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Modeling Turkey’s future LNG supply security strategy

Author

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  • Efe Biresselioglu, Mehmet
  • Hakan Demir, Muhittin
  • Kandemir, Cansu

Abstract

Turkey was among those countries which decided to increase its natural gas consumption in the 1990s, due to its relative low cost and lack of impact on the environment. However, a heavy dependence on imports, from Algeria, Qatar and Nigeria, respectively, creates a threat to energy security, both in terms of source and supply diversity. Accordingly, we follow an analytical approach to identify the accuracy of our assumption, considering the current economic, political and security risk. To this end, we formulate and solve a mixed integer programming model that determines the optimal sourcing strategy for Turkey’s increasing LNG demand. This model demonstrates a number of alternative policy options for LNG supply. Furthermore, we consider that increasing the proportion of LNG in the overall gas supply will contribute to the aim of improving Turkey’s level of energy security.

Suggested Citation

  • Efe Biresselioglu, Mehmet & Hakan Demir, Muhittin & Kandemir, Cansu, 2012. "Modeling Turkey’s future LNG supply security strategy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 144-152.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:46:y:2012:i:c:p:144-152
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2012.03.045
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    Cited by:

    1. Mehmet Efe Biresselioglu & Muhittin Hakan Demir & Berfu Solak & Sebnem Altinci & Sitki Egeli, 2022. "Assessing Türkiye’s Prospective Involvement in the Arctic Region: A Qualitative Inquiry from Energy and Environmental Perspectives," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-19, October.
    2. Ah-Voun, David & Chyong, Chi Kong & Li, Carmen, 2024. "Europe's energy security: From Russian dependence to renewable reliance," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    3. Li, Jiaman & Dong, Xiucheng & Jiang, Qingzhe & Dong, Kangyin & Liu, Guixian, 2021. "Natural gas trade network of countries and regions along the belt and road: Where to go in the future?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    4. Juhan Kim & Jinsoo Kim, 2018. "Optimal Portfolio for LNG Importation in Korea Using a Two-Step Portfolio Model and a Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-18, November.
    5. Ozcan, Mustafa, 2018. "The role of renewables in increasing Turkey's self-sufficiency in electrical energy," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 2629-2639.
    6. Long Zhang & Wuliyasu Bai, 2020. "Risk Assessment of China’s Natural Gas Importation: A Supply Chain Perspective," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(3), pages 21582440209, July.
    7. Feng, Sida & Li, Huajiao & Qi, Yabin & Guan, Qing & Wen, Shaobo, 2017. "Who will build new trade relations? Finding potential relations in international liquefied natural gas trade," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 1226-1238.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Turkey; LNG; Energy security;
    All these keywords.

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