IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v191y2024ics0301421524002167.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Reevaluating energy progress: An in-depth policy framework of energy, urbanization, and economic development

Author

Listed:
  • Tian, Jiarui
  • Abbasi, Kashif Raza
  • Radulescu, Magdalena
  • Jaradat, Mohammad
  • Barbulescu, Marinela

Abstract

Pakistan has challenging energy-related economic concerns, including accessibility, affordability, and sustainability, all of which significantly impact the country's economic development and growth prospects. This study seeks to uncover the intricate link between energy use, power costs, urbanization, alternative energy consumption, and economic development from 1970 to 2018. Utilizing the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) approach, Frequency Domain Causality (FDC), and Innovative Accounting Approach (IAA), the research finds that energy use and urbanization positively impact economic development in the short and long term. Conversely, alternative energy consumption declines in the short run, while rising power costs negatively affect long-term economic development. FDC results indicate that rising power costs affect economic development in the short, medium, and long run, while urbanization has a long and short-term and energy use has a long- and medium-run impact on economic development in Pakistan. IAA aligns with ARDL and FDC hypotheses. This underscores the vital role of energy use and costs in economic activity, emphasizing the need for prudent urbanization and strategic alternative energy integration in long-term policy for Pakistan.

Suggested Citation

  • Tian, Jiarui & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Radulescu, Magdalena & Jaradat, Mohammad & Barbulescu, Marinela, 2024. "Reevaluating energy progress: An in-depth policy framework of energy, urbanization, and economic development," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:191:y:2024:i:c:s0301421524002167
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114196
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421524002167
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.enpol.2024.114196?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. da Silva, Felipe L.C. & Cyrino Oliveira, Fernando L. & Souza, Reinaldo C., 2019. "A bottom-up bayesian extension for long term electricity consumption forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 198-210.
    2. Danish, & Wang, Bo & Wang, Zhaohua, 2018. "Imported technology and CO2 emission in China: Collecting evidence through bound testing and VECM approach," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 82(P3), pages 4204-4214.
    3. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2014. "The nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth in Bahrain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 227-237.
    4. Muhammad Afzal & Sheikh Shoaib Ahmed & Mustansar Nawaz, 2018. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Urbanization in Pakistan," Growth, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 5(1), pages 6-12.
    5. Mubashir Qasim & Koji Kotani, 2014. "An empirical analysis of energy shortage in Pakistan," Asia-Pacific Development Journal, United Nations Economic and Social Commission for Asia and the Pacific (ESCAP), vol. 21(1), pages 137-166, June.
    6. Al-Mulali, Usama & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2016. "The investigation of environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis in the advanced economies: The role of energy prices," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 1622-1631.
    7. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Lean, Hooi Hooi, 2012. "The dynamics of electricity consumption and economic growth: A revisit study of their causality in Pakistan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 146-153.
    8. Mansor H. Ibrahim, 2005. "Sectoral Effects of Monetary Policy: Evidence from Malaysia," Asian Economic Journal, East Asian Economic Association, vol. 19(1), pages 83-102, March.
    9. Zheng, Li & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Salem, Sultan & Irfan, Muhammad & Alvarado, Rafael & Lv, Kangjuan, 2022. "How technological innovation and institutional quality affect sectoral energy consumption in Pakistan? Fresh policy insights from novel econometric approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    10. M. Hashem Pesaran & Yongcheol Shin & Richard J. Smith, 2001. "Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 16(3), pages 289-326.
    11. Burke, Paul J. & Stern, David I. & Bruns, Stephan B., 2018. "The Impact of Electricity on Economic Development: A Macroeconomic Perspective," International Review of Environmental and Resource Economics, now publishers, vol. 12(1), pages 85-127, November.
    12. Soytas, Ugur & Sari, Ramazan, 2003. "Energy consumption and GDP: causality relationship in G-7 countries and emerging markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 33-37, January.
    13. Awan, Ashar & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Rej, Soumen & Bandyopadhyay, Arunava & Lv, Kangjuan, 2022. "The impact of renewable energy, internet use and foreign direct investment on carbon dioxide emissions: A method of moments quantile analysis," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 454-466.
    14. Zahid Ashraf & Attiya Yasmin Javid & Muhammad Javid, 2013. "Electricity consumption and economic growth: evidence from Pakistan," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 2(1), pages 21-32.
    15. Muhammad Afzal & Sheikh Shoaib Ahmed & Mustansar Nawaz, 2018. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Urbanization in Pakistan," Growth, Asian Online Journal Publishing Group, vol. 5(1), pages 6-12.
    16. Wei, Hua & Rizvi, Syed Kumail Abbas & Ahmad, Ferhana & Zhang, Yuchen, 2020. "Resource cursed or resource blessed? The role of investment and energy prices in G7 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    17. Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Abbas, Jaffar & Tufail, Muhammad, 2021. "Revisiting electricity consumption, price, and real GDP: A modified sectoral level analysis from Pakistan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    18. Lin, Boqiang & Raza, Muhammad Yousaf, 2021. "Analysis of electricity consumption in Pakistan using index decomposition and decoupling approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    19. Harvey, David I. & Leybourne, Stephen J. & Taylor, A.M. Robert, 2013. "Testing for unit roots in the possible presence of multiple trend breaks using minimum Dickey–Fuller statistics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(2), pages 265-284.
