IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v307y2024ics0360544224023120.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Advancing effective energy transition: The effects and mechanisms of China's dual-pilot energy policies

Author

Listed:
  • Zou, Tong
  • Li, Fanrong
  • Guo, Pibin

Abstract

Quantifying energy transition (ET) and evaluating energy policies are crucial for global sustainable development. This study measures the energy transition index (ET−CCD) at the prefecture-level city level in China and evaluates the synergistic effects of the dual-pilot energy policy of New Energy Demonstration City (NEDC) and Low Carbon City Pilot (LCCP) based on the energy trilemma (ETR) of coordinated development in terms of security (ES), justice (EJ) and sustainability (ESU). The results show that the overall ET−CCD is increasing, with the eastern and central regions leading, the western region growing significantly, and the northeast fluctuating upward, indicating regional disparities. Compared to single policies, the dual-pilot energy policies have a more significant promoting effect on energy transition, especially in eastern, western, non-central cities, resource-based cities, and cities with high carbon emission reduction potential. Mechanism analysis reveals that the dual-pilot energy policies significantly promote ES and EJ , but have a negative impact on ESU in the short-term. Improvements in ES, EJ and ESU all significantly promote energy transition, with ES serving as a complete mediator, while EJ and ESU serving as partial mediators. Additionally, the findings remain stable in robustness tests and provide data support for a flexible mix of policy instruments to facilitate energy transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Zou, Tong & Li, Fanrong & Guo, Pibin, 2024. "Advancing effective energy transition: The effects and mechanisms of China's dual-pilot energy policies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:307:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224023120
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.132538
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544224023120
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2024.132538?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chu, Lan Khanh, 2024. "Towards achieving energy transition goal: How do green financial policy, environmental tax, economic complexity, and globalization matter?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    2. Bo Chen & Feng Jin & Guangchen Li & Yurong Zhao, 2023. "Can the New Energy Demonstration City Policy Promote Green and Low-Carbon Development? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-16, May.
    3. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2018. "Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-68, February.
    4. Lv, Yulan & Chen, Wei & Cheng, Jianquan, 2020. "Effects of urbanization on energy efficiency in China: New evidence from short run and long run efficiency models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    5. James J. Heckman & Hidehiko Ichimura & Petra E. Todd, 1997. "Matching As An Econometric Evaluation Estimator: Evidence from Evaluating a Job Training Programme," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 64(4), pages 605-654.
    6. Cheng, Zhonghua & Yu, Xuejin & Zhang, Yi, 2023. "Is the construction of new energy demonstration cities conducive to improvements in energy efficiency?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
    7. Chai, Jian & Tian, Lingyue & Jia, Ruining, 2023. "New energy demonstration city, spatial spillover and carbon emission efficiency: Evidence from China's quasi-natural experiment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    8. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Kenku, Oluwademilade T. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh & Ogunjemilua, Oluwafemi D., 2023. "Does economic complexity drive energy efficiency and renewable energy transition?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    9. López González, Diana María & Garcia Rendon, John, 2022. "Opportunities and challenges of mainstreaming distributed energy resources towards the transition to more efficient and resilient energy markets," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    10. Huo, Weidong & Qi, Jie & Yang, Tong & Liu, Jialu & Liu, Miaomiao & Zhou, Ziqi, 2022. "Effects of China's pilot low-carbon city policy on carbon emission reduction: A quasi-natural experiment based on satellite data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    11. Wang, Xinru & Long, Ruyin & Sun, Qingqing & Chen, Hong & Jiang, Shiyan & Wang, Yujie & Li, Qianwen & Yang, Shuhan, 2024. "Spatial spillover effects and driving mechanisms of carbon emission reduction in new energy demonstration cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    12. Su, Xiang & Tan, Junlan, 2023. "Regional energy transition path and the role of government support and resource endowment in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    13. Song, Yang & He, Yinghong & Sahut, Jean-Michel & Shah, Syed Hasanat, 2024. "Can low-carbon city pilot policy decrease urban energy poverty?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    14. Che, Shuai & Wang, Jun & Chen, Honghang, 2023. "Can China's decentralized energy governance reduce carbon emissions? Evidence from new energy demonstration cities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    15. Wang, Lianghu & Shao, Jun & Ma, Yatian, 2023. "Does China's low-carbon city pilot policy improve energy efficiency?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    16. Maliszewska-Nienartowicz, Justyna & Stefański, Oskar, 2024. "Decentralisation versus centralisation in Swedish energy policy: the main challenges and drivers for the energy transition at the regional and local levels," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    17. A. T. D. Perera & Kavan Javanroodi & Dasaraden Mauree & Vahid M. Nik & Pietro Florio & Tianzhen Hong & Deliang Chen, 2023. "Challenges resulting from urban density and climate change for the EU energy transition," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 8(4), pages 397-412, April.
