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Exploring the social influence of the Kaggle virtual community on the M5 competition

Author

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  • Li, Xixi
  • Bai, Yun
  • Kang, Yanfei

Abstract

One of the most significant differences of M5 over previous forecasting competitions is that it was held on Kaggle, an online platform for data scientists and machine learning practitioners. Kaggle provides a gathering place, or virtual community, for web users who are interested in the M5 competition. Users can share code, models, features, and loss functions through online notebooks and discussion forums. Here, we study the social influence of this virtual community on user behavior in the M5 competition. We first research the content of the M5 virtual community by topic modeling and trend analysis. Further, we perform social media analysis to identify the potential relationship network of the virtual community. We study the roles and characteristics of some key participants who promoted the diffusion of information within the M5 virtual community. Overall, this study provides in-depth insights into the mechanism of the virtual community’s influence on the participants and has potential implications for future online competitions.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Xixi & Bai, Yun & Kang, Yanfei, 2022. "Exploring the social influence of the Kaggle virtual community on the M5 competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 1507-1518.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:38:y:2022:i:4:p:1507-1518
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.10.001
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Makridakis, Spyros & Spiliotis, Evangelos & Assimakopoulos, Vassilios, 2020. "The M4 Competition: 100,000 time series and 61 forecasting methods," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(1), pages 54-74.
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    Cited by:

    1. Li, Libo & Yu, Huan & Kunc, Martin, 2024. "The impact of forum content on data science open innovation performance: A system dynamics-based causal machine learning approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Forecasting competition; M5; Virtual community; Social influence; Topic modeling; Social network analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M5 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Personnel Economics

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