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Potential and sensitivity analysis of long-term hydrogen production in resolving surplus RES generation—a case study in Japan

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  • Li, Yanxue
  • Gao, Weijun
  • Ruan, Yingjun

Abstract

Hydrogen production as a flexible energy carrier is expected to play a promising role in supporting recover curtailed grid-tied renewable energy. The aims of this research focus on the potential quantification and sensitivity assessment of power to hydrogen, based on the history of electricity load and generation in Kyushu. First, a simulation model was developed considering detailed technical constraints. Results indicated that increasing grid-tied renewable production raised the increasing flexibility requirement and LACE of mixed renewable energy, curtailment presented variations across months, and the optimal combination of solar and wind generation could decrease curtailment. Then the technical-economic performance of renewable energy to hydrogen production was estimated under different scenarios and assumptions. The capacity and full-load operating period were quantified based on the sorted surplus renewable descending curves. Potential and investment scenarios of the proposed P2G approach highly depended on the structure of the combined solar and wind resources, converting efficiency and H2 price. Gross renewable production was fixed to an annual grid load ratio of 40%. Implementation of optimal large-scale electrolyzer raises the effective utilisation ratio of renewable production from 59.1% to 74.3%. 57.5% of the surplus renewable generation was converted into hydrogen to decarbonize the social energy supply system.

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  • Li, Yanxue & Gao, Weijun & Ruan, Yingjun, 2019. "Potential and sensitivity analysis of long-term hydrogen production in resolving surplus RES generation—a case study in Japan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C), pages 1164-1172.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:171:y:2019:i:c:p:1164-1172
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2019.01.106
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    6. Chaube, Anshuman & Chapman, Andrew & Minami, Akari & Stubbins, James & Huff, Kathryn D., 2021. "The role of current and emerging technologies in meeting Japan’s mid- to long-term carbon reduction goals," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    7. Burandt, Thorsten, 2021. "Analyzing the necessity of hydrogen imports for net-zero emission scenarios in Japan," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    8. Anshuman Chaube & Andrew Chapman & Yosuke Shigetomi & Kathryn Huff & James Stubbins, 2020. "The Role of Hydrogen in Achieving Long Term Japanese Energy System Goals," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-17, September.
    9. Fanyue Qian & Weijun Gao & Dan Yu & Yongwen Yang & Yingjun Ruan, 2022. "An Analysis of the Potential of Hydrogen Energy Technology on Demand Side Based on a Carbon Tax: A Case Study in Japan," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-23, December.

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