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The impact of information timeliness on the predictability of stock and futures returns: An application of vector models

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  • Ostermark, Ralf
  • Hernesniemi, Hannu

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  • Ostermark, Ralf & Hernesniemi, Hannu, 1995. "The impact of information timeliness on the predictability of stock and futures returns: An application of vector models," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 85(1), pages 111-131, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ejores:v:85:y:1995:i:1:p:111-131
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    1. Puttonen, Vesa, 1993. "Stock index futures arbitrage in Finland: Theory and evidence in a new market," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 68(3), pages 304-317, August.
    2. Roll, Richard, 1977. "An analytic valuation formula for unprotected American call options on stocks with known dividends," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 251-258, November.
    3. Manaster, Steven & Rendleman, Richard J, Jr, 1982. "Option Prices as Predictors of Equilibrium Stock Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 37(4), pages 1043-1057, September.
    4. Choi, J. Y. & Salandro, Dan & Shastri, Kuldeep, 1988. "On the Estimation of Bid-Ask Spreads: Theory and Evidence," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 23(2), pages 219-230, June.
    5. Puttonen, Vesa, 1993. "The ex ante profitability of index arbitrage in the new Finnish markets," Scandinavian Journal of Management, Elsevier, vol. 9(Supplemen), pages 117-127.
    6. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1972. "The Valuation of Option Contracts and a Test of Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 27(2), pages 399-417, May.
    7. Stephan, Jens A & Whaley, Robert E, 1990. "Intraday Price Change and Trading Volume Relations in the Stock and Stock Option Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(1), pages 191-220, March.
    8. Cornell, Bradford & French, Kenneth R, 1983. "Taxes and the Pricing of Stock Index Futures," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 38(3), pages 675-694, June.
    9. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, Paul, 1986. "Forecasting Economic Time Series," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 2, number 9780122951831 edited by Shell, Karl.
    10. Östermark, R, 1989. "Predictability of finnish and Swedish stock returns," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 223-236.
    11. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    12. Johansen, Soren, 1991. "Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(6), pages 1551-1580, November.
    13. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
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    Cited by:

    1. Huarng, Kunhuang & Yu, Hui-Kuang, 2005. "A Type 2 fuzzy time series model for stock index forecasting," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 353(C), pages 445-462.
    2. Ostermark, Ralf, 2001. "Genetic modelling of multivariate EGARCHX-processes: evidence on the international asset return signal response mechanism," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 38(1), pages 71-93, November.
    3. Ostermark, Ralf & Saxen, Henrik, 1996. "VARMAX-modelling of blast furnace process variables," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 85-101, April.
    4. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.

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