.S. market," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 195-214.
    10. Wadud, Zia, 2015. "Decomposing the drivers of aviation fuel demand using simultaneous equation models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 551-559.
    11. Kaufmann, Robert K., 2017. "Airfares and oil prices: ‘Feathers and Rockets’ adjustments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 515-521.
    12. Brito, Igor R.S. & Oliveira, Alessandro V.M. & Dresner, Martin E., 2021. "An econometric study of the effects of airport privatization on airfares in Brazil," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 338-349.
    13. Egon Smeral, 2019. "Seasonal forecasting performance considering varying income elasticities in tourism demand," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 355-374, May.
    14. Chen, Yunxiang & Zhao, Yifei & Wu, Yexin, 2024. "Recent progress in air traffic flow management: A review," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    15. Bianca Borca & Lisa-Maria Putz & Florian Hofbauer, 2021. "Crises and Their Effects on Freight Transport Modes: A Literature Review and Research Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-21, May.
    16. Helmers, Viola & van der Werf, Edwin, 2022. "Did the German Aviation Tax Affect Passenger Numbers? New Evidence Employing Difference-in-differences," VfS Annual Conference 2022 (Basel): Big Data in Economics 264118, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    17. Koopmans, Carl & Lieshout, Rogier, 2016. "Airline cost changes: To what extent are they passed through to the passenger?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1-11.
    18. Borsati, Mattia & Fageda, Xavier, 2024. "Airline price responses in the face of demand shocks: European lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    19. Yaghoub Abdi & Xiaoni Li & Xavier Càmara-Turull, 2023. "Firm value in the airline industry: perspectives on the impact of sustainability and Covid-19," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-24, December.
    20. Salman Arif & Jason Atkin & Geert Maere, 2023. "Analysing the benefits of trajectory deviations for planar trajectory optimisation," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 326(1), pages 537-560, July.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jaitra:v:115:y:2024:i:c:s0969699723001655. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-air-transport-management/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.