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Common risk factors in returns in Asian emerging stock markets

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  • Shum, Wai Cheong
  • Tang, Gordon Y.N.

Abstract

This paper examines the application of the Fama and French's (1993) three-factor model in three Asian emerging markets (Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan). The empirical evidence is consistent with the US findings that the model can explain most of the variations in average returns. However, we find that the main contributing factor is the contemporaneous market excess returns. The impact of the size effect and book-to-market (BE/ME) factor is limited and in some cases insignificant. When the three-factor model is modified by using lagged market excess returns instead in order to check for the predictability of the market factor, the explanatory power of the model drops substantially but both the risk factors for size and BE/ME are now able to contribute significantly in explaining the cross-sectional variations of stock returns. Their explanatory powers are strongest for small-size with high BE/ME portfolios. The robustness of our results is also checked for the separation of up and down markets periods and January effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Shum, Wai Cheong & Tang, Gordon Y.N., 2005. "Common risk factors in returns in Asian emerging stock markets," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 695-717, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:iburev:v:14:y:2005:i:6:p:695-717
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    6. Jeffrey E. Jarrett, 2008. "Predicting Daily Stock Returns: A Lengthy Study of the Hong Kong and Tokyo Stock Exchanges," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 7(1), pages 37-51, April.
    7. Jeffrey Jarrett & Zhenzhen Sun, 2011. "Evidence and explanations for the association among six Asian (Pacific-Basin) financial markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(12), pages 1485-1496.
    8. Asmâa ALAOUI TAIB & Safae BENFEDDOUL, 2023. "Explaining the time series of stock returns," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 14(2), pages 2-16, December.
    9. Keith Lam & Frank Li & Simon So, 2010. "On the validity of the augmented Fama and French’s (1993) model: evidence from the Hong Kong stock market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 89-111, July.
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