IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v172y2023ics0301421522005493.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Narrowing fossil fuel consumption in the Indian road transport sector towards reaching carbon neutrality

Author

Listed:
  • Hossain, M.S.
  • Fang, Yan Ru
  • Ma, Teng
  • Huang, Chen
  • Peng, Wei
  • Urpelainen, Johannes
  • Hebbale, Chetan
  • Dai, Hancheng

Abstract

Road transportation accounts for 56% of India's transportation sector's CO2 emissions. Reaching carbon neutrality before 2070 requires the deep decarbonization of this sector. This study assesses the potential of battery electric vehicles (BEV) and fuel-cell vehicles (FCV) as the least-cost pathway toward carbon neutrality. We estimate the future demand for passenger and freight services and evaluate the impact of EV policies using the Integrated Model of Energy, Environment, and Economy for Sustainable Development/Technology (IMED/TEC). The study covers road transport emissions, energy, and air pollution transitions under four scenarios, including reference, low, medium, and high penetration of BEV and FCV, which align with the decarbonization target agreed upon under India's national policy. Results show that the carbon neutrality target would be challenging with BEV alone in road passenger and freight transportation because it is less efficient. Combined penetration of BEV and FCV can reduce air pollutant emissions significantly. Operative implementation of FCV could diminish more than 96% of the total road transport CO2 emissions. The analytical framework also proposes local climate change policies towards a carbon neutrality strategy to escalate the share of BEV and FCV in the Indian road transport sector.