    18. Cheng Zhou & Ruilian Zhang & Julia Loginova & Vigya Sharma & Zhonghua Zhang & Zaijian Qian, 2022. "Institutional Logic of Carbon Neutrality Policies in China: What Can We Learn?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-16, June.
    19. Maimó-Far, Aina & Homar, Víctor & Tantet, Alexis & Drobinski, Philippe, 2024. "The trade-off between socio-environmental awareness and renewable penetration targets in energy transition roadmaps," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    20. Muhammad Ramzan & Ummara Razi & Muhammad Umer Quddoos & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2023. "Do green innovation and financial globalization contribute to the ecological sustainability and energy transition in the United Kingdom? Policy insights from a bootstrap rolling window approach," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 393-414, February.
    21. Zhao, Congyu & Dong, Kangyin & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Carbon lock-in endgame: Can energy trilemma eradication contribute to decarbonization?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    22. Zhao, Congyu & Dong, Kangyin & Wang, Kun & Dong, Xiucheng, 2022. "How does energy trilemma eradication reduce carbon emissions? The role of dual environmental regulation for China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    23. Jin, Yi & Liu, Sinuo & Sun, Yongping & Fang, Jie, 2024. "Energy transition and housing market bubbles: Evidence from prefecture cities in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    24. Shirazi, Masoud, 2022. "Assessing energy trilemma-related policies: The world's large energy user evidence," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    25. Mohsin, M. & Zhou, P. & Iqbal, N. & Shah, S.A.A., 2018. "Assessing oil supply security of South Asia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 438-447.
    26. Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Xia, Xiqiang & Dogan, Eyup, 2024. "Understanding the effects of artificial intelligence on energy transition: The moderating role of Paris Agreement," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    27. Hou, Yaru & Yang, Mian & Ma, Yanran & Zhang, Haiying, 2024. "Study on city's energy transition: Evidence from the establishment of the new energy demonstration cities in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    28. Callaway, Brantly & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C., 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 200-230.
    29. Heffron, Raphael J. & Körner, Marc-Fabian & Sumarno, Theresia & Wagner, Jonathan & Weibelzahl, Martin & Fridgen, Gilbert, 2022. "How different electricity pricing systems affect the energy trilemma: Assessing Indonesia's electricity market transition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    30. Wu, Liangpeng & Xu, Chengzhen & Zhu, Qingyuan & Zhou, Dequn, 2024. "Multiple energy price distortions and improvement of potential energy consumption structure in the energy transition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 362(C).
    31. Johannes Suitner & Wolfgang Haider & Stefan Philipp, 2023. "Social innovation for regional energy transition? An agency perspective on transformative change in non-core regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(8), pages 1498-1510, August.
    32. Bridge, Gavin & Bouzarovski, Stefan & Bradshaw, Michael & Eyre, Nick, 2013. "Geographies of energy transition: Space, place and the low-carbon economy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 331-340.
