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Modelling oil and gas stock returns using multi factor asset pricing model including oil price exposure

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  • Sanusi, Muhammad Surajo
  • Ahmad, Farooq

Abstract

Oil and gas is one of the most important sectors in every economy and the valuation of oil and gas companies becomes quite challenging due to the volatility of crude oil price. The paper investigates the determinants of the UK oil and gas stock returns using multi factor asset pricing model and the existence of asymmetric effects in the Brent crude oil price. Our results show that market risk, oil price risk, size and book-to-market related factors are all relevant in the determination of asset returns of the oil and gas companies quoted on the London stock exchange. Oil price increases and decreases decomposed separately have more effect on the oil companies’ stock returns than the normal log changes of the price which show the presence of asymmetric effect. However, the oil price shocks in general do not seem to strongly affect stock returns in oil and gas sector possibly due to horizontal and vertical integration of bigger companies in the sector.

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  • Sanusi, Muhammad Surajo & Ahmad, Farooq, 2016. "Modelling oil and gas stock returns using multi factor asset pricing model including oil price exposure," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 18(C), pages 89-99.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:18:y:2016:i:c:p:89-99
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2016.04.005
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    14. Adekunle, Wasiu & Bagudo, Abubakar M. & Odumosu, Monsuru & Inuolaji, Suraj B., 2020. "Predicting stock returns using crude oil prices: A firm level analysis of Nigeria's oil and gas sector," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    15. Wei, Lu & Li, Guowen & Zhu, Xiaoqian & Sun, Xiaolei & Li, Jianping, 2019. "Developing a hierarchical system for energy corporate risk factors based on textual risk disclosures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 452-460.
    16. Batten, Jonathan A. & Ciner, Cetin & Lucey, Brian M., 2017. "The dynamic linkages between crude oil and natural gas markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 155-170.
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    19. Muhammad Surajo Sanusi, 2017. "Investigating the sources of Black’s leverage effect in oil and gas stocks," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1318812-131, January.
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    21. Luo, Xingguo & Qin, Shihua, 2017. "Oil price uncertainty and Chinese stock returns: New evidence from the oil volatility index," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 29-34.
    22. Mohammad Enamul Hoque & Soo-Wah Low & Mohd Azlan Shah Zaidi & Lain-Tze Tee & Noor Azlan Ghazali, 2023. "Asymmetric and Lag Effects of Industry Risk Factors on the Malaysian Oil and Gas Stocks," SAGE Open, , vol. 13(3), pages 21582440231, July.
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    24. Luo, Changqing & Qu, Yi & Su, Yaya & Dong, Liang, 2024. "Risk spillover from international crude oil markets to China’s financial markets: Evidence from extreme events and U.S. monetary policy," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Asset pricing model; Brent crude oil; Asymmetry in oil price; Size effect; Book to market ratio; Oil and gas sector; Oil price exposure; Structural breaks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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