IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v307y2024ics0360544224023120.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Advancing effective energy transition: The effects and mechanisms of China's dual-pilot energy policies

Author

Listed:
  • Zou, Tong
  • Li, Fanrong
  • Guo, Pibin

Abstract

Quantifying energy transition (ET) and evaluating energy policies are crucial for global sustainable development. This study measures the energy transition index (ET−CCD) at the prefecture-level city level in China and evaluates the synergistic effects of the dual-pilot energy policy of New Energy Demonstration City (NEDC) and Low Carbon City Pilot (LCCP) based on the energy trilemma (ETR) of coordinated development in terms of security (ES), justice (EJ) and sustainability (ESU). The results show that the overall ET−CCD is increasing, with the eastern and central regions leading, the western region growing significantly, and the northeast fluctuating upward, indicating regional disparities. Compared to single policies, the dual-pilot energy policies have a more significant promoting effect on energy transition, especially in eastern, western, non-central cities, resource-based cities, and cities with high carbon emission reduction potential. Mechanism analysis reveals that the dual-pilot energy policies significantly promote ES and EJ , but have a negative impact on ESU in the short-term. Improvements in ES, EJ and ESU all significantly promote energy transition, with ES serving as a complete mediator, while EJ and ESU serving as partial mediators. Additionally, the findings remain stable in robustness tests and provide data support for a flexible mix of policy instruments to facilitate energy transition.

