Forecasting presidential elections using history and polls
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"The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President,"
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- Souren Soumbatiants & Henry Chappell & Eric Johnson, 2006. "Using state polls to forecast U.S. Presidential election outcomes," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 127(1), pages 207-223, April.
- Steven E. Rigdon & Jason J. Sauppe & Sheldon H. Jacobson, 2015. "Forecasting the 2012 and 2014 Elections Using Bayesian Prediction and Optimization," SAGE Open, , vol. 5(2), pages 21582440155, April.
- Marcelo Tyszler & Arthur Schram, 2016.
"Information and strategic voting,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 19(2), pages 360-381, June.
- Marcelo Tyszler & Arthur Schram, 2011. "Information and Strategic Voting," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 11-025/1, Tinbergen Institute.
- Jens Großer & Arthur Schram, 2010.
"Public Opinion Polls, Voter Turnout, and Welfare: An Experimental Study,"
American Journal of Political Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 54(3), pages 700-717, July.
- Jens Großer & Arthur Schram, 2007. "Public Opinion Polls, Voter Turnout, and Welfare: An Experimental Study," Labsi Experimental Economics Laboratory University of Siena 014, University of Siena.
- Kang, Seungwoo & Oh, Hee-Seok, 2024. "Forecasting South Korea’s presidential election via multiparty dynamic Bayesian modeling," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 124-141.
- Elliot Tonkes & Dharma Lesmono, 2010. "Consistency in the US Congressional Popular Opinion Polls and Prediction Markets," Journal of Prediction Markets, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 4(2), pages 45-64, September.
- Lesmono, Dharma & Tonkes, Elliot & Burrage, Kevin, 2009. "Opportunistic timing and manipulation in Australian Federal Elections," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 192(2), pages 677-691, January.
- A. Kamakura, Wagner & Afonso Mazzon, Jose & De Bruyn, Arnaud, 2006. "Modeling voter choice to predict the final outcome of two-stage elections," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 689-706.
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