    33. Khan, Irfan & Zakari, Abdulrasheed & Zhang, Jinjun & Dagar, Vishal & Singh, Sanjeet, 2022. "A study of trilemma energy balance, clean energy transitions, and economic expansion in the midst of environmental sustainability: New insights from three trilemma leadership," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    34. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Song, Hepeng & An, Jiafu, 2024. "The impact of green finance on energy transition: Does climate risk matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhao, Congyu & Dong, Kangyin & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Carbon lock-in endgame: Can energy trilemma eradication contribute to decarbonization?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    2. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Tianhui, 2024. "The impact of renewable energy policies on the energy transition -– An empirical analysis of Chinese cities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    3. Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C. & Zhao, Jun, 2020. "Doubly robust difference-in-differences estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 101-122.
    4. Nora Bearth, 2024. "Beyond Baby Blues: The Child Penalty in Mental Health in Switzerland," Papers 2410.20861, arXiv.org.
    5. Christoph Breunig & Ruixuan Liu & Zhengfei Yu, 2024. "Semiparametric Bayesian Difference-in-Differences," Papers 2412.04605, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
    6. Yang, Zhaofu & Liu, Hong & Yuan, Yongna & Li, Muhua, 2024. "Can renewable energy development facilitate China's sustainable energy transition? Perspective from Energy Trilemma," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    7. Caragliu, Andrea & Graziano, Marcello, 2022. "The spatial dimension of energy transition policies, practices and technologies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    8. Bahia, Kalvin & Castells, Pau & Cruz, Genaro & Masaki, Takaaki & Pedrós, Xavier & Pfutze, Tobias & Rodríguez-Castelán, Carlos & Winkler, Hernán, 2024. "The welfare effects of mobile broadband internet: Evidence from Nigeria," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    9. Li, Daiyue & Jin, Yanhong & Cheng, Mingwang, 2024. "Unleashing the power of industrial robotics on firm productivity: Evidence from China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 500-520.
    10. Mark Kattenberg & Bas Scheer & Jurre Thiel, 2023. "Causal forests with fixed effects for treatment effect heterogeneity in difference-in-differences," CPB Discussion Paper 452, CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis.
    11. Nilsen, Øivind A. & Raknerud, Arvid, 2024. "Dynamics of first-time patenting firms," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(8).
    12. Gregori, Wildmer Daniel & Martinez Cillero, Maria & Nardo, Michela, 2021. "The effects of cross-border acquisitions on firms' productivity in the EU," JRC Working Papers in Economics and Finance 2021-06, Joint Research Centre, European Commission.
    13. Yijia Song & Xitao Li & Ruoxi Liu & Xin Peng, 2024. "The unintended energy efficiency gain from tax incentives for investment: Micro‐evidence from quasi‐natural experiments in China," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 28(1), pages 310-338, February.
    14. Neng-Chieh Chang, 2020. "The Mode Treatment Effect," Papers 2007.11606, arXiv.org.
    15. Lin, Boqiang & Xu, Chongchong, 2024. "Reaping green dividend: The effect of China's urban new energy transition strategy on green economic performance," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    16. Casagrande, Dieison & Emanuel, Lucas & Freitas, Carlos & Lima, Alex & Nishimura, Fábio & Oliveira, Felipe, 2024. "Public food procurement and production: Evidence of the food acquisition program in Brazil," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C).
    17. Melnik, Walter & Smyth, Andrew, 2024. "R&D tax credits and innovation," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    18. Dmitry Arkhangelsky & Guido Imbens, 2023. "Causal Models for Longitudinal and Panel Data: A Survey," Papers 2311.15458, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
    19. Isabelle Chort & Berk Öktem, 2024. "Agricultural shocks, coping policies and deforestation: Evidence from the coffee leaf rust epidemic in Mexico," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 106(3), pages 1020-1057, May.
    20. Chabé-Ferret, Sylvain & Reynaud, Arnaud & Tène, Eva, 2021. "Water Quality, Policy Diffusion Effects and Farmers’ Behavior," TSE Working Papers 21-1229, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:307:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224023120. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.