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Impact of crude oil price innovations on global stock market volatility: Evidence across time and space

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  • Yin, Libo
  • Cao, Hong
  • Xin, Yu

Abstract

This study investigates the impact of crude oil price innovations on global stock market volatility through a ripple-spreading network model, incorporating four dimensions of crude oil price changes: realized volatility, implied volatility, variance risk premium, and realized skewness volatility. Additionally, we assess the effects of three types of crude oil shocks—oil-specific, aggregate demand, and oil supply shocks. The results indicate that while all four dimensions exhibit similar temporal diffusion patterns, their spatial impacts differ. Global stock markets demonstrate heightened sensitivity to implied volatility and variance risk premium, followed by realized volatility and, lastly, realized skewness volatility. Moreover, we find that realized volatility spreads through multiple transmission pathways, albeit at a slower pace compared to implied volatility and the variance risk premium. Among the crude oil shocks, oil-specific shock induces the most rapid volatility transmission across global markets, with aggregate demand shock following and oil supply shock exerting the smallest influence.

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  • Yin, Libo & Cao, Hong & Xin, Yu, 2024. "Impact of crude oil price innovations on global stock market volatility: Evidence across time and space," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PB).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:96:y:2024:i:pb:s1057521924006173
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103685
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