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Crime and covenants

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  • Shazia, Farhan

Abstract

Crime is a major concern in the U.S., with implications for the allocation of resources due to the uncertainty associated with it. This paper examines whether the U.S. state property crime rate is a source of uncertainty that induces lenders to increase and tighten covenants as a result of increased risk. I found that greater crime exposure by borrowers leads lenders to impose higher and tighter covenants. The results remain robust to various covenant intensity measures and are not driven by endogeneity. A difference-in-difference test shows that a firm's relocation to a higher-crime-prone state significantly increases covenant intensity. I explore two potential channels that drive the effect of property crime: earnings volatility and reduced collateral value of firms operating in crime-ridden states. I find that covenants and spreads are complementary factors in the presence of higher property crimes.

Suggested Citation

  • Shazia, Farhan, 2024. "Crime and covenants," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:94:y:2024:i:c:s1057521924002266
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103294
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Covenant intensity; Covenant tightness; Property crime;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • G30 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - General
    • G32 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Financing Policy; Financial Risk and Risk Management; Capital and Ownership Structure; Value of Firms; Goodwill

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