IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ijocip/v43y2023ics1874548223000525.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling and assessing seismic resilience leveraging systems dynamic approach: A case study of society 5.0

Author

Listed:
  • Moradi, Shohreh
  • Khan, Md Muzahid
  • Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne
  • Shamsuddoha, Mohammad
  • Gorod, Alex

Abstract

Society 5.0 is a transformation strategy centered on integrating digital technologies unveiled by the Japanese government to create a human-centric society for economic development and mitigate sustainability issues. Since societies are constantly exposed to various natural disasters like earthquakes, many precautions must be taken both before and after a disaster to minimize the damage. Seismic resilience is one of the practical assessments that may be taken in this regard. Quantifying the functionality of seismic resilience requires a systematic examination of the relevant components and their functional impact. We present a framework based on fragility, consequence and recoverability stages for evaluating the impact of a component on its functionality for earthquake events. Within this study, we introduce a novel set of indicators, which are derived from the key variables impacted by earthquakes, including hospitals, grids, and infrastructures. To that end, we have developed a system dynamics (SD) model to assess earthquake resilience in the context of Society 5.0, considering three earthquake magnitudes (7, 8, and 9 Mw) to simulate societal seismic resilience. We also perform sensitivity analysis to validate the outcomes of the policy simulations. Our findings affirm that by scrutinizing the seismic resilience of critical infrastructure and proposing relevant policies, it is possible to minimize disaster-related damage. This represents a pragmatic step forward in the field of disaster risk management.

