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The impact of currency movements on asset value correlations

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  • Byström, Hans

Abstract

This paper looks at the asset correlation bias resulting from firms’ assets and liabilities being denominated in different currencies. It focuses on the time-variation in the bias and on the dependency of the bias on currency movements. Overall, we find that the asset correlation bias for the average pair of firms in the Dow Jones Industrial Average index is significant. The bias fluctuates widely, however, and it has turned negative for shorter periods. The policy implication of the paper is that by ignoring the exchange rate component when computing portfolio credit risk one may materially underestimate the actual risk.

Suggested Citation

  • Byström, Hans, 2014. "The impact of currency movements on asset value correlations," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 178-186.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:31:y:2014:i:c:p:178-186
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2014.03.014
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Merton, Robert C, 1974. "On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: The Risk Structure of Interest Rates," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 29(2), pages 449-470, May.
    2. Dirk Tasche, 2007. "Incorporating exchange rate risk into PDs and asset correlations," Papers 0712.3363, arXiv.org.
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    Cited by:

    1. Byström, Hans, 2016. "The Currency Composition of Firms' Balance Sheets and its Effect on Asset Value Correlations and Capital Requirements," Working Papers 2016:1, Lund University, Department of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset correlation; Time-variation; Sensitivity; Exchange rate; Currency risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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