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Expert assessments of strategies to enhance global nuclear security

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  • Lovering, Jessica R.
  • Abdulla, Ahmed
  • Morgan, Granger

Abstract

Historically, the U.S. has sought to use commercial trade in nuclear technologies to influence international nuclear security standards and promote nonproliferation. Concern has grown that, with a stagnating domestic nuclear industry and declining export industry, the U.S. will lose a significant tool of foreign policy and leverage in maintaining strong international standards. While the issue has been discussed extensively in the policy community and used as a powerful rhetorical tool to motivate tangentially related policies such as subsidizing existing U.S. nuclear plants, no one has systematically assessed the issue, structured the problem and proposed and evaluated potential solutions. Here we briefly analyze the current international state of play, and then outline a set of specific strategies the U.S. might adopt on its own, or promote internationally, to retain its influence. Building on the literature, nuclear security and nuclear power experts assisted us in framing the issues and then, in a participatory workshop, helped us to assess and refine possible strategies. While not all experts agreed that U.S. influence has already declined, most indicated that it likely would decline in the future if present domestic and international trends continue. Although none of the proposed strategies that we advanced or that the experts suggested are likely to be effective in the short term, several warrant ongoing refinements and, if they can be implemented, might have beneficial impacts in coming decades.

Suggested Citation

  • Lovering, Jessica R. & Abdulla, Ahmed & Morgan, Granger, 2020. "Expert assessments of strategies to enhance global nuclear security," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:139:y:2020:i:c:s0301421520300653
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2020.111306
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ashok Kapur, 1983. "Nuclear Energy, Nuclear Proliferation and National Security: Views from the South," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Robert Boardman & James F. Keeley (ed.), Nuclear Exports and World Politics, chapter 8, pages 163-193, Palgrave Macmillan.
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    4. Robert Boardman & James F. Keeley, 1983. "Nuclear Export Policies and the Non-proliferation Regime," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Robert Boardman & James F. Keeley (ed.), Nuclear Exports and World Politics, chapter 1, pages 3-14, Palgrave Macmillan.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kim, Philseo & Kim, Jihee & Yim, Man-Sung, 2022. "Assessing proliferation uncertainty in civilian nuclear cooperation under new power dynamics of the international nuclear trade," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    2. Gangyang, Zheng & Xianke, Peng & Xiaozhen, Li & Yexi, Kang & Xiangeng, Zhao, 2021. "Research on the standardization strategy of China's nuclear industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).

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