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Strengthening the public health workforce: An estimation of the long-term requirements for public health specialists in Serbia

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  • Santric Milicevic, Milena
  • Vasic, Milena
  • Edwards, Matt
  • Sanchez, Cristina
  • Fellows, John

Abstract

At the beginning of the 21st century, planning the public health workforce requirements came into the focus of policy makers. The need for improved provision of essential public health services, driven by a challenging non-communicable disease and causes of death and disability within Serbia, calls for a much needed estimation of the requirements of the public health professionals. Mid and long-term public health specialists’ supply and demand estimations out to 2025were developed based on national staffing standards and regional distribution of the workforce in public health institutes of Serbia. By 2025, the supply of specialists, taking into account attrition rate of −1% reaches the staffing standard. However, a slight increase in attrition rates has the impact of revealing supply shortage risks. Demand side projections show that public health institutes require an annual input of 10 specialists or 2.1% annual growth rate in order for the four public health fields to achieve a headcount of 487 by 2025 as well as counteract workforce attrition rates. Shortage and poor distribution of public health specialists underline the urgent need for workforce recruitment and retention in public health institutes in order to ensure the coordination, management, surveillance and provision of essential public health services over the next decade.

Suggested Citation

  • Santric Milicevic, Milena & Vasic, Milena & Edwards, Matt & Sanchez, Cristina & Fellows, John, 2018. "Strengthening the public health workforce: An estimation of the long-term requirements for public health specialists in Serbia," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 122(6), pages 674-680.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:hepoli:v:122:y:2018:i:6:p:674-680
    DOI: 10.1016/j.healthpol.2018.03.012
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Sumaya, C.V., 2012. "Enumeration and composition of the public health workforce: Challenges and strategies," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 102(3), pages 469-474.
    2. Mihajlo Jakovljevic, 2013. "Resource allocation strategies in Southeastern European health policy," The European Journal of Health Economics, Springer;Deutsche Gesellschaft für Gesundheitsökonomie (DGGÖ), vol. 14(2), pages 153-159, April.
    3. Santric Milicevic, Milena & Vasic, Milena & Edwards, Matt, 2015. "Mapping the governance of human resources for health in Serbia," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(12), pages 1613-1620.
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    Cited by:

    1. Milan Dinić & Milena Šantrić Milićević & Stefan Mandić‐Rajčević & Katica Tripković, 2021. "Health workforce management in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic: A survey of physicians in Serbia," International Journal of Health Planning and Management, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(S1), pages 92-111, May.
    2. Sutton, Claire & Prowse, Julie & McVey, Lynn & Elshehaly, Mai & Neagu, Daniel & Montague, Jane & Alvarado, Natasha & Tissiman, Chris & O'Connell, Kate & Eyers, Emma & Faisal, Muhammad & Randell, Rebec, 2023. "Strategic workforce planning in health and social care – an international perspective: A scoping review," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C).
    3. Katica Tripković & Milena Šantrić-Milićević & Milena Vasić & Mirjana Živković-Šulović & Marina Odalović & Vesna Mijatović-Jovanović & Zoran Bukumirić, 2021. "Factors Associated with Intention of Serbian Public Health Workers to Leave the Job: A Cross-Sectional, Population-Based Study," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(20), pages 1-14, October.

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