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Does carbon price uncertainty affect stock price crash risk? Evidence from China

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  • Ren, Xiaohang
  • Zhong, Yan
  • Cheng, Xu
  • Yan, Cheng
  • Gozgor, Giray

Abstract

This study examines the effect of carbon price uncertainty on stock price crash risk. Utilizing the dynamic panel model on the data of Chinese listed firms from 2011 to 2018, we find that high carbon price uncertainty increases stock price crash risk. The impact of carbon price uncertainty is more prominent in the heavily polluting industries and during the post-period of the Paris agreement. The two underlying channels through which carbon price uncertainty induces stock price crashes are managers' hoarding of bad news and investors' heterogeneity. Furthermore, reducing information asymmetry inside and outside the firms can mitigate the influence of carbon price uncertainty on stock price crash risk. Our findings demonstrate that carbon price uncertainty as a newly underexplored factor induced by the prevailing curb of catastrophe risks has unintended but important implications on stock prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Ren, Xiaohang & Zhong, Yan & Cheng, Xu & Yan, Cheng & Gozgor, Giray, 2023. "Does carbon price uncertainty affect stock price crash risk? Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:eneeco:v:122:y:2023:i:c:s0140988323001871
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2023.106689
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    Cited by:

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    3. Wang, Jing & Yu, Huaying & Ren, Daowen & Zhang, Jocelyn, 2023. "Promoting mineral resources consumption efficiency: Evidence from technology of big data," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    4. Yan, Ran & Ma, Minda & Zhou, Nan & Feng, Wei & Xiang, Xiwang & Mao, Chao, 2023. "Towards COP27: Decarbonization patterns of residential building in China and India," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 352(C).
    5. Zhihua Zhao & Zhenjiang Xing, 2024. "Corporate management, green finance, and sustainability," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-8, December.
    6. Huang, Leping & Zhang, Kuo & Wang, Jingxin & Zhu, Yingfu, 2023. "Examining the interplay of green bonds and fossil fuel markets: The influence of investor sentiments," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PA).
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    8. Zhaojun Qu & Fei Sun & Qitao Wu, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Policies to obtain energy transformation target: evidence from emission accounting impacts," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-16, April.
    9. Cheng, Yue & Zhao, Gongyan & Meng, Wentao & Wang, Qianrong, 2024. "Resources utilization, taxation and green education: A path to sustainable power generation," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    10. Tang, Wenguang & Mai, Liuqing & Li, Meifeng, 2023. "Green innovation and resource efficiency to meet net-zero emission," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 86(PB).
    11. Guo, Chenhao & Zhang, Sirui & Chen, Sian, 2024. "Does carbon risk travel along the supply chain? Evidence from corporate default risk," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    12. Duan, Kun & Liu, Yang & Yan, Cheng & Huang, Yingying, 2023. "Differences in carbon risk spillovers with green versus traditional assets: Evidence from a full distributional analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PA).
    13. Wadhwa, Kavita & Goodell, John W., 2024. "Political uncertainty and stock price crash risk: Insights from state-elections in an emerging market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PB).
    14. Man, Yuanyuan & Zhang, Sunpei & He, Yongda, 2024. "Dynamic risk spillover and hedging efficacy of China’s carbon-energy-finance markets: Economic policy uncertainty and investor sentiment non-linear causal effects," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 93(PA), pages 1397-1416.
    15. Lee, Gunhee & Bae, Mincheol & Sohn, Joongchan & Han, Chanwoo & Cho, Jinhyung, 2024. "Does voluntary environmental information disclosure prevent stock price crash risk? – Comparative analysis of chaebol and non-chaebol in Korea," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).
    16. Ho, Kung-Cheng & Yan, Cheng & Mao, Zhicheng & An, Jiafu, 2023. "Corporate sustainability policies and corporate investment efficiency: Evidence from the quasi-natural experiment in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    17. Zhang, Xincheng, 2024. "Country-level energy-related uncertainties and stock market returns: Insights from the U.S. and China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    18. Tran, Vuong Thao & Phan, Dinh Hoang Bach & Tee, Chwee-Ming & Nguyen, Dat Thanh, 2024. "Unmasking the carbon conundrum: How emissions impact stock price crash risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    19. Xiangbin Zuo & Huanhuan Ding, 2024. "RETRACTED ARTICLE: Green energy adoption in ASEAN+6 countries: policy and legal insights for sustainable development," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 57(2), pages 1-16, April.
    20. Chen, Limei & Gozgor, Giray & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Pal, Shreya & Rather, Kashif Nesar, 2023. "How does geopolitical risk affect CO2 emissions? The role of natural resource rents," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).

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