IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v51y2012icp683-695.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The improvement of CO2 emission reduction policies based on system dynamics method in traditional industrial region with large CO2 emission

Author

Listed:
  • Li, Fujia
  • Dong, Suocheng
  • Li, Zehong
  • Li, Yu
  • Li, Shantong
  • Wan, Yongkun

Abstract

Some traditional industrial regions are characterized by high industrial proportion and large CO2 emission. They are facing dual pressures of maintaining economic growth and largely reducing CO2 emission. From the perspective of study of typological region, taking the typical traditional industrial region—Liaoning Province of China as a case, this study establishes a system dynamics model named EECP and dynamically simulates CO2 emission trends under different conditions. Simulation results indicate, compared to the condition without CO2 emission reduction policies, CO2 emission intensity under the condition of implementing CO2 emission reduction policies of “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” is decreased by 11% from 2009 to 2030, but the economic cost is high, making the policies implementation faces resistance. Then some improved policies are offered and proved by EECP model that they can reduce CO2 emission intensity after 2021 and decrease the negative influence to GDP, realizing the improvement objects of reducing CO2 emission and simultaneously keeping a higher economy growth speed. The improved policies can provide reference for making and improving CO2 emission reduction policies in other traditional industrial regions with large CO2 emission. Simultaneously, EECP model can provide decision-makers with reference and help for similar study of energy policy.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Fujia & Dong, Suocheng & Li, Zehong & Li, Yu & Li, Shantong & Wan, Yongkun, 2012. "The improvement of CO2 emission reduction policies based on system dynamics method in traditional industrial region with large CO2 emission," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 683-695.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:51:y:2012:i:c:p:683-695
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.09.014
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421512007720
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.enpol.2012.09.014?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Z.M. & Chen, G.Q., 2011. "Embodied carbon dioxide emission at supra-national scale: A coalition analysis for G7, BRIC, and the rest of the world," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 2899-2909, May.
    2. Park, Sangwon & Lee, Seungmoon & Jeong, Suk Jae & Song, Ho-Jun & Park, Jin-Won, 2010. "Assessment of CO2 emissions and its reduction potential in the Korean petroleum refining industry using energy-environment models," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 2419-2429.
    3. Pathapati, P.R. & Xue, X. & Tang, J., 2005. "A new dynamic model for predicting transient phenomena in a PEM fuel cell system," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 1-22.
    4. Choi, Jun-Ki & Bakshi, Bhavik R. & Haab, Timothy, 2010. "Effects of a carbon price in the U.S. on economic sectors, resource use, and emissions: An input-output approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3527-3536, July.
    5. Peters, Michael & Fudge, Shane & Sinclair, Philip, 2010. "Mobilising community action towards a low-carbon future: Opportunities and challenges for local government in the UK," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(12), pages 7596-7603, December.
    6. Kiani, Behdad & Ali Pourfakhraei, Mohammad, 2010. "A system dynamic model for production and consumption policy in Iran oil and gas sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(12), pages 7764-7774, December.
    7. Ross Morrow, W. & Gallagher, Kelly Sims & Collantes, Gustavo & Lee, Henry, 2010. "Analysis of policies to reduce oil consumption and greenhouse-gas emissions from the US transportation sector," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 1305-1320, March.
    8. Lozano, Sebastián & Gutiérrez, Ester, 2008. "Non-parametric frontier approach to modelling the relationships among population, GDP, energy consumption and CO2 emissions," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(4), pages 687-699, July.
    9. Aghdam, Reza Fathollahzadeh, 2011. "Dynamics of productivity change in the Australian electricity industry: Assessing the impacts of electricity reform," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 3281-3295, June.
    10. Ghosh, Sajal, 2010. "Examining carbon emissions economic growth nexus for India: A multivariate cointegration approach," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(6), pages 3008-3014, June.