Suggested Citation

  • Zou, Tong & Li, Fanrong & Guo, Pibin, 2024. "Advancing effective energy transition: The effects and mechanisms of China's dual-pilot energy policies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:307:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224023120
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2024.132538
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544224023120
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2024.132538?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chu, Lan Khanh, 2024. "Towards achieving energy transition goal: How do green financial policy, environmental tax, economic complexity, and globalization matter?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    2. Bo Chen & Feng Jin & Guangchen Li & Yurong Zhao, 2023. "Can the New Energy Demonstration City Policy Promote Green and Low-Carbon Development? Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-16, May.
    3. Victor Chernozhukov & Denis Chetverikov & Mert Demirer & Esther Duflo & Christian Hansen & Whitney Newey & James Robins, 2018. "Double/debiased machine learning for treatment and structural parameters," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 21(1), pages 1-68, February.
    4. Lv, Yulan & Chen, Wei & Cheng, Jianquan, 2020. "Effects of urbanization on energy efficiency in China: New evidence from short run and long run efficiency models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    5. James J. Heckman & Hidehiko Ichimura & Petra E. Todd, 1997. "Matching As An Econometric Evaluation Estimator: Evidence from Evaluating a Job Training Programme," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 64(4), pages 605-654.
    6. Cheng, Zhonghua & Yu, Xuejin & Zhang, Yi, 2023. "Is the construction of new energy demonstration cities conducive to improvements in energy efficiency?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PA).
    7. Chai, Jian & Tian, Lingyue & Jia, Ruining, 2023. "New energy demonstration city, spatial spillover and carbon emission efficiency: Evidence from China's quasi-natural experiment," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    8. Adekoya, Oluwasegun B. & Kenku, Oluwademilade T. & Oliyide, Johnson A. & Al-Faryan, Mamdouh Abdulaziz Saleh & Ogunjemilua, Oluwafemi D., 2023. "Does economic complexity drive energy efficiency and renewable energy transition?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(C).
    9. López González, Diana María & Garcia Rendon, John, 2022. "Opportunities and challenges of mainstreaming distributed energy resources towards the transition to more efficient and resilient energy markets," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    10. Huo, Weidong & Qi, Jie & Yang, Tong & Liu, Jialu & Liu, Miaomiao & Zhou, Ziqi, 2022. "Effects of China's pilot low-carbon city policy on carbon emission reduction: A quasi-natural experiment based on satellite data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 175(C).
    11. Wang, Xinru & Long, Ruyin & Sun, Qingqing & Chen, Hong & Jiang, Shiyan & Wang, Yujie & Li, Qianwen & Yang, Shuhan, 2024. "Spatial spillover effects and driving mechanisms of carbon emission reduction in new energy demonstration cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 357(C).
    12. Su, Xiang & Tan, Junlan, 2023. "Regional energy transition path and the role of government support and resource endowment in China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    13. Song, Yang & He, Yinghong & Sahut, Jean-Michel & Shah, Syed Hasanat, 2024. "Can low-carbon city pilot policy decrease urban energy poverty?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 186(C).
    14. Che, Shuai & Wang, Jun & Chen, Honghang, 2023. "Can China's decentralized energy governance reduce carbon emissions? Evidence from new energy demonstration cities," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    15. Wang, Lianghu & Shao, Jun & Ma, Yatian, 2023. "Does China's low-carbon city pilot policy improve energy efficiency?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    16. Maliszewska-Nienartowicz, Justyna & Stefański, Oskar, 2024. "Decentralisation versus centralisation in Swedish energy policy: the main challenges and drivers for the energy transition at the regional and local levels," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    17. A. T. D. Perera & Kavan Javanroodi & Dasaraden Mauree & Vahid M. Nik & Pietro Florio & Tianzhen Hong & Deliang Chen, 2023. "Challenges resulting from urban density and climate change for the EU energy transition," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 8(4), pages 397-412, April.
    18. Cheng Zhou & Ruilian Zhang & Julia Loginova & Vigya Sharma & Zhonghua Zhang & Zaijian Qian, 2022. "Institutional Logic of Carbon Neutrality Policies in China: What Can We Learn?," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-16, June.
    19. Maimó-Far, Aina & Homar, Víctor & Tantet, Alexis & Drobinski, Philippe, 2024. "The trade-off between socio-environmental awareness and renewable penetration targets in energy transition roadmaps," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 355(C).
    20. Muhammad Ramzan & Ummara Razi & Muhammad Umer Quddoos & Tomiwa Sunday Adebayo, 2023. "Do green innovation and financial globalization contribute to the ecological sustainability and energy transition in the United Kingdom? Policy insights from a bootstrap rolling window approach," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(1), pages 393-414, February.
    21. Zhao, Congyu & Dong, Kangyin & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Carbon lock-in endgame: Can energy trilemma eradication contribute to decarbonization?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    22. Zhao, Congyu & Dong, Kangyin & Wang, Kun & Dong, Xiucheng, 2022. "How does energy trilemma eradication reduce carbon emissions? The role of dual environmental regulation for China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
    23. Jin, Yi & Liu, Sinuo & Sun, Yongping & Fang, Jie, 2024. "Energy transition and housing market bubbles: Evidence from prefecture cities in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    24. Shirazi, Masoud, 2022. "Assessing energy trilemma-related policies: The world's large energy user evidence," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    25. Mohsin, M. & Zhou, P. & Iqbal, N. & Shah, S.A.A., 2018. "Assessing oil supply security of South Asia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 438-447.
