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Macroeconomic shocks, bank stability and the housing market in Venezuela

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  • Carvallo, Oscar
  • Pagliacci, Carolina

Abstract

The interplay between leverage, house prices and financial instability may depend on the nature of shocks affecting an economy and its policy setting. We investigate which conditions or shocks explain financial stability and house prices in Venezuela. Rising financial instability is observationally associated with tight monetary conditions, high interest rates and an appreciated domestic currency. Under the current institutional framework, fiscal and foreign exchange policy actions deliver the strongest monetary effects affecting bank funding and stability. Real house prices respond to loose monetary conditions and real demand shocks. Findings suggest that macroprudential prescriptions should aim at stabilizing bank funding.

Suggested Citation

  • Carvallo, Oscar & Pagliacci, Carolina, 2016. "Macroeconomic shocks, bank stability and the housing market in Venezuela," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 174-196.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ememar:v:26:y:2016:i:c:p:174-196
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ememar.2015.12.002
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    7. Carolina Pagliacci & Jennifer Peña, 2017. "A Systemic Measure of Liquidity Risk," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 163-202, July-Dece.
    8. Hettihewa, Samanthala & Saha, Shrabani & Zhang, Hanxiong, 2018. "Does an aging population influence stock markets? Evidence from New Zealand," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 142-158.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bank stability; House price; Macroeconomic shock; Policy shock; Credit; Macroprudential policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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