    11. Sheinbaum, Claudia & Ruíz, Belizza J. & Ozawa, Leticia, 2011. "Energy consumption and related CO2 emissions in five Latin American countries: Changes from 1990 to 2006 and perspectives," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 3629-3638.
    12. Zhao, Min & Tan, Lirong & Zhang, Weiguo & Ji, Minhe & Liu, Yuan & Yu, Lizhong, 2010. "Decomposing the influencing factors of industrial carbon emissions in Shanghai using the LMDI method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 2505-2510.
    13. Ruth, Matthias & Blohm, Andrew & Mauer, Joanna & Gabriel, Steven A. & Kesana, Vijay G. & Chen, Yihsu & Hobbs, Benjamin F. & Irani, Daraius, 2010. "Strategies for carbon dioxide emissions reductions: Residential natural gas efficiency, economic, and ancillary health impacts in Maryland," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(11), pages 6926-6935, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xiaopeng Guo & Xiaodan Guo & Jiahai Yuan, 2014. "Impact Analysis of Air Pollutant Emission Policies on Thermal Coal Supply Chain Enterprises in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-21, December.
    2. Xiaoyu Liu & Xian’en Wang & Junnian Song & Haiyan Duan & Shuo Wang, 2019. "Why Are the Carbon Footprints of China’s Urban Households Rising? An Input–Output Analysis and Structural Decomposition Analysis," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-18, December.
    3. Ke Liu & Xinyue Xie & Mingxue Zhao & Qian Zhou, 2022. "Carbon Emissions in the Yellow River Basin: Analysis of Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors Based on a Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) Decomposition Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-18, August.
    4. Fang Guo & Tao Zhao & Yanan Wang & Yue Wang, 2016. "Estimating the abatement potential of provincial carbon intensity based on the environmental learning curve model in China," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(1), pages 685-705, October.
    5. Guo, Xiaopeng & Guo, Xiaodan, 2016. "Nuclear power development in China after the restart of new nuclear construction and approval: A system dynamics analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 999-1007.
    6. Tan, Xianchun & Dong, Lele & Chen, Dexue & Gu, Baihe & Zeng, Yuan, 2016. "China’s regional CO2 emissions reduction potential: A study of Chongqing city," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 1345-1354.
    7. Xiaodan Guo & Dongxiao Niu & Bowen Xiao, 2016. "Assessment of Air-Pollution Control Policy’s Impact on China’s PV Power: A System Dynamics Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(5), pages 1-23, May.
    8. Chen, Fanglin & Zhang, Xin & Chen, Zhongfei, 2023. "Air pollution and mental health: Evidence from China Health and Nutrition Survey," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    9. Jiayang Xu & Jian Cao & Yunfei Wang & Xiangrong Shi & Jiayun Zeng, 2020. "Evolutionary Game on Government Regulation and Green Supply Chain Decision-Making," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-25, February.
    10. Horschig, Thomas & Adams, P.W.R. & Gawel, Erik & Thrän, Daniela, 2018. "How to decarbonize the natural gas sector: A dynamic simulation approach for the market development estimation of renewable gas in Germany," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 555-572.
    11. Xingpeng Chen & Guokui Wang & Xiaojia Guo & Jinxiu Fu, 2016. "An Analysis Based on SD Model for Energy-Related CO 2 Mitigation in the Chinese Household Sector," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(12), pages 1-18, December.
    12. Yong Jiang & Yalin Lei & Li Li & Jianping Ge, 2016. "Mechanism of Fiscal and Taxation Policies in the Geothermal Industry in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-20, September.
    13. Guo, Xiaodan & Guo, Xiaopeng, 2015. "China's photovoltaic power development under policy incentives: A system dynamics analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 93(P1), pages 589-598.
    14. Li, Yu & Zheng, Ji & Li, Zehong & Yuan, Liang & Yang, Yang & Li, Fujia, 2017. "Re-estimating CO2 emission factors for gasoline passenger cars adding driving behaviour characteristics——A case study of Beijing," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 353-361.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hocaoglu, Fatih Onur & Karanfil, Fatih, 2011. "Examining the link between carbon dioxide emissions and the share of industry in GDP: Modeling and testing for the G-7 countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(6), pages 3612-3620, June.
