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Response of stock market volatility to COVID-19 announcements and stringency measures: A comparison of developed and emerging markets

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  • Bakry, Walid
  • Kavalmthara, Peter John
  • Saverimuttu, Vivienne
  • Liu, Yiyang
  • Cyril, Sajan

Abstract

We investigate the relationship between the daily release of COVID-19 related announcements, defensive government interventions, and stock market volatility, drawing upon an extended time period of one year, to independently test, confirm and iteratively improve on previous research findings. We categorize stock markets into emerging and developed markets and consider differences and similarities utilizing an asymmetric measure of volatility. We find that there are major differences between these markets with respect to investors’ interpretation of risk in response to daily new confirmed cases, death rates, recovery rates, and different defensive government interventions. We suggest explanations for these differences, in terms of national culture, and the quality of governance. Moreover, the development of Pfizer-BioNTech's vaccine is of immense importance to both markets. The findings have implications for tailoring government responses to crises in country-specific contexts.

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  • Bakry, Walid & Kavalmthara, Peter John & Saverimuttu, Vivienne & Liu, Yiyang & Cyril, Sajan, 2022. "Response of stock market volatility to COVID-19 announcements and stringency measures: A comparison of developed and emerging markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PA).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:46:y:2022:i:pa:s154461232100355x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2021.102350
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    Cited by:

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    2. Wu, Xinyu & Zhao, An & Cheng, Tengfei, 2023. "A Real-Time GARCH-MIDAS model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    3. Chowdhury, Mohammad Ashraful Ferdous & Abdullah, Mohammad & Masih, Mansur, 2022. "COVID-19 government interventions and cryptocurrency market: Is there any optimum portfolio diversification?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    4. Salazar, Yadira & Merello, Paloma & Zorio-Grima, Ana, 2023. "IFRS 9, banking risk and COVID-19: Evidence from Europe," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    5. Emna Trabelsi, 2024. "COVID-19 and Uncertainty Effects on Tunisian Stock Market Volatility: Insights from GJR-GARCH, Wavelet Coherence, and ARDL," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-52, September.
    6. Annika Fischer & Noel Opala & Svend Reuse & Martin Svoboda, 2022. "The Impact of the Corona Crisis on the Worldwide Stock Markets: An Empirical Analysis with Cross National Event Study Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 12(6), pages 162-172, November.
    7. Emre BULUT & Ahmed İhsan ŞİMŞEK, 2023. "The Relationship Between the Stock Market Volatility, Liquidity, Exchange Rate Return, and Stock Return During the COVID-19 Period: The case of the BIST 100 Index," Bingol University Journal of Economics and Administrative Sciences, Bingol University, Faculty of Economics and Administrative Sciences, vol. 7(1), pages 121-135, June.
    8. K. Riyazahmed, 2022. "Volatility Spillover and Pandemic - Analysis of Selected Sectoral Indices in India," Economic Thought journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 6, pages 655-670.
    9. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Senthilkumar, Arunachalam & Arfaoui, Nadia & Mohnot, Rajesh, 2024. "Mapping fear in financial markets: Insights from dynamic networks and centrality measures," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    COVID-19 announcements; Stock market volatility; GJR-GARCH; Emerging markets; Developed markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • H12 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - Crisis Management
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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