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Country world betas: The link between the stock market beta and macroeconomic beta

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  • Ülkü, Numan
  • Baker, Saleh

Abstract

We assess the connection between stock market linkages and macroeconomic linkages by using a world index model. Specifically, we test the association between the stock market beta (the sensitivity of country stock market index to world index) and macroeconomic betas (the sensitivity of national output and inflation to world output and inflation). Output betas account for about 20–26% of the cross-section of stock market betas. Controlling for previously-documented factors affecting stock market comovements: world output volatility is somewhat significant, while inflation betas, trade openness and world stock market volatility are insignificant in accounting for variation in stock market betas.

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  • Ülkü, Numan & Baker, Saleh, 2014. "Country world betas: The link between the stock market beta and macroeconomic beta," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 11(1), pages 36-46.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:11:y:2014:i:1:p:36-46
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2013.07.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Alina Synyavska & Numan Ülkü, 2015. "'Leverage Effect' in country betas and volatilities?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(11), pages 848-853, July.
    2. Zhu, Lin & Jiang, Fuwei & Tang, Guohao & Jin, Fujing, 2024. "From macro to micro: Sparse macroeconomic risks and the cross-section of stock returns," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    3. Zhou, Xiaoguang & Cui, Yadi & Wu, Shihwei & Wang, Weiqing, 2019. "The influence of cultural distance on the volatility of the international stock market," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 289-300.
    4. Chikashi Tsuji, 2017. "Does the CBOE Volatility Index Predict Downside Risk at the Tokyo Stock Exchange?," International Business Research, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 10(3), pages 1-7, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock market comovement; Comovement of output and inflation; World beta; Macroeconomic beta;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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