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Bilateral international investments: The big sur?

Author

Listed:
  • Broner, Fernando
  • Didier, Tatiana
  • Schmukler, Sergio L.
  • von Peter, Goetz

Abstract

This paper presents novel stylized facts about the rise of the South in global finance using country-to-country data. To do so, the paper assembles comprehensive bilateral data on cross-border bank loans and deposits, portfolio investment, foreign direct investment, and international reserves from 2001 to 2018. The main findings are that investments involving the South, and especially within the South, have grown faster than those within the North. By 2018, South-to-South investments accounted for 8% of total international investments, while investments between the South and the North accounted for an additional 26%. The fastest growth occurred in portfolio investment and international reserves, whereas the slowest growth was in banking. These trends are not driven by China, any particular South region, or offshore financial centers. South-to-South investments grew the fastest even after controlling for regional GDP growth. The extensive margin played a significant role in the growth of investments within the South.

Suggested Citation

  • Broner, Fernando & Didier, Tatiana & Schmukler, Sergio L. & von Peter, Goetz, 2023. "Bilateral international investments: The big sur?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:inecon:v:145:y:2023:i:c:s0022199623000818
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2023.103795
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    1. George Pantelopoulos, 2024. "Can external sustainability be decoupled from the NIIP?," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 89-116, February.
    2. Sebastian Horn & Carmen M. Reinhart & Christoph Trebesch, 2022. "Hidden Defaults," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 112, pages 531-535, May.
    3. Pamela Pogliani & Goetz von Peter & Philip Wooldridge, 2022. "The outsize role of cross-border financial centres," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, June.
    4. Florez-Orrego, Sergio & Maggiori, Matteo & Schreger, Jesse & Sun, Ziwen & Tinda, Serdil, 2023. "Global Capital Allocation," SocArXiv 5s6n3, Center for Open Science.
    5. Maurice Obstfeld, 2022. "Global Economic Recovery in the Face of COVID-19," Chapters, in: Lili Yan Ing & Dani Rodrik (ed.), New Normal, New Technologies, New Financing, chapter 3, pages 22-37, Economic Research Institute for ASEAN and East Asia (ERIA).
    6. Patrick McGuire & Goetz von Peter & Sonya Zhu, 2024. "International finance through the lens of BIS statistics: residence vs nationality," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bilateral data; Emerging economies; Foreign direct investment; International banking; International capital flows; International financial integration; Portfolio investment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F21 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Investment; Long-Term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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