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Preferences for lottery stocks at Borsa Istanbul

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  • Alkan, Ulas
  • Guner, Biliana

Abstract

We investigate the existence of lottery-like preferences of investors at Borsa Istanbul. Proxying these preferences with demand for stocks with extreme positive returns (“MAX”), we establish that high-MAX stocks’ significantly underperform low-MAX stocks, controlling for a series of potential explanatory return characteristics. We find that the negative relationship between MAX and expected returns is driven by stocks strongly preferred by individual investors and strengthens following periods of high investor sentiment. A natural experiment suggests that the MAX discount increased during the period of temporary short-sale restrictions at Borsa Istanbul. Our findings suggest a limits-to-arbitrage explanation for the MAX anomaly.

Suggested Citation

  • Alkan, Ulas & Guner, Biliana, 2018. "Preferences for lottery stocks at Borsa Istanbul," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 211-223.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:55:y:2018:i:c:p:211-223
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2018.02.015
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    Cited by:

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    2. Grobys, Klaus & Junttila, Juha, 2021. "Speculation and lottery-like demand in cryptocurrency markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    3. Tiniç, Murat & Savaser, Tanseli, 2020. "Political turmoil and the impact of foreign orders on equity prices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Lottery preferences; Return anomalies; Investor sentiment; Limits to arbitrage;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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