Suggested Citation

  • Moradi, Shohreh & Khan, Md Muzahid & Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne & Shamsuddoha, Mohammad & Gorod, Alex, 2023. "Modeling and assessing seismic resilience leveraging systems dynamic approach: A case study of society 5.0," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ijocip:v:43:y:2023:i:c:s1874548223000525
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcip.2023.100639
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1874548223000525
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ijcip.2023.100639?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mohammad Shamsuddoha & Tasnuba Nasir & Niamat Ullah Ibne Hossain, 2023. "A Sustainable Supply Chain Framework for Dairy Farming Operations: A System Dynamics Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-14, May.
    2. David Koren & Katarina Rus, 2019. "The Potential of Open Space for Enhancing Urban Seismic Resilience: A literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-20, October.
    3. Antonis Skouloudis & Thomas Tsalis & Ioannis Nikolaou & Konstantinos Evangelinos & Walter Leal Filho, 2020. "Small & Medium-Sized Enterprises, Organizational Resilience Capacity and Flash Floods: Insights from a Literature Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-17, September.
    4. Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Barker, Kash & Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E., 2016. "A review of definitions and measures of system resilience," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 47-61.
    5. You-Xuan Lin & Chi-Hao Lin & Chih-Hao Lin, 2021. "A challenge for healthcare system resilience after an earthquake: The crowdedness of a first-aid hospital by non-urgent patients," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 16(4), pages 1-16, April.
    6. Shohreh Moradi & Hamid Reza Ahadi & Grzegorz Sierpiński, 2023. "Sustainable Management of Railway Companies Amid Inflation and Reduced Government Subsidies: A System Dynamics Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-23, July.
    7. Ahmad Taher Azar, 2012. "System dynamics as a useful technique for complex systems," International Journal of Industrial and Systems Engineering, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 10(4), pages 377-410.
    8. Elias G. Carayannis & Luca Dezi & Gianluca Gregori & Ernesto Calo, 2022. "Smart Environments and Techno-centric and Human-Centric Innovations for Industry and Society 5.0: A Quintuple Helix Innovation System View Towards Smart, Sustainable, and Inclusive Solutions," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 13(2), pages 926-955, June.
    9. Carolina Narvaez Rojas & Gustavo Adolfo Alomia Peñafiel & Diego Fernando Loaiza Buitrago & Carlos Andrés Tavera Romero, 2021. "Society 5.0: A Japanese Concept for a Superintelligent Society," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-16, June.
    10. Aleksandrina V. Mavrodieva & Rajib Shaw, 2020. "Disaster and Climate Change Issues in Japan’s Society 5.0—A Discussion," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-17, March.
    11. Henry, Devanandham & Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, Jose, 2012. "Generic metrics and quantitative approaches for system resilience as a function of time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 114-122.
    12. Du, Ao & Wang, Xiaowei & Xie, Yazhou & Dong, You, 2023. "Regional seismic risk and resilience assessment: Methodological development, applicability, and future research needs – An earthquake engineering perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fauzan Hanif Jufri & Jun-Sung Kim & Jaesung Jung, 2017. "Analysis of Determinants of the Impact and the Grid Capability to Evaluate and Improve Grid Resilience from Extreme Weather Event," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-17, November.
    2. Yang, Bofan & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Bo & Xiang, Yang & An, Lei & Wang, Wenfeng, 2022. "Complex equipment system resilience: Composition, measurement and element analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    3. Mohamad Darayi & Kash Barker & Joost R. Santos, 2017. "Component Importance Measures for Multi-Industry Vulnerability of a Freight Transportation Network," Networks and Spatial Economics, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 1111-1136, December.
    4. Kammouh, Omar & Gardoni, Paolo & Cimellaro, Gian Paolo, 2020. "Probabilistic framework to evaluate the resilience of engineering systems using Bayesian and dynamic Bayesian networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    5. Ramirez-Marquez, Jose E. & Rocco, Claudio M. & Barker, Kash & Moronta, Jose, 2018. "Quantifying the resilience of community structures in networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 466-474.
    6. MacKenzie, Cameron A. & Hu, Chao, 2019. "Decision making under uncertainty for design of resilient engineered systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).
    7. Araceli Zavala & David Nowicki & Jose Emmanuel Ramirez-Marquez, 2019. "Quantitative metrics to analyze supply chain resilience and associated costs," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 233(2), pages 186-199, April.
    8. Zhang, Chao & Xu, Xin & Dui, Hongyan, 2020. "Resilience Measure of Network Systems by Node and Edge Indicators," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    9. Woodard, Mark & Marashi, Koosha & Sedigh Sarvestani, Sahra & Hurson, Ali R., 2021. "Survivability evaluation and importance analysis for cyber–physical smart grids," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    10. Mottahedi, Adel & Sereshki, Farhang & Ataei, Mohammad & Qarahasanlou, Ali Nouri & Barabadi, Abbas, 2021. "Resilience estimation of critical infrastructure systems: Application of expert judgment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    11. Dui, Hongyan & Liu, Meng & Song, Jiaying & Wu, Shaomin, 2023. "Importance measure-based resilience management: Review, methodology and perspectives on maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    12. Liu, Xing & Fang, Yi-Ping & Zio, Enrico, 2021. "A Hierarchical Resilience Enhancement Framework for Interdependent Critical Infrastructures," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    13. Hui Xu & Yang Li & Lin Wang, 2020. "Resilience Assessment of Complex Urban Public Spaces," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-21, January.
    14. Yang, Bofan & Zhang, Lin & Zhang, Bo & Wang, Wenfeng & Zhang, Minglinag, 2021. "Resilience Metric of Equipment System: Theory, Measurement and Sensitivity Analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    15. Das, Laya & Munikoti, Sai & Natarajan, Balasubramaniam & Srinivasan, Babji, 2020. "Measuring smart grid resilience: Methods, challenges and opportunities," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    16. Ruiying Li & Qiang Dong & Wenting Ma & Rui Kang, 2023. "A test-based methodology for the probabilistic assessment of system resilience under random disturbances," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 237(4), pages 671-685, August.
    17. Cai, Baoping & Xie, Min & Liu, Yonghong & Liu, Yiliu & Feng, Qiang, 2018. "Availability-based engineering resilience metric and its corresponding evaluation methodology," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 216-224.
    18. Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne & Nur, Farjana & Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Jaradat, Raed & Marufuzzaman, Mohammad & Puryear, Stephen M., 2019. "A Bayesian network based approach for modeling and assessing resilience: A case study of a full service deep water port," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 378-396.
    19. Aven, Terje, 2017. "How some types of risk assessments can support resilience analysis and management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 536-543.
    20. Hossain, Niamat Ullah Ibne & Jaradat, Raed & Hosseini, Seyedmohsen & Marufuzzaman, Mohammad & Buchanan, Randy K., 2019. "A framework for modeling and assessing system resilience using a Bayesian network: A case study of an interdependent electrical infrastructure system," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 62-83.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ijocip:v:43:y:2023:i:c:s1874548223000525. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/international-journal-of-critical-infrastructure-protection .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.