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Common risk factors in returns in Asian emerging stock markets

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  • Shum, Wai Cheong
  • Tang, Gordon Y.N.

Abstract

This paper examines the application of the Fama and French's (1993) three-factor model in three Asian emerging markets (Hong Kong, Singapore and Taiwan). The empirical evidence is consistent with the US findings that the model can explain most of the variations in average returns. However, we find that the main contributing factor is the contemporaneous market excess returns. The impact of the size effect and book-to-market (BE/ME) factor is limited and in some cases insignificant. When the three-factor model is modified by using lagged market excess returns instead in order to check for the predictability of the market factor, the explanatory power of the model drops substantially but both the risk factors for size and BE/ME are now able to contribute significantly in explaining the cross-sectional variations of stock returns. Their explanatory powers are strongest for small-size with high BE/ME portfolios. The robustness of our results is also checked for the separation of up and down markets periods and January effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Shum, Wai Cheong & Tang, Gordon Y.N., 2005. "Common risk factors in returns in Asian emerging stock markets," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 695-717, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:iburev:v:14:y:2005:i:6:p:695-717
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    Cited by:

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    2. Susana Iglesias Antelo & Jean-Pierre Levy Mangin, 2010. "An analysis of the risk-return relationship in the Spanish capital market using a structural equation model," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(14), pages 1397-1403.
    3. Hearn, Bruce, 2011. "Modelling size and liquidity in North African industrial sectors," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 21-46, March.
    4. Hearn, Bruce, 2011. "Size and liquidity effects in Japanese regional stock markets," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 25(2), pages 157-181, June.
    5. Ladrón de Guevara Cortés Rogelio & Torra Porras Salvador, 2014. "Estimation of the underlying structure of systematic risk with the use of principal component analysis and factor analysis," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 59(3), pages 197-234, julio-sep.
    6. Lischewski, Judith & Voronkova, Svitlana, 2012. "Size, value and liquidity. Do They Really Matter on an Emerging Stock Market?," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 8-25.
    7. Jeffrey E. Jarrett, 2008. "Predicting Daily Stock Returns: A Lengthy Study of the Hong Kong and Tokyo Stock Exchanges," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 7(1), pages 37-51, April.
    8. Jeffrey Jarrett & Zhenzhen Sun, 2011. "Evidence and explanations for the association among six Asian (Pacific-Basin) financial markets," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(12), pages 1485-1496.
    9. Asmâa ALAOUI TAIB & Safae BENFEDDOUL, 2023. "Explaining the time series of stock returns," Journal of Academic Finance, RED research unit, university of Gabes, Tunisia, vol. 14(2), pages 2-16, December.
    10. Keith Lam & Frank Li & Simon So, 2010. "On the validity of the augmented Fama and French’s (1993) model: evidence from the Hong Kong stock market," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 89-111, July.
    11. Harshita & Shveta Singh & Surendra S. Yadav, 2018. "Changing Nature of the Value Premium in the Indian Stock Market," Vision, , vol. 22(2), pages 135-143, June.
    12. Bruce Hearn & Jenifer Piesse, 2015. "The Impact of Firm Size and Liquidity on the Cost of External Finance in Africa," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 83(1), pages 1-22, March.
    13. Jelena Minović & Boško Živković, 2012. "Impact Of Liquidity And Size Premium On Equity Price Formation In Serbia," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 57(195), pages 43-78, October -.
    14. Hearn, Bruce, 2013. "Size and liquidity effects in Nigeria: an industrial sector study," MPRA Paper 47975, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    15. Bruce Hearn & Jenifer Piesse, 2010. "Modelling size and illiquidity in West African equity markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(13), pages 1011-1030.
    16. Hearn, Bruce & Piesse, Jenifer, 2009. "Sector level cost of equity in African financial markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 257-278, December.

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