IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/eneeco/v31y2009i3p450-455.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Hydraulic plant generation forecasting in Colombian power market using ANFIS

Author

Listed:
  • Moreno, Julián

Abstract

In this paper an ANFIS model is proposed to forecast the monthly ideal generation of an agent with a hydraulic plant within the Colombian power market. The proposed model considers several factors as the plant's reservoir level, the expected hydraulic contributions of the rivers which feed it, and the expected weather conditions represented by the SST anomaly forecast in Nio 3.4 zone. The fitness of such model is measured with real data of a particular agent from period 2002-2007 and it is compared against a multiple linear regression model. The obtained results show a considerable decrease of the mean percentage error, which is an evidence of its validity and possible application to other agents.

Suggested Citation

  • Moreno, Julián, 2009. "Hydraulic plant generation forecasting in Colombian power market using ANFIS," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 450-455, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:31:y:2009:i:3:p:450-455
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140-9883(09)00026-7
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lihki Rubio & Keyla Alba, 2022. "Forecasting Selected Colombian Shares Using a Hybrid ARIMA-SVR Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-21, June.
    2. Monteiro, Claudio & Ramirez-Rosado, Ignacio J. & Fernandez-Jimenez, L. Alfredo, 2013. "Short-term forecasting model for electric power production of small-hydro power plants," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 387-394.
    3. Duangnate, Kannika & Mjelde, James W., 2017. "Comparison of data-rich and small-scale data time series models generating probabilistic forecasts: An application to U.S. natural gas gross withdrawals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 411-423.
    4. Claudia Condemi & Loretta Mastroeni & Pierluigi Vellucci, 2021. "The impact of Clean Spark Spread expectations on storage hydropower generation," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 44(2), pages 1111-1146, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:31:y:2009:i:3:p:450-455. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/eneco .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.