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The use of growth curves in energy studies

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  • Ang, B.W.
  • Ng, T.T.

Abstract

This paper consists of three inter-related parts. The first is a survey study on the application of growth curves to energy studies. A description on each of the four identified application areas, namely, energy resource analysis, energy demand modeling, fuel substitution, and energy technology development, is presented. The second part deals with the functional forms and mathematical properties of several commonly used growth-curve models. The extension to the basic functional forms to incorporate explicative variables and its relevance to energy studies are discussed. The last part is a case study on the modeling of the diffusion of energy-consuming durables using several growth-curve models. The forecasting performance of these models is compared and discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Ang, B.W. & Ng, T.T., 1992. "The use of growth curves in energy studies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 25-36.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:17:y:1992:i:1:p:25-36
    DOI: 10.1016/0360-5442(92)90030-4
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    Cited by:

    1. Jebaraj, S. & Iniyan, S., 2006. "A review of energy models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 10(4), pages 281-311, August.
    2. Purohit, Pallav & Michaelowa, Axel, 2008. "CDM potential of SPV pumps in India," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 181-199, January.
    3. Davidsson, Simon & Grandell, Leena & Wachtmeister, Henrik & Höök, Mikael, 2014. "Growth curves and sustained commissioning modelling of renewable energy: Investigating resource constraints for wind energy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 767-776.
    4. Chaurey, A. & Kandpal, T.C., 2009. "Carbon abatement potential of solar home systems in India and their cost reduction due to carbon finance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 115-125, January.
    5. Pina, André & Silva, Carlos & Ferrão, Paulo, 2011. "Modeling hourly electricity dynamics for policy making in long-term scenarios," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 4692-4702, September.
    6. Purohit, Pallav & Michaelowa, Axel, 2007. "CDM potential of wind power projects in India," HWWI Research Papers 1-8, Hamburg Institute of International Economics (HWWI).
    7. Celik, A.N., 2003. "A simplified model for estimating the monthly performance of autonomous wind energy systems with battery storage," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 561-572.
    8. Ang, B. W., 2004. "Growth curves for long-term global CO2 emission reduction analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(14), pages 1569-1572, September.
    9. Purohit, Pallav & Michaelowa, Axel, 2007. "CDM potential of bagasse cogeneration in India," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(10), pages 4779-4798, October.
    10. Purohit, Pallav & Kandpal, Tara C., 2005. "Renewable energy technologies for irrigation water pumping in India: projected levels of dissemination, energy delivery and investment requirements using available diffusion models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 9(6), pages 592-607, December.
    11. Pallav Purohit & Axel Michaelowa, 2008. "CDM potential of SPV lighting systems in India," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 23-46, January.
    12. Dale, M. & Krumdieck, S. & Bodger, P., 2012. "Global energy modelling — A biophysical approach (GEMBA) Part 2: Methodology," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 158-167.
    13. Zhou, P. & Ang, B.W. & Poh, K.L., 2006. "A trigonometric grey prediction approach to forecasting electricity demand," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 31(14), pages 2839-2847.

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