    2. Arash Refah-Kahriz & Hassan Heidari & Mahdiyeh Rahimdel, 2023. "Is there a similar Granger causality among CO2 emissions, energy consumption and economic growth in different regimes in Iran?," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(4), pages 3801-3822, April.
    3. Inglesi-Lotz, R. & Pouris, A., 2012. "Energy efficiency in South Africa: A decomposition exercise," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 113-120.
    4. Vaninsky, Alexander, 2014. "Factorial decomposition of CO2 emissions: A generalized Divisia index approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 389-400.
    5. Ju, Yiyi & Fujikawa, Kiyoshi, 2019. "Modeling the cost transmission mechanism of the emission trading scheme in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 172-182.
    6. Inglesi-Lotz, Roula, 2018. "Decomposing the South African CO2 emissions within a BRICS countries context: Signalling potential energy rebound effects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 648-654.
    7. Moutinho, Victor & Madaleno, Mara & Inglesi-Lotz, Roula & Dogan, Eyup, 2018. "Factors affecting CO2 emissions in top countries on renewable energies: A LMDI decomposition application," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 605-622.
    8. Xu, X.Y. & Ang, B.W., 2013. "Index decomposition analysis applied to CO2 emission studies," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 313-329.
    9. Zhang, Jinyun & Zhang, Yan & Yang, Zhifeng & Fath, Brian D. & Li, Shengsheng, 2013. "Estimation of energy-related carbon emissions in Beijing and factor decomposition analysis," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 258-265.
    10. Dehghan, Hamed & Amin-Naseri, Mohammad Reza & Nahavandi, Nasim, 2021. "A system dynamics model to analyze future electricity supply and demand in Iran under alternative pricing policies," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    11. Ren, Siyu & Hao, Yu & Xu, Lu & Wu, Haitao & Ba, Ning, 2021. "Digitalization and energy: How does internet development affect China's energy consumption?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    12. Honma, Satoshi, 2012. "Environmental and economic efficiencies in the Asia-Pacific region," MPRA Paper 43361, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Sinha, Avik & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2018. "Estimation of Environmental Kuznets Curve for CO2 emission: Role of renewable energy generation in India," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 703-711.
    14. Bhardwaj, Chandan & Axsen, Jonn & Kern, Florian & McCollum, David, 2020. "Why have multiple climate policies for light-duty vehicles? Policy mix rationales, interactions and research gaps," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 309-326.
    15. C. Seri & A. de Juan Fernandez, 2021. "The relationship between economic growth and environment. Testing the EKC hypothesis for Latin American countries," Papers 2105.11405, arXiv.org.
    16. Shuxia Yang & Yu Ji & Di Zhang & Jing Fu, 2019. "Equilibrium between Road Traffic Congestion and Low-Carbon Economy: A Case Study from Beijing, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, January.
    17. Muhammad Uzair Ali & Zhimin Gong & Muhammad Ubaid Ali & Fahad Asmi & Rizwanullah Muhammad, 2022. "CO2 emission, economic development, fossil fuel consumption and population density in India, Pakistan and Bangladesh: A panel investigation," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 18-31, January.
    18. Kanjilal, Kakali & Ghosh, Sajal, 2013. "Environmental Kuznet’s curve for India: Evidence from tests for cointegration with unknown structuralbreaks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 509-515.
    19. Kingsley Appiah & Jianguo Du & Michael Yeboah & Rhoda Appiah, 2019. "Causal relationship between Industrialization, Energy Intensity, Economic Growth and Carbon dioxide emissions: recent evidence from Uganda," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(2), pages 237-245.
    20. Hwang, Jenn-Jiang, 2013. "Thermal control and performance assessment of a proton exchanger membrane fuel cell generator," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 184-193.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:51:y:2012:i:c:p:683-695. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.