Suggested Citation

  • Hossain, M.S. & Fang, Yan Ru & Ma, Teng & Huang, Chen & Peng, Wei & Urpelainen, Johannes & Hebbale, Chetan & Dai, Hancheng, 2023. "Narrowing fossil fuel consumption in the Indian road transport sector towards reaching carbon neutrality," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:172:y:2023:i:c:s0301421522005493
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113330
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421522005493
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.enpol.2022.113330?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Saxena, Samveg & Gopal, Anand & Phadke, Amol, 2014. "Electrical consumption of two-, three- and four-wheel light-duty electric vehicles in India," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 582-590.
    2. Shrimali, Gireesh, 2021. "Getting to India's electric vehicle targets cost-effectively: To subsidize or not, and how?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    3. Fuad Un-Noor & Sanjeevikumar Padmanaban & Lucian Mihet-Popa & Mohammad Nurunnabi Mollah & Eklas Hossain, 2017. "A Comprehensive Study of Key Electric Vehicle (EV) Components, Technologies, Challenges, Impacts, and Future Direction of Development," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-84, August.
    4. Nimesh, Vikas & Sharma, Debojit & Reddy, V. Mahendra & Goswami, Arkopal Kishore, 2020. "Implication viability assessment of shift to electric vehicles for present power generation scenario of India," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    5. Ren, Ming & Lu, Pantao & Liu, Xiaorui & Hossain, M.S. & Fang, Yanru & Hanaoka, Tatsuya & O'Gallachoir, Brian & Glynn, James & Dai, Hancheng, 2021. "Decarbonizing China’s iron and steel industry from the supply and demand sides for carbon neutrality," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 298(C).
    6. Kapustin, Nikita O. & Grushevenko, Dmitry A., 2020. "Long-term electric vehicles outlook and their potential impact on electric grid," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    7. Liu, Zhiqing & Geng, Yong & Dai, Hancheng & Wilson, Jeffrey & Xie, Yang & Wu, Rui & You, Wei & Yu, Zhongjue, 2018. "Regional impacts of launching national carbon emissions trading market: A case study of Shanghai," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C), pages 232-240.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hossain, MD Shouquat & Fang, Yan Ru & Ma, Teng & Huang, Chen & Dai, Hancheng, 2023. "The role of electric vehicles in decarbonizing India's road passenger toward carbon neutrality and clean air: A state-level analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    2. Kim, Jaeyeob & Jin, Taeyoung & Lee, Tae Eui & Kim, Dowon, 2024. "Evaluation of decarbonization cost transfer: From transport to power sector in South Korea," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hossain, MD Shouquat & Fang, Yan Ru & Ma, Teng & Huang, Chen & Dai, Hancheng, 2023. "The role of electric vehicles in decarbonizing India's road passenger toward carbon neutrality and clean air: A state-level analysis," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).
    2. Ayetor, G.K. & Mbonigaba, Innocent & Sunnu, Albert K. & Nyantekyi-Kwakye, Baafour, 2021. "Impact of replacing ICE bus fleet with electric bus fleet in Africa: A lifetime assessment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    3. Abd Alla, Sara & Bianco, Vincenzo & Tagliafico, Luca A. & Scarpa, Federico, 2021. "Pathways to electric mobility integration in the Italian automotive sector," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    4. Phillip K. Agbesi & Rico Ruffino & Marko Hakovirta, 2023. "The development of sustainable electric vehicle business ecosystems," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(8), pages 1-59, August.
    5. Haoran Zhang & Rongxia Zhang & Guomin Li & Wei Li & Yongrok Choi, 2020. "Has China’s Emission Trading System Achieved the Development of a Low-Carbon Economy in High-Emission Industrial Subsectors?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(13), pages 1-20, July.
    6. Khairy Sayed & Abdulaziz Almutairi & Naif Albagami & Omar Alrumayh & Ahmed G. Abo-Khalil & Hedra Saleeb, 2022. "A Review of DC-AC Converters for Electric Vehicle Applications," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-32, February.
    7. Noor Ullah Khan & Munam Ali Shah & Carsten Maple & Ejaz Ahmed & Nabeel Asghar, 2022. "Traffic Flow Prediction: An Intelligent Scheme for Forecasting Traffic Flow Using Air Pollution Data in Smart Cities with Bagging Ensemble," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-23, March.
    8. Yang, Honghua & Ma, Linwei & Li, Zheng, 2023. "Tracing China's steel use from steel flows in the production system to steel footprints in the consumption system," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    9. Wang, Zhuowei & Yu, Jiangbo (Gabe) & Chen, Anthony & Fu, Xiaowen, 2024. "Subsidy policies towards zero-emission bus fleets: A systematic technical-economic analysis," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 1-13.
    10. Ahmadian, Amirhossein & Ghodrati, Vahid & Gadh, Rajit, 2023. "Artificial deep neural network enables one-size-fits-all electric vehicle user behavior prediction framework," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    11. Lefeng, Shi & Shengnan, Lv & Chunxiu, Liu & Yue, Zhou & Cipcigan, Liana & Acker, Thomas L., 2020. "A framework for electric vehicle power supply chain development," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    12. Danijel Pavković & Mihael Cipek & Zdenko Kljaić & Tomislav Josip Mlinarić & Mario Hrgetić & Davor Zorc, 2018. "Damping Optimum-Based Design of Control Strategy Suitable for Battery/Ultracapacitor Electric Vehicles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-26, October.
    13. Jerzy Ryszard Szymanski & Marta Zurek-Mortka & Daniel Wojciechowski & Nikolai Poliakov, 2020. "Unidirectional DC/DC Converter with Voltage Inverter for Fast Charging of Electric Vehicle Batteries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(18), pages 1-17, September.
    14. Li, Yanbin & Wang, Jiani & Wang, Weiye & Liu, Chang & Li, Yun, 2023. "Dynamic pricing based electric vehicle charging station location strategy using reinforcement learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    15. Saxena, Samveg & MacDonald, Jason & Moura, Scott, 2015. "Charging ahead on the transition to electric vehicles with standard 120V wall outlets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 720-728.
    16. Li, Zheng-Zheng & Li, Yameng & Huang, Chia-Yun & Peculea, Adelina Dumitrescu, 2023. "Volatility spillover across Chinese carbon markets: Evidence from quantile connectedness method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
    17. Ioannis Skouros & Athanasios Karlis, 2020. "A Study on the V2G Technology Incorporation in a DC Nanogrid and on the Provision of Voltage Regulation to the Power Grid," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-23, May.
    18. Heba-Allah I. ElAzab & R. A. Swief & Hanady H. Issa & Noha H. El-Amary & Alsnosy Balbaa & H. K. Temraz, 2018. "FPGA Eco Unit Commitment Based Gravitational Search Algorithm Integrating Plug-in Electric Vehicles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-17, September.
    19. Cotterman, Turner & Fuchs, Erica R.H. & Whitefoot, Kate S. & Combemale, Christophe, 2024. "The transition to electrified vehicles: Evaluating the labor demand of manufacturing conventional versus battery electric vehicle powertrains," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).
    20. Tobias Mueller & Steven Gronau, 2023. "Fostering Macroeconomic Research on Hydrogen-Powered Aviation: A Systematic Literature Review on General Equilibrium Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-33, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:172:y:2023:i:c:s0301421522005493. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.