    20. Abdullah Albaker & Kashif Raza Abbasi & Akram Masoud Haddad & Magdalena Radulescu & Catalin Manescu & Georgiana Tatiana Bondac, 2023. "Analyzing the Impact of Renewable Energy and Green Innovation on Carbon Emissions in the MENA Region," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-19, August.
    21. Breitung, Jorg & Candelon, Bertrand, 2006. "Testing for short- and long-run causality: A frequency-domain approach," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 132(2), pages 363-378, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Adedoyin, Festus Fatai & Abbas, Jaffar & Hussain, Khadim, 2021. "The impact of energy depletion and renewable energy on CO2 emissions in Thailand: Fresh evidence from the novel dynamic ARDL simulation," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 1439-1450.
    2. Zhang, Jinjun & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Hussain, Khadim & Akram, Sabahat & Alvarado, Rafael & Almulhim, Abdulaziz I., 2022. "Another perspective towards energy consumption factors in Pakistan: Fresh policy insights from novel methodological framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C).
    3. Hamdi, Helmi & Sbia, Rashid & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2014. "The nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth in Bahrain," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 227-237.
    4. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Salah Uddin, Gazi & Ur Rehman, Ijaz & Imran, Kashif, 2014. "Industrialization, electricity consumption and CO2 emissions in Bangladesh," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 575-586.
    5. Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Zhang, Jinjun & Irfan, Muhammad & Alvarado, Rafael, 2022. "Analyze the environmental sustainability factors of China: The role of fossil fuel energy and renewable energy," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C), pages 390-402.
    6. Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Jiao, Zhilun & Tufail, Muhammad, 2021. "How energy consumption, industrial growth, urbanization, and CO2 emissions affect economic growth in Pakistan? A novel dynamic ARDL simulations approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    7. Wu, Cheng-Feng & Wang, Chien-Ming & Chang, Tsangyao & Yuan, Chien-Chung, 2019. "The nexus of electricity and economic growth in major economies: The United States-India-China triangle," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    8. Shahateet, Mohammed Issa & Al-Majali, Khalid Ali & Al-Hahabashneh, Fedel, 2014. "Causality and Cointegration between Economic Growth and Energy Consumption: Econometric Evidence from Jordan," MPRA Paper 59067, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2014.
    9. Hossain, Md. Emran & Islam, Md. Sayemul & Bandyopadhyay, Arunava & Awan, Ashar & Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Rej, Soumen, 2022. "Mexico at the crossroads of natural resource dependence and COP26 pledge: Does technological innovation help?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    10. Zhou, Runyu & Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Salem, Sultan & Almulhim, Abdulaziz.I. & Alvarado, Rafael, 2022. "Do natural resources, economic growth, human capital, and urbanization affect the ecological footprint? A modified dynamic ARDL and KRLS approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    11. Alsaedi, Yasir Hamad & Tularam, Gurudeo Anand, 2020. "The relationship between electricity consumption, peak load and GDP in Saudi Arabia: A VAR analysis," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 164-178.
    12. Hossain, Mohammad Razib & Rej, Soumen & Awan, Ashar & Bandyopadhyay, Arunava & Islam, Md Sayemul & Das, Narasingha & Hossain, Md Emran, 2023. "Natural resource dependency and environmental sustainability under N-shaped EKC: The curious case of India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    13. Abbasi, Kashif Raza & Hussain, Khadim & Redulescu, Magdalena & Ozturk, Ilhan, 2021. "Does natural resources depletion and economic growth achieve the carbon neutrality target of the UK? A way forward towards sustainable development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    14. Alkhathlan, Khalid & Javid, Muhammad, 2013. "Energy consumption, carbon emissions and economic growth in Saudi Arabia: An aggregate and disaggregate analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1525-1532.
    15. Hussain Ali Bekhet & Nor Salwati Othman & Tahira Yasmin, 2020. "Interaction Between Environmental Kuznet Curve and Urban Environment Transition Hypotheses in Malaysia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(1), pages 384-402.
    16. Ahmad, Ashfaq & Zhao, Yuhuan & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Bano, Sadia & Zhang, Zhonghua & Wang, Song & Liu, Ya, 2016. "Carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth: An aggregate and disaggregate analysis of the Indian economy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 131-143.
    17. Dogan, Eyup, 2015. "The relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption from renewable and non-renewable sources: A study of Turkey," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 534-546.
    18. Ugur Korkut Pata & Sukran Kahveci, 2018. "A multivariate causality analysis between electricity consumption and economic growth in Turkey," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 20(6), pages 2857-2870, December.
    19. Javed, Aamir & Rapposelli, Agnese & Khan, Feroz & Javed, Asif, 2023. "The impact of green technology innovation, environmental taxes, and renewable energy consumption on ecological footprint in Italy: Fresh evidence from novel dynamic ARDL simulations," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    20. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Kim, Byoungki & OH, Jeong-Soo, 2017. "A note on the electricity-growth nexus in Lao PDR," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 1251-1260.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:191:y:2024:i:c:s0301421524002167. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.