IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/enepol/v120y2018icp24-37.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Can India grow and live within a 1.5 degree CO2 emissions budget?

Author

Listed:
  • Parikh, Kirit S.
  • Parikh, Jyoti K.
  • Ghosh, Probal P.

Abstract

The world of 1.5 degree C requires a global compact and action. Assuming that a fair allocation of global emissions space is made, the question arises can India live within that space? What kind of technological innovations are needed to make it possible? What would be the consequences of such a path for human welfare in India? The model has 25 goods and services and 38 alternative production activities reflecting different technologies to produce these goods or services. The model provides for social welfare measures by the government. The paper explores the consequences of different technological futures and policy regimes using a multi-sectoral inter temporal dynamic optimizing model with endogenous demand. With endogenous income distribution and 20 different consumer classes effects of heterogeneity are accounted. Reductions in costs of renewable power and batteries are stipulated based on projections by various researchers. Also targets for energy efficiency are based on past experience. The scenarios show the importance of technical progress for India can meet its human development goals within a fair emission limit.

Suggested Citation

  • Parikh, Kirit S. & Parikh, Jyoti K. & Ghosh, Probal P., 2018. "Can India grow and live within a 1.5 degree CO2 emissions budget?," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 24-37.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:120:y:2018:i:c:p:24-37
    DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2018.05.014
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0301421518303057
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.enpol.2018.05.014?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Chen, Huayi & Ma, Tieju, 2017. "Optimizing systematic technology adoption with heterogeneous agents," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 257(1), pages 287-296.
    2. Parikh, Kirit S. & Parikh, Jyoti K., 2016. "Realizing potential savings of energy and emissions from efficient household appliances in India," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 102-111.
    3. Parikh, Kirit S. & Ghosh, Probal & D'Souza, Alwin & Binswanger-Mkhize, Hans P., 2016. "Consumer Demand System for Long Term Projections," Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, Indian Society of Agricultural Economics, vol. 71(2), June.
    4. O. Schmidt & A. Hawkes & A. Gambhir & I. Staffell, 2017. "The future cost of electrical energy storage based on experience rates," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 2(8), pages 1-8, August.
    5. Kesicki, Fabian & Anandarajah, Gabrial, 2011. "The role of energy-service demand reduction in global climate change mitigation: Combining energy modelling and decomposition analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(11), pages 7224-7233.
    6. Sabine Fuss & Josep G. Canadell & Glen P. Peters & Massimo Tavoni & Robbie M. Andrew & Philippe Ciais & Robert B. Jackson & Chris D. Jones & Florian Kraxner & Nebosja Nakicenovic & Corinne Le Quéré & , 2014. "Betting on negative emissions," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(10), pages 850-853, October.
    7. Gurushri Swamy & Hans P. Binswanger, 1983. "Flexible Consumer Demand Systems and Linear Estimation: Food in India," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 65(4), pages 675-684.
    8. Urban, F. & Benders, R.M.J. & Moll, H.C., 2007. "Modelling energy systems for developing countries," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(6), pages 3473-3482, June.
    9. Fisher-Vanden, K. A. & Shukla, P. R. & Edmonds, J. A. & Kim, S. H. & Pitcher, H. M., 1997. "Carbon taxes and India," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 289-325, July.
    10. Nag, Barnali & Parikh, Jyoti K., 2005. "Carbon emission coefficient of power consumption in India: baseline determination from the demand side," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 33(6), pages 777-786, April.
    11. Mundaca, Luis & Román, Rocio & Cansino, José M., 2015. "Towards a Green Energy Economy? A macroeconomic-climate evaluation of Sweden’s CO2 emissions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 148(C), pages 196-209.
    12. Parikh, Kirit S. & Karandikar, Vivek & Rana, Ashish & Dani, Prasanna, 2009. "Projecting India's energy requirements for policy formulation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 34(8), pages 928-941.
    13. Noah Kittner & Felix Lill & Daniel M. Kammen, 2017. "Energy storage deployment and innovation for the clean energy transition," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 2(9), pages 1-6, September.
    14. Mishra, Gouri Shankar & Zakerinia, Saleh & Yeh, Sonia & Teter, Jacob & Morrison, Geoff, 2014. "Mitigating climate change: Decomposing the relative roles of energy conservation, technological change, and structural shift," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 448-455.
    15. Rubin, Edward S. & Azevedo, Inês M.L. & Jaramillo, Paulina & Yeh, Sonia, 2015. "A review of learning rates for electricity supply technologies," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 198-218.
    16. Shunichi Hienuki & Yuki Kudoh & Hiroki Hondo, 2015. "Establishing a Framework for Evaluating Environmental and Socio-Economic Impacts by Power Generation Technology Using an Input–output Table—A Case Study of Japanese Future Electricity Grid Mix," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(12), pages 1-18, November.
    17. Zhi-Fu Mi & Yi-Ming Wei & Bing Wang & Jing Meng & Zhu Liu & Yuli Shan & Jingru Liu & Dabo Guan, 2017. "Socioeconomic impact assessment of China's CO2 emissions peak prior to 2030," CEEP-BIT Working Papers 103, Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research (CEEP), Beijing Institute of Technology.
