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Speculative trading, price pressure and overvaluation

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  • Ding, Rong
  • Cheng, Peng

Abstract

Prior theoretical studies (e.g., Harrison and Kreps, 1978) show that investors pay prices over their valuation of assets if potential buyers are willing to pay even more in the future. This study provides supporting evidence by focusing on the Hong Kong "through train" scheme in August 2007, through which mainland Chinese investors were allowed to directly invest in Hong Kong market, but the decision was reassessed (actually suspended) in November 2007. Our findings show that Hong Kong stocks exhibit excess trading volume associated with the two announcements, and stocks are traded higher after the launch-decision day and lower after the reassessment-decision day.

Suggested Citation

  • Ding, Rong & Cheng, Peng, 2011. "Speculative trading, price pressure and overvaluation," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 419-442, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:21:y:2011:i:3:p:419-442
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Thiago Christiano Silva & Benjamin Miranda Tabak & Idamar Magalhães Ferreira, 2019. "Modeling Investor Behavior Using Machine Learning: Mean-Reversion and Momentum Trading Strategies," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-14, December.
    3. Chih-Hsiang Chang & Wen-Shan Chiang, 2014. "Conditioned Responses towards Measures Relating to the Capital Cost of Short Sellers: Evidence from Taiwan," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 17(03), pages 1-27.
    4. Ding, Rong & Hou, Wenxuan & Kuo, Jing-Ming & Lee, Edward, 2013. "Fund ownership and stock price informativeness of Chinese listed firms," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 166-185.
    5. Tan, Youchao & Zeng, Cheng Colin & Elshandidy, Tamer, 2017. "Risk disclosures, international orientation, and share price informativeness: Evidence from China," Journal of International Accounting, Auditing and Taxation, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 81-102.

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