    26. Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Xia, Xiqiang & Dogan, Eyup, 2024. "Understanding the effects of artificial intelligence on energy transition: The moderating role of Paris Agreement," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    27. Hou, Yaru & Yang, Mian & Ma, Yanran & Zhang, Haiying, 2024. "Study on city's energy transition: Evidence from the establishment of the new energy demonstration cities in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    28. Callaway, Brantly & Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C., 2021. "Difference-in-Differences with multiple time periods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 225(2), pages 200-230.
    29. Heffron, Raphael J. & Körner, Marc-Fabian & Sumarno, Theresia & Wagner, Jonathan & Weibelzahl, Martin & Fridgen, Gilbert, 2022. "How different electricity pricing systems affect the energy trilemma: Assessing Indonesia's electricity market transition," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    30. Wu, Liangpeng & Xu, Chengzhen & Zhu, Qingyuan & Zhou, Dequn, 2024. "Multiple energy price distortions and improvement of potential energy consumption structure in the energy transition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 362(C).
    31. Johannes Suitner & Wolfgang Haider & Stefan Philipp, 2023. "Social innovation for regional energy transition? An agency perspective on transformative change in non-core regions," Regional Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 57(8), pages 1498-1510, August.
    32. Bridge, Gavin & Bouzarovski, Stefan & Bradshaw, Michael & Eyre, Nick, 2013. "Geographies of energy transition: Space, place and the low-carbon economy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 331-340.
    33. Khan, Irfan & Zakari, Abdulrasheed & Zhang, Jinjun & Dagar, Vishal & Singh, Sanjeet, 2022. "A study of trilemma energy balance, clean energy transitions, and economic expansion in the midst of environmental sustainability: New insights from three trilemma leadership," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    34. Lee, Chi-Chuan & Song, Hepeng & An, Jiafu, 2024. "The impact of green finance on energy transition: Does climate risk matter?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Jiayu & Wang, Jianlong & Wang, Weilong & Wu, Haitao, 2024. "Exploring the path to promote energy revolution: Assessing the impact of new energy demonstration city construction on urban energy transition in China," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    2. Xiong, Zhiqiao & Hu, Jin & Li, Wenfeng, 2024. "From policy to practice: Enhancing enterprise productivity through energy transition initiatives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).
    3. Liu, Jiamin & Zhang, Jiaoning & Ma, Xiaoyu & Zhao, Bin & Zhang, Mengyu, 2024. "The road to sustainable development: Can the new energy demonstration city policy promote the industrial structure transformation?," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 237(PB).
    4. Zhao, Congyu & Dong, Kangyin & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2024. "Carbon lock-in endgame: Can energy trilemma eradication contribute to decarbonization?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    5. Huang, Yongming & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Haseeb, Mohammad, 2024. "Energy transition at the crossroads of energy depletion and environmental policy stringency: Energy policy framework for energy giants in the indo-pacific belt," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C).
    6. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Wang, Tianhui, 2024. "The impact of renewable energy policies on the energy transition -– An empirical analysis of Chinese cities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    7. Sant’Anna, Pedro H.C. & Zhao, Jun, 2020. "Doubly robust difference-in-differences estimators," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 101-122.
    8. Yang, Zhaofu & Liu, Hong & Yuan, Yongna & Li, Muhua, 2024. "Can renewable energy development facilitate China's sustainable energy transition? Perspective from Energy Trilemma," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    9. Zhao, Xingqi & Ke, Xiaojun & Jiang, Songyu, 2024. "Spatial impact of green finance reform pilot zones on environmental efficiency: A pathway to mitigating China's energy trilemma," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 312(C).
    10. Nora Bearth, 2024. "Beyond Baby Blues: The Child Penalty in Mental Health in Switzerland," Papers 2410.20861, arXiv.org.
    11. Christoph Breunig & Ruixuan Liu & Zhengfei Yu, 2024. "Semiparametric Bayesian Difference-in-Differences," Papers 2412.04605, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2024.
    12. Liu, Kui & Huang, Tao & Xia, Zheyi & Xia, Xingneng & Wu, Rongrong, 2025. "The impact assessment of low-carbon city pilot policy on urban green innovation: A batch-time heterogeneity perspective," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 377(PB).
    13. Arne Henningsen & Guy Low & David Wuepper & Tobias Dalhaus & Hugo Storm & Dagim Belay & Stefan Hirsch, 2024. "Estimating Causal Effects with Observational Data: Guidelines for Agricultural and Applied Economists," IFRO Working Paper 2024/03, University of Copenhagen, Department of Food and Resource Economics.
    14. Caragliu, Andrea & Graziano, Marcello, 2022. "The spatial dimension of energy transition policies, practices and technologies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C).
    15. Bahia, Kalvin & Castells, Pau & Cruz, Genaro & Masaki, Takaaki & Pedrós, Xavier & Pfutze, Tobias & Rodríguez-Castelán, Carlos & Winkler, Hernán, 2024. "The welfare effects of mobile broadband internet: Evidence from Nigeria," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    16. Ullah, Sana & Gozgor, Giray & Lu, Zhou, 2024. "How do conflicts affect energy security risk? Evidence from major energy-consuming economies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 175-187.
    17. Miquel Oliu-Barton & Bary S. R. Pradelski & Nicolas Woloszko & Lionel Guetta-Jeanrenaud & Philippe Aghion & Patrick Artus & Arnaud Fontanet & Philippe Martin & Guntram B. Wolff, 2022. "The effect of COVID certificates on vaccine uptake, health outcomes, and the economy," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-13, December.
    18. Li, Daiyue & Jin, Yanhong & Cheng, Mingwang, 2024. "Unleashing the power of industrial robotics on firm productivity: Evidence from China," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 500-520.
    19. Yihui He & Fang Han, 2023. "On propensity score matching with a diverging number of matches," Papers 2310.14142, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    20. Nilsen, Øivind A. & Raknerud, Arvid, 2024. "Dynamics of first-time patenting firms," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(8).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:307:y:2024:i:c:s0360544224023120. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.