    18. Hartwig, Johannes & Kockat, Judit & Schade, Wolfgang & Braungardt, Sibylle, 2017. "The macroeconomic effects of ambitious energy efficiency policy in Germany – Combining bottom-up energy modelling with a non-equilibrium macroeconomic model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 510-520.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Laha, Priyanka & Chakraborty, Basab & Østergaard, Poul Alberg, 2020. "Electricity system scenario development of India with import independence in 2030," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 627-639.
    2. Parikh, Kirit S., 2020. "019," Ecology, Economy and Society - the INSEE Journal, Indian Society of Ecological Economics (INSEE), vol. 3(02), July.
    3. Nirvikar Singh, 2022. "India’s Strategy for Achieving Net Zero," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(16), pages 1-11, August.
    4. Ali, Muhammad Rizwan & Shafiq, Muhammad, 2021. "Revealing expert perspectives on challenges to electricity Demand-Side Management in Pakistan: An application of Q-Methodology," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    5. Akshay Jaitly & Ajay Shah, 2021. "The lowest hanging fruit on the coconut tree: India's climate transition through the price system in the power sector," Working Papers 9, xKDR.
    6. Aritra Ghosh, 2020. "Soiling Losses: A Barrier for India’s Energy Security Dependency from Photovoltaic Power," Challenges, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-22, May.
    7. Ritu Mathur & Swapnil Shekhar, 2020. "India’s energy sector choices—options and implications of ambitious mitigation efforts," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 162(4), pages 1893-1911, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiang, Jingjing & Ye, Bin & Liu, Junguo, 2019. "Research on the peak of CO2 emissions in the developing world: Current progress and future prospect," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 186-203.
    2. Ranjit R. Desai & Eric Hittinger & Eric Williams, 2022. "Interaction of Consumer Heterogeneity and Technological Progress in the US Electric Vehicle Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-25, June.
    3. Renaldi, Renaldi & Hall, Richard & Jamasb, Tooraj & Roskilly, Anthony P., 2021. "Experience rates of low-carbon domestic heating technologies in the United Kingdom," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    4. Gunther Glenk & Rebecca Meier & Stefan Reichelstein, 2021. "Cost Dynamics of Clean Energy Technologies," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 73(2), pages 179-206, June.
    5. Mengzhu Xiao & Manuel Wetzel & Thomas Pregger & Sonja Simon & Yvonne Scholz, 2020. "Modeling the Supply of Renewable Electricity to Metropolitan Regions in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-31, June.
    6. Schauf, Magnus & Schwenen, Sebastian, 2023. "System price dynamics for battery storage," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    7. Hsieh, I-Yun Lisa & Pan, Menghsuan Sam & Chiang, Yet-Ming & Green, William H., 2019. "Learning only buys you so much: Practical limits on battery price reduction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 218-224.
    8. Hannah Förster & Katja Schumacher & Enrica De Cian & Michael Hübler & Ilkka Keppo & Silvana Mima & Ronald D. Sands, 2013. "European Energy Efficiency And Decarbonization Strategies Beyond 2030 — A Sectoral Multi-Model Decomposition," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 4(supp0), pages 1-29.
    9. Aghahosseini, Arman & Bogdanov, Dmitrii & Barbosa, Larissa S.N.S. & Breyer, Christian, 2019. "Analysing the feasibility of powering the Americas with renewable energy and inter-regional grid interconnections by 2030," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 187-205.
    10. Singh, Surinder P. & Ohara, Brandon & Ku, Anthony Y., 2021. "Prospects for cost-competitive integrated gasification fuel cell systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 290(C).
    11. Oyewo, Ayobami Solomon & Aghahosseini, Arman & Ram, Manish & Breyer, Christian, 2020. "Transition towards decarbonised power systems and its socio-economic impacts in West Africa," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 1092-1112.
    12. Thomassen, Gwenny & Van Passel, Steven & Dewulf, Jo, 2020. "A review on learning effects in prospective technology assessment," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    13. Nykvist, Björn & Sprei, Frances & Nilsson, Måns, 2019. "Assessing the progress toward lower priced long range battery electric vehicles," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 124(C), pages 144-155.
    14. Litjens, G.B.M.A. & Worrell, E. & van Sark, W.G.J.H.M., 2018. "Economic benefits of combining self-consumption enhancement with frequency restoration reserves provision by photovoltaic-battery systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C), pages 172-187.
    15. Jabir Ali Ouassou & Julian Straus & Marte Fodstad & Gunhild Reigstad & Ove Wolfgang, 2021. "Applying endogenous learning models in energy system optimization," Papers 2106.06373, arXiv.org.
    16. Carsten Helm & Mathias Mier, 2018. "Subsidising Renewables but Taxing Storage? Second-Best Policies with Imperfect Pricing," Working Papers V-413-18, University of Oldenburg, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2018.
    17. Bustos, Cristian & Watts, David & Olivares, Daniel, 2019. "The evolution over time of Distributed Energy Resource’s penetration: A robust framework to assess the future impact of prosumage under different tariff designs," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 256(C).
    18. Ignacio Mauleón, 2020. "Economic Issues in Deep Low-Carbon Energy Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-32, August.
    19. Bistline, John E.T. & Merrick, James H., 2020. "Parameterizing open-source energy models: Statistical learning to estimate unknown power plant attributes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    20. Mai, Trieu & Bistline, John & Sun, Yinong & Cole, Wesley & Marcy, Cara & Namovicz, Chris & Young, David, 2018. "The role of input assumptions and model structures in projections of variable renewable energy: A multi-model perspective of the U.S. electricity system," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 313-324.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:120:y:2018:i:c:p:24-37. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/enpol .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.